IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.1	#165
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.4	#219
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.0	#108

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.2	#252

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.4%	4.8%	1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.9%	2.3%	0.4%
Average Seed	11.5	11.0	12.3

.500 or above	45.4%	66.4%	36.1%
.500 or above in Conference	39.4%	51.9%	33.8%
Conference Champion	1.3%	2.5%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	12.0%	7.5%	14.0%

First Four	0.4%	1.1%	0.1%
First Round	2.2%	4.3%	1.2%
Second Round	0.6%	1.3%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UNLV (Away) - 30.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.1 - 2.1	0.1 - 2.1
Quad 1b	0.2 - 1.6	0.3 - 3.7
Quad 2	1.1 - 3.6	1.4 - 7.3
Quad 3	3.5 - 4.9	4.9 - 12.2
Quad 4	8.2 - 2.7	13.1 - 14.9

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2018	139	@ UNLV	L	77-79	31%
Nov 13, 2018	342	Cal St. Northridge	W	77-63	94%
Nov 16, 2018	69	Georgetown	L	72-80	23%
Nov 18, 2018	142	Ohio	L	75-77	44%
Nov 21, 2018	313	Central Connecticut St.	W	74-65	85%
Nov 24, 2018	352	Florida A&M	W	80-62	96%
Dec 02, 2018	50	@ UCLA	L	73-83	13%
Dec 05, 2018	143	@ Cal St. Fullerton	L	73-75	35%
Dec 15, 2018	246	@ Portland St.	W	83-78	57%
Dec 19, 2018	95	Boise St.	L	70-75	42%
Dec 22, 2018	282	@ UC Riverside	W	74-68	60%
Dec 28, 2018	131	UC Davis	L	69-72	50%
Jan 03, 2019	234	@ Pepperdine	W	76-72	53%
Jan 05, 2019	241	Portland	W	74-70	73%
Jan 12, 2019	59	St. Mary's	L	65-74	31%
Jan 17, 2019	5	@ Gonzaga	L	67-85	4%
Jan 19, 2019	234	Pepperdine	W	76-72	72%
Jan 24, 2019	121	@ San Diego	L	69-72	30%
Jan 26, 2019	217	@ Santa Clara	W	70-67	51%
Jan 31, 2019	168	Pacific	W	73-72	60%
Feb 02, 2019	63	@ BYU	L	68-76	17%
Feb 07, 2019	121	San Diego	L	69-72	49%
Feb 09, 2019	241	@ Portland	W	74-70	54%
Feb 14, 2019	5	Gonzaga	L	67-85	10%
Feb 16, 2019	63	BYU	L	68-76	34%
Feb 23, 2019	168	@ Pacific	W	73-72	41%
Feb 28, 2019	217	Santa Clara	W	70-67	69%
Mar 02, 2019	137	@ San Francisco	L	69-71	32%
Projected Record						13.1 - 14.9	6.8 - 9.2

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0		1.3	1st
2nd									0.0	0.1	0.7	1.9	1.6	0.7	0.3				5.3	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.3	1.9	3.4	2.7	0.7	0.0					9.0	3rd
4th							0.0	0.4	3.5	5.4	2.7	0.5	0.0						12.5	4th
5th						0.0	0.7	4.5	6.3	2.5	0.3	0.0							14.4	5th
6th						0.5	4.7	6.5	2.1	0.2									14.0	6th
7th					0.5	4.5	6.5	1.9	0.2	0.0									13.6	7th
8th			0.0	0.6	4.0	5.7	2.1	0.1											12.4	8th
9th		0.0	1.1	3.3	4.5	1.5	0.1												10.5	9th
10th	0.4	1.6	2.4	1.9	0.7	0.0													7.0	10th

Total	0.4	1.6	3.5	5.7	9.6	12.3	14.0	13.4	12.4	10.2	7.2	5.1	2.5	1.1	0.7	0.2	0.0			Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	100.0%	0.2		0.1	0.0
14-2	59.7%	0.4		0.2	0.2
13-3	37.4%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.1
12-4	9.5%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-5	0.9%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.0%
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	1.3%	1.3		0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%									0.0	0.0			0.0
15-1	0.2%		73.2%	10.9%	62.3%	6.9				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		69.9%
14-2	0.7%		66.9%	24.0%	42.9%	9.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0				0.2		56.4%
13-3	1.1%		29.8%	13.1%	16.7%	10.6							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.8		19.2%
12-4	2.5%		12.5%	6.6%	6.0%	11.3								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			2.2		6.4%
11-5	5.1%		7.2%	4.1%	3.2%	11.8											0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		4.7		3.3%
10-6	7.2%		2.5%	2.1%	0.4%	12.8												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	7.0		0.4%
9-7	10.2%		2.0%	2.0%		13.7												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	10.0
8-8	12.4%		0.9%	0.9%		13.9												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	12.3
7-9	13.4%		0.8%	0.8%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	13.3
6-10	14.0%		0.6%	0.6%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	14.0
5-11	12.3%		0.3%	0.3%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.0	12.3
4-12	9.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	9.6
3-13	5.7%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	5.7
2-14	3.5%																							3.5
1-15	1.6%																							1.6
0-16	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		2.4%	1.4%	0.9%	11.5				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.1	97.6		0.9%