IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-22.3	#358
Expected Predictive Rating	-21.4	#352

Pace	70.4	#131
Improvement	-3.2	#307

Offense
Total Offense	-10.8	#356

First Shot	-12.6	#358
After Offensive Rebound	+1.8	#56

Layup/Dunks	-7.0	#353
2 Pt Jumpshots	+6.1	#6
3 Pt Jumpshots	-9.2	#356
Freethrows	-2.4	#329

Improvement	-1.2	#256

Defense
Total Defense	-11.5	#358

First Shot	-7.1	#345
After Offensive Rebounds	-4.4	#358

Layups/Dunks	+0.8	#155
2 Pt Jumpshots	+3.6	#2
3 Pt Jumpshots	-12.3	#358
Freethrows	+0.9	#123

Improvement	-2.0	#289

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	0.5%	1.5%	0.2%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	83.0%	69.4%	86.8%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: NC Central (Home) - 22.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 4	0 - 6
Quad 4	2 - 16	2 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 14, 2021	291	@ Rider	L	53-63	7%	0 - 1			-15.2	-25.8	+11.5
Nov 20, 2021	256	UNC Wilmington	L	63-67	9%	0 - 2			-11.5	-5.3	-6.8
Nov 27, 2021	235	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	65-99	4%	0 - 3			-35.5	-11.9	-21.5
Dec 02, 2021	146	Delaware	L	48-59	4%	0 - 4			-12.5	-25.3	+12.2
Dec 04, 2021	187	@ Longwood	L	58-78	2%	0 - 5			-18.5	-11.8	-7.3
Dec 06, 2021	104	@ Liberty	L	60-96	1%	0 - 6			-29.0	-3.6	-29.2
Dec 11, 2021	328	St. Francis Brooklyn	L	61-75	20%	0 - 7			-27.6	-9.1	-20.7
Dec 18, 2021	327	NC Central	L	53-86	15%	0 - 8	0 - 1		-44.0	-24.9	-18.2
Dec 20, 2021	127	@ Wagner	L	51-93	1%	0 - 9			-37.0	-24.4	-8.1
Dec 22, 2021	122	@ Temple	L	48-85	1%	0 - 10			-31.6	-18.4	-15.6
Jan 12, 2022	231	@ Norfolk St.	L	51-80	4%	0 - 11	0 - 2		-30.1	-19.2	-11.2
Jan 22, 2022	327	NC Central	L	66-75	22%
Jan 24, 2022	346	South Carolina St.	L	70-76	29%
Jan 29, 2022	326	@ Morgan St.	L	67-81	9%
Jan 31, 2022	302	Coppin St.	L	69-81	15%
Feb 07, 2022	248	Howard	L	69-84	8%
Feb 09, 2022	342	Maryland Eastern Shore	L	65-72	26%
Feb 12, 2022	248	@ Howard	L	66-86	3%
Feb 14, 2022	231	Norfolk St.	L	62-78	7%
Feb 19, 2022	327	@ NC Central	L	63-77	10%
Feb 21, 2022	346	@ South Carolina St.	L	68-79	14%
Feb 26, 2022	326	Morgan St.	L	69-78	23%
Feb 28, 2022	302	@ Coppin St.	L	66-83	6%
Mar 03, 2022	342	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	L	63-75	12%
Projected Record						2 - 22	2 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.0							0.0	1st
2nd									0.0	0.0							0.0	2nd
3rd							0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0							0.2	3rd
4th						0.2	0.5	0.2	0.0								0.9	4th
5th				0.0	0.5	1.4	0.5	0.1									2.4	5th
6th			0.0	1.5	3.6	1.7	0.1										6.9	6th
7th		0.8	6.2	8.6	3.5	0.3											19.3	7th
8th	17.9	27.7	18.6	5.5	0.5												70.2	8th

Total	17.9	28.5	24.8	15.7	8.0	3.5	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0								Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5	16.7%	0.0				0.0
8-6	5.5%	0.0						0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0				0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5	0.0%																							0.0
8-6	0.1%																							0.1
7-7	0.4%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.0	0.4
6-8	1.1%																							1.1
5-9	3.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	3.5
4-10	8.0%																							8.0
3-11	15.7%																							15.7
2-12	24.8%																							24.8
1-13	28.5%																							28.5
0-14	17.9%																							17.9

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	16.0																	0.0	100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	17.9%