Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah
Pac-12
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.2#26
Expected Predictive Rating+16.5#11
Pace65.6#287
Improvement+3.5#44

Offense
Total Offense+8.4#24
First Shot+8.0#13
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#146
Layup/Dunks+7.8#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#91
Freethrows+1.8#61
Improvement+0.8#146

Defense
Total Defense+5.8#39
First Shot+6.1#26
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#215
Layups/Dunks+3.8#32
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#306
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#216
Freethrows+5.2#2
Improvement+2.7#46
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.7% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 10.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.6% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round82.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen44.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight17.9% n/a n/a
Final Four6.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 342   Southern Utah W 82-71 99%     1 - 0 -6.3 -3.7 -2.8
  Nov 16, 2015 53   San Diego St. W 81-76 76%     2 - 0 +11.8 +15.5 -3.7
  Nov 19, 2015 40   Texas Tech W 73-63 62%     3 - 0 +20.9 +5.6 +15.6
  Nov 20, 2015 14   Miami (FL) L 66-90 42%     3 - 1 -7.9 +0.4 -8.8
  Nov 22, 2015 84   Temple W 74-68 76%     4 - 1 +12.6 +7.2 +5.5
  Nov 27, 2015 276   Idaho St. W 102-72 98%     5 - 1 +19.7 +13.4 +3.0
  Dec 02, 2015 50   BYU W 83-75 74%     6 - 1 +15.4 +7.6 +7.2
  Dec 05, 2015 132   Purdue Fort Wayne W 96-79 91%     7 - 1 +16.4 +12.5 +2.6
  Dec 12, 2015 24   Wichita St. L 50-67 48%     7 - 2 -2.5 -4.2 -1.0
  Dec 16, 2015 325   Savannah St. W 99-53 99%     8 - 2 +31.4 +19.2 +9.4
  Dec 19, 2015 17   Duke W 77-75 OT 44%     9 - 2 +17.7 -3.8 +21.2
  Dec 22, 2015 349   Delaware St. W 105-58 99.5%    10 - 2 +27.2 +23.0 +3.2
  Jan 01, 2016 89   @ Stanford L 68-70 OT 69%     10 - 3 0 - 1 +7.2 -4.3 +11.6
  Jan 03, 2016 23   @ California L 58-71 37%     10 - 4 0 - 2 +4.6 +0.2 +3.3
  Jan 08, 2016 47   @ Colorado W 56-54 53%     11 - 4 1 - 2 +15.4 -1.4 +17.1
  Jan 14, 2016 10   Oregon L 59-77 50%     11 - 5 1 - 3 -3.9 -7.1 +2.5
  Jan 17, 2016 57   Oregon St. W 59-53 77%     12 - 5 2 - 3 +12.5 +2.9 +10.9
  Jan 21, 2016 169   @ Washington St. W 92-71 86%     13 - 5 3 - 3 +23.4 +25.0 -0.6
  Jan 24, 2016 56   @ Washington W 80-75 OT 56%     14 - 5 4 - 3 +17.7 +5.0 +12.1
  Jan 27, 2016 23   California W 73-64 59%     15 - 5 5 - 3 +20.8 +8.8 +12.2
  Jan 30, 2016 89   Stanford W 96-74 84%     16 - 5 6 - 3 +25.4 +19.3 +4.7
  Feb 04, 2016 57   @ Oregon St. L 69-71 57%     16 - 6 6 - 4 +10.3 +12.5 -2.5
  Feb 07, 2016 10   @ Oregon L 66-76 29%     16 - 7 6 - 5 +9.9 +4.3 +5.0
  Feb 10, 2016 56   Washington W 90-82 76%     17 - 7 7 - 5 +14.8 +14.2 +0.0
  Feb 14, 2016 169   Washington St. W 88-47 94%     18 - 7 8 - 5 +37.5 +13.8 +23.9
  Feb 18, 2016 63   @ UCLA W 75-73 60%     19 - 7 9 - 5 +13.4 +11.9 +1.7
  Feb 21, 2016 41   @ USC W 80-69 51%     20 - 7 10 - 5 +24.8 +18.8 +6.8
  Feb 25, 2016 86   Arizona St. W 81-46 84%     21 - 7 11 - 5 +38.6 +14.6 +26.1
  Feb 27, 2016 12   Arizona W 70-64 53%     22 - 7 12 - 5 +19.5 +6.9 +13.0
  Mar 05, 2016 47   Colorado W 57-55 74%     23 - 7 13 - 5 +9.6 -9.5 +19.1
  Mar 10, 2016 41   USC W 80-72 62%     24 - 7 +18.9 +14.5 +4.8
  Mar 11, 2016 23   California W 82-78 OT 48%     25 - 7 +18.7 +13.3 +5.2
  Mar 12, 2016 10   Oregon L 57-88 39%     25 - 8 -14.0 -5.1 -11.4
Projected Record 25.0 - 8.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.1 0.7 9.3 71.7 17.9 0.4 100.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.1 0.7 9.3 71.7 17.9 0.4 100.0%