Boise State
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
3  Brenna Peloquin SO 19:13
175  Clare O'Brien FR 20:15
201  Minttu Hukka JR 20:19
262  Gracie Tostenson JR 20:28
274  Sarah Hastings JR 20:30
292  Kyra Lopez FR 20:32
455  Alexis Fuller SO 20:51
708  Jordan Jacob FR 21:13
729  Amy Pfaff JR 21:14
2,161  Karlie Swanson FR 22:44
National Rank #21 of 344
West Region Rank #6 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 75.6%
Most Likely Finish 23rd at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.2%
Top 10 at Nationals 8.6%
Top 20 at Nationals 42.7%


Regional Champion 0.2%
Top 5 in Regional 22.2%
Top 10 in Regional 99.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Brenna Peloquin Clare O'Brien Minttu Hukka Gracie Tostenson Sarah Hastings Kyra Lopez Alexis Fuller Jordan Jacob Amy Pfaff Karlie Swanson
Roy Griak Invitational 09/24 383 18:33 20:09 20:07 20:14 20:25 20:03 20:41 21:09 21:08
Steve Reeder Memorial Invitational 10/07 1273
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 21:09 21:15 22:44
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 635 19:11 20:29 20:22 20:24 20:56 20:56
Mountain West Championship 10/28 610 19:41 20:09 20:24 20:56 20:37 20:36 20:56 21:23 20:52
West Region Championships 11/11 590 19:25 20:17 20:53 20:15 20:38 20:34 22:00





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 75.6% 18.9 475 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.3 2.2 1.9 2.9 3.1 2.9 3.1 3.8 4.1 4.2 4.1 4.2 3.8 3.6 4.8 3.7 4.0 3.8 3.3 2.4 1.8 0.9 0.9
Region Championship 100% 6.5 189 0.2 0.6 1.9 5.9 13.8 25.7 25.7 18.5 5.9 2.0 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Peloquin 100.0% 5.8 8.9 10.3 10.7 8.2 7.0 6.1 5.4 4.0 3.8 3.5 3.2 2.6 2.3 2.4 2.4 1.8 1.7 1.3 1.5 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8
Clare O'Brien 75.6% 132.7 0.1 0.1 0.1
Minttu Hukka 75.6% 142.6 0.1 0.1 0.1
Gracie Tostenson 75.6% 170.9
Sarah Hastings 75.6% 177.2
Kyra Lopez 75.6% 181.5 0.1
Alexis Fuller 75.6% 218.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Peloquin 1.9 32.1 19.3 12.7 9.4 7.7 4.9 4.1 2.3 2.0 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1
Clare O'Brien 40.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.6 1.2 1.7 1.1
Minttu Hukka 43.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.3
Gracie Tostenson 54.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4
Sarah Hastings 54.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3
Kyra Lopez 57.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Alexis Fuller 76.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 1
2 0.6% 100.0% 0.6 0.6 2
3 1.9% 100.0% 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.9 3
4 5.9% 99.1% 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.1 5.8 4
5 13.8% 95.6% 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.9 1.7 2.1 1.8 1.9 0.4 0.6 13.2 5
6 25.7% 88.3% 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.9 1.9 3.0 4.5 4.6 3.0 2.3 3.0 22.7 6
7 25.7% 78.2% 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.7 2.7 4.8 5.0 4.5 5.6 20.1 7
8 18.5% 52.7% 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.0 3.2 8.8 9.8 8
9 5.9% 24.8% 0.2 0.4 1.0 4.4 1.5 9
10 2.0% 2.5% 0.1 2.0 0.1 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 75.6% 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.4 1.8 2.7 4.6 6.0 7.3 10.9 13.9 13.9 11.4 24.5 0.8 74.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan 98.8% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 96.5% 1.0 1.0
San Francisco 89.3% 1.0 0.9
Miss State 82.8% 1.0 0.8
UCLA 54.6% 1.0 0.5
Minnesota 31.9% 1.0 0.3
Furman 25.1% 1.0 0.3
Georgetown 22.0% 1.0 0.2
Wisconsin 14.5% 1.0 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.1% 1.0 0.1
Ohio State 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 3.4% 1.0 0.0
Duke 3.2% 1.0 0.0
Syracuse 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 2.1% 2.0 0.0
Oklahoma 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Florida State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Total 5.4
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 10.0