Coppin St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.2#302
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#303
Pace81.8#2
Improvement+1.1#123

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#332
First Shot-3.5#279
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#334
Layup/Dunks-3.1#296
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#305
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#135
Freethrows+0.4#146
Improvement-0.3#196

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#229
First Shot+1.6#123
After Offensive Rebounds-3.5#355
Layups/Dunks+3.4#59
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#19
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#345
Freethrows+1.2#94
Improvement+1.4#101
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.5% 19.3% 11.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.5% 4.9% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 90.1% 97.6% 87.7%
Conference Champion 14.8% 35.4% 8.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four13.4% 18.6% 11.7%
First Round6.2% 8.9% 5.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Away) - 23.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 30 - 60 - 12
Quad 410 - 711 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 28   @ Loyola Chicago L 45-103 3%     0 - 1 -43.2 -25.0 -12.5
  Nov 10, 2021 94   @ DePaul L 72-97 7%     0 - 2 -16.5 -6.0 -7.6
  Nov 12, 2021 291   @ Rider L 69-81 39%     0 - 3 -17.2 -4.4 -12.9
  Nov 13, 2021 18   @ Connecticut L 54-89 2%     0 - 4 -18.7 -15.5 -0.1
  Nov 15, 2021 175   @ UNC Greensboro L 48-55 17%     0 - 5 -5.0 -20.7 +15.7
  Nov 17, 2021 259   Loyola Maryland W 71-49 48%     1 - 5 +14.4 -5.6 +19.6
  Nov 19, 2021 67   @ Virginia L 52-68 5%     1 - 6 -5.5 -9.2 +2.1
  Nov 22, 2021 156   @ Cleveland St. L 62-65 15%     1 - 7 -0.1 -13.4 +13.5
  Nov 24, 2021 286   @ Canisius L 75-76 37%     1 - 8 -5.7 -2.5 -3.1
  Nov 27, 2021 153   @ East Carolina L 68-70 15%     1 - 9 +1.1 -0.6 +1.5
  Dec 01, 2021 80   @ St. Bonaventure L 81-93 6%     1 - 10 -2.3 +7.8 -9.5
  Dec 03, 2021 229   @ Cornell L 77-92 24%     1 - 11 -15.9 -3.4 -11.5
  Dec 08, 2021 271   @ George Washington L 62-75 33%     1 - 12 -16.6 -12.0 -4.4
  Dec 11, 2021 114   Towson L 75-89 18%     1 - 13 -12.4 -2.8 -9.0
  Dec 14, 2021 158   @ Drexel L 69-76 15%     1 - 14 -4.2 -7.5 +3.7
  Jan 08, 2022 346   @ South Carolina St. W 74-65 60%     2 - 14 1 - 0 -1.8 -11.2 +8.3
  Jan 15, 2022 326   @ Morgan St. W 79-76 51%     3 - 14 2 - 0 -5.4 -10.4 +4.5
  Jan 22, 2022 231   @ Norfolk St. L 69-76 24%    
  Jan 24, 2022 248   Howard L 79-80 47%    
  Jan 29, 2022 342   Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-68 74%    
  Jan 31, 2022 358   @ Delaware St. W 81-69 85%    
  Feb 12, 2022 346   South Carolina St. W 80-72 78%    
  Feb 14, 2022 327   NC Central W 75-70 71%    
  Feb 19, 2022 231   Norfolk St. L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 21, 2022 248   @ Howard L 76-82 27%    
  Feb 26, 2022 342   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 72-70 54%    
  Feb 28, 2022 358   Delaware St. W 83-66 94%    
  Mar 03, 2022 326   Morgan St. W 79-74 70%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 9 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 4.0 6.0 3.4 0.5 14.8 1st
2nd 0.1 2.7 10.9 11.7 3.7 0.2 29.2 2nd
3rd 0.3 4.8 13.7 11.4 2.5 0.1 32.8 3rd
4th 0.1 2.6 7.3 3.9 0.3 14.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.3 1.9 0.2 6.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.0 2.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 6.9 14.1 20.6 23.4 18.2 9.8 3.6 0.5 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5
12-2 94.5% 3.4    2.7 0.7
11-3 61.5% 6.0    2.9 2.8 0.3
10-4 22.2% 4.0    0.8 2.2 1.0 0.0
9-5 3.4% 0.8    0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 14.8% 14.8 7.0 5.9 1.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.5% 37.0% 37.0% 15.7 0.1 0.1 0.3
12-2 3.6% 30.7% 30.7% 16.0 1.1 2.5
11-3 9.8% 25.4% 25.4% 16.0 2.5 7.3
10-4 18.2% 20.7% 20.7% 16.0 3.8 14.4
9-5 23.4% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 3.2 20.1
8-6 20.6% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 1.6 19.0
7-7 14.1% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.8 13.3
6-8 6.9% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.3 6.6
5-9 2.4% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 2.3
4-10 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-11 0.1% 0.1
2-12 0.0% 0.0
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 13.5% 13.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 13.5 86.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 15.7 31.0 69.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%