Mid-Eastern
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
231 Norfolk St. 40.8%   16   9 - 4 3 - 0 17 - 7 11 - 3 -3.6      -4.4 293 +0.9 144 71.1 114 +1.8 145 +8.7 1
248 Howard 31.1%   4 - 8 0 - 1 13 - 12 9 - 5 -4.6      -1.4 217 -3.2 278 77.0 24 -7.8 288 -21.8 5
302 Coppin St. 13.5%   3 - 14 2 - 0 10 - 18 9 - 4 -8.2      -6.3 332 -1.9 229 81.8 2 -9.0 303 +6.2 2
326 Morgan St. 5.4%   2 - 8 1 - 1 7 - 14 6 - 7 -10.9      -6.3 331 -4.6 311 75.9 38 -12.8 331 -10.8 4
327 NC Central 4.7%   3 - 9 1 - 0 8 - 15 6 - 6 -11.0      -7.5 339 -3.5 290 71.1 112 -9.4 307 -7.1 3
342 Maryland Eastern Shore 3.3%   2 - 7 0 - 1 8 - 14 6 - 8 -12.4      -8.7 348 -3.6 293 69.2 166 -5.7 266 -21.8 5
346 South Carolina St. 1.1%   5 - 10 0 - 2 9 - 17 4 - 9 -13.4      -8.6 347 -4.8 314 77.4 20 -10.4 316 -27.9 8
358 Delaware St. 0.0%   0 - 11 0 - 2 2 - 22 2 - 13 -22.3      -10.8 356 -11.5 358 70.4 131 -21.4 352 -23.1 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Norfolk St. 1.4 75.0 17.2 5.6 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
Howard 2.4 25.0 39.8 19.5 8.9 4.2 1.9 0.6 0.1
Coppin St. 2.8 14.8 29.2 32.8 14.3 6.3 2.1 0.4 0.0
Morgan St. 4.4 2.4 7.7 16.7 26.1 23.6 16.1 6.5 0.9
NC Central 4.6 1.8 6.3 14.0 24.2 25.2 19.2 8.2 1.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 4.9 1.6 6.7 12.8 19.9 20.2 20.1 15.4 3.4
South Carolina St. 6.2 0.1 0.7 2.6 7.5 14.9 25.6 38.8 9.8
Delaware St. 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.4 6.9 19.3 70.2




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Norfolk St. 11 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.5 8.4 15.1 21.9 24.4 17.8 7.4
Howard 9 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 4.1 8.3 14.2 19.6 21.2 17.7 9.9 2.5
Coppin St. 9 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 6.9 14.1 20.6 23.4 18.2 9.8 3.6 0.5
Morgan St. 6 - 8 0.1 0.8 3.6 9.0 15.9 21.5 20.7 15.5 8.4 3.4 0.9 0.1
NC Central 6 - 8 0.1 1.1 4.4 10.6 18.6 22.2 19.5 13.3 6.9 2.6 0.7 0.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 6 - 8 0.1 1.1 3.7 8.2 13.6 17.2 18.7 16.1 11.0 6.0 3.1 0.9 0.2 0.0
South Carolina St. 4 - 10 0.6 3.9 11.3 20.2 23.9 19.7 12.4 5.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
Delaware St. 2 - 12 17.9 28.5 24.8 15.7 8.0 3.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 75.0% 59.6 13.2 2.0 0.2 0.0
Howard 25.0% 13.5 9.5 1.7 0.2 0.0
Coppin St. 14.8% 7.0 5.9 1.7 0.2 0.0
Morgan St. 2.4% 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
NC Central 1.8% 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.6% 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
South Carolina St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Delaware St. 0.0% 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 40.8% 40.8% 0.0% 16   0.4 2.4 10.4 27.6 59.2 0.0%
Howard 31.1% 31.1% 0.0% 0.2 1.4 29.5 68.9 0.0%
Coppin St. 13.5% 13.5% 0.0% 0.1 13.5 86.5 0.0%
Morgan St. 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0 5.4 94.6 0.0%
NC Central 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0 4.7 95.3 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 3.2 96.7 0.0%
South Carolina St. 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 1.1 98.9 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Norfolk St. 40.8% 16.2% 32.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 31.1% 26.1% 18.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 13.5% 13.4% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 5.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 4.7% 4.6% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 3.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 1.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 62.8% 0.6 37.2 62.8
2nd Round 1.1% 0.0 98.9 1.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0