Preseason Rankings
Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#239
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.5#293
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#235
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#251
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 5.6% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 13.3 14.7
.500 or above 27.9% 60.3% 26.7%
.500 or above in Conference 32.1% 55.5% 31.2%
Conference Champion 2.1% 5.3% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 20.3% 8.7% 20.7%
First Four0.5% 0.9% 0.5%
First Round2.1% 5.1% 2.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland (Away) - 3.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.90.0 - 0.9
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.10.1 - 2.0
Quad 20.5 - 3.00.6 - 5.0
Quad 32.8 - 6.63.4 - 11.5
Quad 48.5 - 5.611.9 - 17.1


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 32   @ Maryland L 61-77 4%    
  Nov 10, 2018 178   @ St. Peter's L 59-63 27%    
  Nov 15, 2018 248   @ Cornell W 72-71 42%    
  Nov 23, 2018 86   UNC Greensboro L 60-70 27%    
  Nov 26, 2018 141   Louisiana Tech L 66-72 39%    
  Nov 30, 2018 341   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 71-62 71%    
  Dec 02, 2018 229   @ Columbia L 73-74 39%    
  Dec 05, 2018 260   Navy W 65-64 64%    
  Dec 09, 2018 160   St. Francis (PA) L 69-74 44%    
  Dec 16, 2018 222   @ Stony Brook L 66-67 38%    
  Dec 19, 2018 351   Delaware St. W 72-60 91%    
  Dec 28, 2018 156   @ Hofstra L 71-76 26%    
  Dec 30, 2018 70   @ Northeastern L 63-75 10%    
  Jan 03, 2019 164   William & Mary L 73-77 46%    
  Jan 05, 2019 231   Elon L 69-70 60%    
  Jan 10, 2019 197   @ UNC Wilmington L 73-75 33%    
  Jan 12, 2019 112   @ College of Charleston L 62-70 19%    
  Jan 17, 2019 176   James Madison L 67-71 49%    
  Jan 19, 2019 237   Towson L 67-68 61%    
  Jan 26, 2019 280   Drexel W 72-70 66%    
  Jan 31, 2019 231   @ Elon L 69-70 38%    
  Feb 02, 2019 164   @ William & Mary L 73-77 28%    
  Feb 07, 2019 112   College of Charleston L 62-70 35%    
  Feb 09, 2019 197   UNC Wilmington L 73-75 53%    
  Feb 14, 2019 237   @ Towson L 67-68 40%    
  Feb 16, 2019 176   @ James Madison L 67-71 30%    
  Feb 23, 2019 280   @ Drexel W 72-70 46%    
  Feb 28, 2019 70   Northeastern L 63-75 23%    
  Mar 02, 2019 156   Hofstra L 71-76 43%    
Projected Record 11.9 - 17.1 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.7 2.9 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.8 1.8 0.4 0.0 8.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.6 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.8 2.3 0.3 11.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 4.1 5.4 2.7 0.2 0.0 13.4 7th
8th 0.2 1.6 4.6 5.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 13.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.9 4.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 15.0 9th
10th 0.5 2.1 3.9 3.6 2.2 0.9 0.0 13.3 10th
Total 0.5 2.1 4.4 6.6 8.8 11.2 11.9 11.8 10.6 9.4 8.1 5.8 3.7 2.5 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 99.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 76.4% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 37.2% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1
13-5 17.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 43.3% 21.8% 21.4% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 27.4%
16-2 0.3% 39.9% 34.1% 5.8% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.8%
15-3 0.8% 16.0% 14.2% 1.8% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.1%
14-4 1.4% 18.8% 18.8% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1 0.0%
13-5 2.5% 10.5% 10.5% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.2
12-6 3.7% 10.0% 10.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.3
11-7 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.5
10-8 8.1% 2.8% 2.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.9
9-9 9.4% 2.2% 2.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.2
8-10 10.6% 2.2% 2.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.4
7-11 11.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.7
6-12 11.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.8
5-13 11.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.2
4-14 8.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.8
3-15 6.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.6
2-16 4.4% 4.4
1-17 2.1% 2.1
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 2.4% 2.3% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 97.6 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%