Pre-tourney Rankings
Washington
Pac-12
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.7#56
Expected Predictive Rating+9.0#63
Pace90.9#4
Improvement+0.6#157

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#74
First Shot+1.8#125
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#25
Layup/Dunks-0.2#176
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#180
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#210
Freethrows+3.1#14
Improvement+2.3#75

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#43
First Shot+6.4#23
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#270
Layups/Dunks+0.5#157
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#61
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#15
Freethrows-0.9#237
Improvement-1.6#253
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.1% n/a n/a
First Round2.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 30   Texas W 77-71 38%     1 - 0 +18.8 -3.6 +21.3
  Nov 19, 2015 262   Mount St. Mary's W 100-67 95%     2 - 0 +23.9 +7.4 +10.2
  Nov 21, 2015 245   Penn W 104-67 94%     3 - 0 +29.3 +12.5 +11.2
  Nov 25, 2015 27   Gonzaga L 64-80 36%     3 - 1 -2.5 -10.6 +9.9
  Nov 26, 2015 30   Texas L 70-82 38%     3 - 2 +0.8 +2.7 -1.7
  Nov 27, 2015 195   Charlotte W 71-66 86%     4 - 2 +2.9 -11.6 +14.0
  Dec 06, 2015 268   Cal St. Fullerton W 87-69 95%     5 - 2 +8.6 -2.9 +9.1
  Dec 08, 2015 113   TCU W 92-67 81%     6 - 2 +25.6 +8.6 +13.2
  Dec 12, 2015 153   Montana W 92-62 86%     7 - 2 +27.9 +3.2 +19.9
  Dec 19, 2015 88   Oakland L 83-97 73%     7 - 3 -10.5 -8.8 +0.8
  Dec 22, 2015 292   @ Seattle W 79-68 92%     8 - 3 +5.3 +3.0 +1.7
  Dec 28, 2015 104   UC Santa Barbara L 78-83 77%     8 - 4 -3.0 -0.6 -1.8
  Jan 01, 2016 63   UCLA W 96-93 2OT 66%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +8.6 -1.9 +9.7
  Jan 03, 2016 41   USC W 87-85 57%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +10.0 -1.1 +10.6
  Jan 09, 2016 169   @ Washington St. W 99-95 OT 76%     11 - 4 3 - 0 +6.4 +10.1 -4.4
  Jan 14, 2016 12   @ Arizona L 67-99 18%     11 - 5 3 - 1 -12.7 -4.9 -4.5
  Jan 16, 2016 86   @ Arizona St. W 89-85 51%     12 - 5 4 - 1 +13.5 +11.9 +1.1
  Jan 20, 2016 47   Colorado W 95-83 58%     13 - 5 5 - 1 +19.6 +17.7 +0.6
  Jan 24, 2016 26   Utah L 75-80 OT 44%     13 - 6 5 - 2 +6.2 -2.0 +8.8
  Jan 28, 2016 63   @ UCLA W 86-84 43%     14 - 6 6 - 2 +13.4 +2.8 +10.3
  Jan 30, 2016 41   @ USC L 88-98 35%     14 - 7 6 - 3 +3.8 +8.3 -3.1
  Feb 03, 2016 86   Arizona St. W 95-83 OT 72%     15 - 7 7 - 3 +15.6 +7.2 +6.3
  Feb 06, 2016 12   Arizona L 72-77 36%     15 - 8 7 - 4 +8.5 -3.8 +12.9
  Feb 10, 2016 26   @ Utah L 82-90 24%     15 - 9 7 - 5 +9.1 +10.1 -0.4
  Feb 13, 2016 47   @ Colorado L 80-81 36%     15 - 10 7 - 6 +12.4 +1.8 +10.9
  Feb 18, 2016 23   California L 75-78 42%     15 - 11 7 - 7 +8.8 -3.0 +12.3
  Feb 20, 2016 89   Stanford W 64-53 73%     16 - 11 8 - 7 +14.4 -7.8 +22.0
  Feb 24, 2016 57   @ Oregon St. L 81-82 40%     16 - 12 8 - 8 +11.3 +10.2 +1.2
  Feb 28, 2016 10   @ Oregon L 73-86 17%     16 - 13 8 - 9 +6.9 +3.8 +3.8
  Mar 02, 2016 169   Washington St. W 99-91 89%     17 - 13 9 - 9 +4.5 +7.5 -4.3
  Mar 09, 2016 89   Stanford W 91-68 63%     18 - 13 +29.3 +11.7 +15.1
  Mar 10, 2016 10   Oregon L 77-83 24%     18 - 14 +11.0 +3.3 +8.3
Projected Record 18.0 - 14.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 4.2% 4.2% 11.3 0.0 3.0 1.1 0.0 95.8 4.2%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.2% 0.0% 4.2% 11.3 0.0 3.0 1.1 0.0 95.8 4.2%