Villanova
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
50  Angel Piccirillo SR 19:47
83  Siofra Cleirigh Buttner JR 19:58
231  Bella Burda SO 20:23
305  Katie Fisher JR 20:34
565  Kaley Ciluffo SO 21:02
611  Sammy Bockoven SO 21:06
713  Nicole Armstrong JR 21:13
928  Nicole Hutchinson SO 21:28
1,086  Alex Russo SR 21:37
National Rank #28 of 344
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #2 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 72.2%
Most Likely Finish 23rd at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.6%
Top 20 at Nationals 21.6%


Regional Champion 5.2%
Top 5 in Regional 97.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Angel Piccirillo Siofra Cleirigh Buttner Bella Burda Katie Fisher Kaley Ciluffo Sammy Bockoven Nicole Armstrong Nicole Hutchinson Alex Russo
Main Line Invitational 09/16 884 20:12 20:44 20:30 21:04 21:05 21:59
Paul Short Invitational (Gold) 10/01 638 19:43 20:03 20:24 20:29 21:35 21:12 21:50
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 577 19:45 19:54 20:34 20:11 21:41 20:52 22:40
Big East Conference Championships 10/28 516 19:33 19:42 20:10 20:38 20:39 21:49 21:23
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/11 675 20:03 20:00 20:26 20:33 21:01 21:08 21:01





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 72.2% 23.0 546 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.1 2.1 2.1 2.8 3.1 3.6 3.5 3.4 4.7 5.8 4.9 5.3 5.5 5.4 5.6 4.9 2.7 2.6
Region Championship 100% 3.2 94 5.2 30.3 27.8 20.7 13.9 1.9 0.4 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Angel Piccirillo 97.6% 52.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.1 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9
Siofra Cleirigh Buttner 91.3% 77.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2
Bella Burda 73.6% 151.6
Katie Fisher 72.3% 184.6
Kaley Ciluffo 72.2% 229.8
Sammy Bockoven 72.2% 233.3
Nicole Armstrong 72.2% 239.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Angel Piccirillo 3.7 12.6 14.3 13.0 14.4 12.4 9.7 7.9 5.3 4.0 2.3 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Siofra Cleirigh Buttner 6.2 2.4 4.3 7.7 9.0 11.1 12.6 13.7 9.8 8.0 5.9 4.4 3.2 2.0 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2
Bella Burda 15.0 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.9 3.5 5.9 5.3 6.1 5.8 6.3 5.9 5.4 5.0 4.2 3.5 4.1 5.2 3.8 3.6 2.4 2.6 2.4
Katie Fisher 22.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.6 0.8 1.7 2.7 3.5 3.5 3.2 3.8 3.9 5.1 4.4 4.8 3.5 3.7 4.3 4.1 4.2 3.7
Kaley Ciluffo 45.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.9 1.1
Sammy Bockoven 49.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7
Nicole Armstrong 57.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 5.2% 100.0% 5.2 5.2 1
2 30.3% 100.0% 30.3 30.3 2
3 27.8% 76.6% 0.1 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.9 2.4 3.2 3.7 3.4 4.4 6.5 21.3 3
4 20.7% 63.0% 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.3 1.9 2.1 2.7 3.4 7.7 13.0 4
5 13.9% 18.0% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.9 11.4 2.5 5
6 1.9% 1.9 6
7 0.4% 0.4 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 72.2% 5.2 30.3 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.5 2.7 3.8 5.6 6.1 6.5 8.6 27.8 35.4 36.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan State 96.5% 1.0 1.0
Harvard 74.3% 1.0 0.7
Penn 68.6% 1.0 0.7
Boise State 60.0% 1.0 0.6
UCLA 54.6% 1.0 0.5
Minnesota 31.9% 1.0 0.3
Georgetown 22.0% 2.0 0.4
SMU 16.3% 1.0 0.2
Wisconsin 14.5% 1.0 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.1% 1.0 0.1
Tulsa 3.4% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 2.7% 1.0 0.0
Syracuse 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Butler 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Florida State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Iona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 4.8
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 10.0