Preseason Rankings
Navy
Patriot League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#260
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.0#309
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#312
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#177
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 10.1% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.4 15.2
.500 or above 31.3% 58.4% 27.8%
.500 or above in Conference 42.3% 61.5% 39.8%
Conference Champion 5.8% 12.2% 5.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.6% 8.0% 17.7%
First Four1.5% 1.3% 1.5%
First Round4.3% 9.2% 3.6%
Second Round0.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Away) - 11.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.40.0 - 0.4
Quad 1b0.1 - 0.90.1 - 1.3
Quad 20.4 - 2.90.5 - 4.2
Quad 32.6 - 6.73.1 - 10.8
Quad 49.2 - 5.912.3 - 16.7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 102   @ Old Dominion L 56-66 11%    
  Nov 09, 2018 32   Maryland L 58-75 10%    
  Nov 14, 2018 345   Coppin St. W 68-59 85%    
  Nov 18, 2018 315   Bryant W 72-69 71%    
  Nov 20, 2018 339   @ Morgan St. W 70-63 64%    
  Nov 28, 2018 155   Liberty L 59-65 39%    
  Dec 01, 2018 207   Brown L 69-72 51%    
  Dec 05, 2018 239   @ Delaware L 64-65 36%    
  Dec 09, 2018 136   @ Lipscomb L 70-78 18%    
  Dec 21, 2018 129   @ George Mason L 64-72 16%    
  Dec 30, 2018 248   @ Cornell L 69-70 38%    
  Jan 03, 2019 209   Colgate L 64-67 51%    
  Jan 06, 2019 206   Holy Cross L 60-63 50%    
  Jan 09, 2019 242   @ American L 65-66 36%    
  Jan 12, 2019 223   Boston University L 65-67 54%    
  Jan 16, 2019 293   @ Lafayette W 69-67 45%    
  Jan 19, 2019 216   @ Army L 68-70 31%    
  Jan 23, 2019 185   Lehigh L 68-73 45%    
  Jan 26, 2019 206   @ Holy Cross L 60-63 31%    
  Jan 30, 2019 171   @ Bucknell L 67-72 24%    
  Feb 02, 2019 300   Loyola Maryland W 67-65 67%    
  Feb 06, 2019 242   American L 65-66 56%    
  Feb 09, 2019 185   @ Lehigh L 68-73 27%    
  Feb 13, 2019 293   Lafayette W 69-67 64%    
  Feb 16, 2019 216   Army L 68-70 52%    
  Feb 21, 2019 300   @ Loyola Maryland W 67-65 46%    
  Feb 23, 2019 209   @ Colgate L 64-67 32%    
  Feb 27, 2019 171   Bucknell L 67-72 42%    
  Mar 02, 2019 223   @ Boston University L 65-67 34%    
Projected Record 12.3 - 16.7 7.9 - 10.1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 5.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.7 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.2 3.5 1.9 0.6 0.1 8.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.5 2.3 0.4 0.0 9.8 4th
5th 0.3 2.3 5.2 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.0 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.2 3.1 0.3 0.0 11.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.2 5.2 2.7 0.4 0.0 12.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.0 4.4 2.1 0.4 0.0 12.6 9th
10th 0.3 1.0 2.5 3.4 2.4 1.0 0.2 10.8 10th
Total 0.3 1.1 2.8 4.9 7.2 9.0 10.2 11.2 11.1 10.5 9.6 7.6 5.7 4.2 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 97.6% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-3 86.8% 1.2    0.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 63.9% 1.6    1.0 0.6 0.1
13-5 33.5% 1.4    0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
12-6 11.8% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.8% 5.8 3.2 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 94.9% 94.1% 0.8% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.3%
17-1 0.2% 62.4% 62.1% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8%
16-2 0.6% 42.3% 40.2% 2.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.4%
15-3 1.4% 41.5% 41.4% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.1%
14-4 2.6% 27.0% 27.0% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.9 0.0%
13-5 4.2% 14.9% 14.9% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 3.6
12-6 5.7% 13.8% 13.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 4.9
11-7 7.6% 8.1% 8.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 7.0
10-8 9.6% 5.7% 5.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 9.0
9-9 10.5% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.3 10.1
8-10 11.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.9
7-11 11.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 11.1
6-12 10.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.1
5-13 9.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.9
4-14 7.2% 7.2
3-15 4.9% 4.9
2-16 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.8
1-17 1.1% 1.1
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.3 95.1 0.0%