South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.4#346
Expected Predictive Rating-10.4#316
Pace77.4#20
Improvement+1.2#117

Offense
Total Offense-8.6#347
First Shot-8.7#351
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#174
Layup/Dunks-6.4#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#310
Freethrows-0.5#218
Improvement-0.3#199

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#314
First Shot-4.0#301
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#246
Layups/Dunks-0.9#219
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#220
Freethrows-3.1#335
Improvement+1.6#91
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.7% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.9% 4.2% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 8.2% 16.5% 3.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 19.2% 9.5% 24.4%
First Four1.1% 1.7% 0.8%
First Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Away) - 35.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 31 - 5
Quad 48 - 129 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 153   @ East Carolina L 62-70 7%     0 - 1 -4.9 -17.1 +13.0
  Nov 11, 2021 203   @ College of Charleston L 74-106 10%     0 - 2 -31.3 -15.1 -8.8
  Nov 12, 2021 259   Loyola Maryland L 65-75 22%     0 - 3 -15.1 -12.5 -2.1
  Nov 13, 2021 280   Lipscomb L 81-93 27%     0 - 4 -18.9 -2.8 -15.5
  Nov 16, 2021 201   @ Georgia L 60-76 10%     0 - 5 -15.1 -15.3 +0.3
  Nov 23, 2021 311   South Carolina Upstate L 78-82 41%     0 - 6 -15.1 -6.8 -8.1
  Nov 28, 2021 283   The Citadel L 79-91 OT 36%     0 - 7 -21.5 -13.3 -6.3
  Dec 03, 2021 191   @ South Florida W 65-64 9%     1 - 7 +2.2 -1.8 +4.0
  Dec 10, 2021 275   High Point W 67-66 25%     2 - 7 -5.5 -6.1 +0.7
  Dec 14, 2021 10   @ Duke L 62-103 1%     2 - 8 -21.4 -10.0 -6.7
  Dec 18, 2021 308   Tennessee St. W 90-88 OT 41%     3 - 8 -8.9 -2.7 -6.5
  Dec 20, 2021 283   @ The Citadel W 74-57 20%     4 - 8 +12.5 -6.4 +18.1
  Dec 21, 2021 351   Charleston Southern W 75-65 56%     5 - 8 -5.0 -13.7 +7.5
  Jan 08, 2022 302   Coppin St. L 65-74 40%     5 - 9 0 - 1 -19.7 -18.7 +0.1
  Jan 10, 2022 326   Morgan St. L 81-88 OT 50%     5 - 10 0 - 2 -20.4 -9.9 -9.4
  Jan 22, 2022 342   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 68-72 35%    
  Jan 24, 2022 358   @ Delaware St. W 76-70 71%    
  Jan 29, 2022 231   Norfolk St. L 67-74 27%    
  Jan 31, 2022 248   Howard L 75-81 30%    
  Feb 12, 2022 302   @ Coppin St. L 72-80 22%    
  Feb 14, 2022 326   @ Morgan St. L 72-77 30%    
  Feb 19, 2022 342   Maryland Eastern Shore W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 21, 2022 358   Delaware St. W 79-68 86%    
  Feb 26, 2022 231   @ Norfolk St. L 65-77 12%    
  Feb 28, 2022 248   @ Howard L 72-83 14%    
  Mar 03, 2022 327   @ NC Central L 69-74 31%    
Projected Record 9 - 17 4 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 2.6 3rd
4th 0.7 3.2 3.1 0.6 0.0 7.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 6.0 6.7 1.2 0.0 14.9 5th
6th 0.0 2.3 10.5 10.4 2.3 0.1 25.6 6th
7th 0.7 7.3 15.9 12.1 2.6 0.1 38.8 7th
8th 0.6 3.2 4.0 1.9 0.2 9.8 8th
Total 0.6 3.9 11.3 20.2 23.9 19.7 12.4 5.5 2.1 0.5 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 76.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-5 8.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 0.1% 23.3% 23.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1
9-5 0.5% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5
8-6 2.1% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.1 2.0
7-7 5.5% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.2 5.2
6-8 12.4% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 12.1
5-9 19.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.3 19.4
4-10 23.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 23.7
3-11 20.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.2
2-12 11.3% 11.3
1-13 3.9% 3.9
0-14 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 16.0 1.1 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%