Preseason Rankings
Ohio
Mid-American
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#142
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.5#46
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#162
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#127
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% 10.7% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.3% 2.6% 0.6%
Average Seed 12.0 11.9 13.1
.500 or above 62.6% 67.7% 38.3%
.500 or above in Conference 61.8% 64.9% 47.3%
Conference Champion 9.3% 10.3% 4.7%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 5.0% 11.8%
First Four1.2% 1.3% 0.6%
First Round9.2% 10.2% 4.6%
Second Round2.3% 2.5% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Campbell (Home) - 82.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.2 - 1.80.2 - 1.8
Quad 1b0.4 - 1.50.6 - 3.3
Quad 21.6 - 3.12.2 - 6.4
Quad 36.2 - 4.88.4 - 11.2
Quad 47.5 - 1.915.9 - 13.1


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2018 254   Campbell W 79-72 83%    
  Nov 16, 2018 250   South Florida W 74-67 73%    
  Nov 18, 2018 165   Loyola Marymount W 77-75 56%    
  Nov 24, 2018 188   Austin Peay W 78-75 70%    
  Nov 27, 2018 133   Iona L 79-80 57%    
  Dec 01, 2018 99   Marshall L 82-85 50%    
  Dec 05, 2018 44   @ Xavier L 75-83 16%    
  Dec 08, 2018 149   Radford W 69-68 62%    
  Dec 15, 2018 336   @ Detroit Mercy W 88-74 83%    
  Dec 20, 2018 27   @ Purdue L 69-80 12%    
  Dec 30, 2018 226   Florida International W 77-72 76%    
  Jan 05, 2019 186   Northern Illinois W 76-73 69%    
  Jan 08, 2019 205   @ Bowling Green W 79-75 54%    
  Jan 12, 2019 111   @ Ball St. L 76-78 33%    
  Jan 15, 2019 159   Kent St. W 76-75 64%    
  Jan 18, 2019 126   @ Toledo L 77-78 36%    
  Jan 22, 2019 211   Western Michigan W 77-72 74%    
  Jan 26, 2019 111   Ball St. L 76-78 53%    
  Jan 29, 2019 186   @ Northern Illinois W 76-73 49%    
  Feb 02, 2019 184   Akron W 76-73 67%    
  Feb 09, 2019 170   @ Miami (OH) W 73-71 47%    
  Feb 12, 2019 135   Eastern Michigan L 69-70 58%    
  Feb 16, 2019 219   @ Central Michigan W 78-73 56%    
  Feb 19, 2019 65   @ Buffalo L 78-85 21%    
  Feb 22, 2019 205   Bowling Green W 79-75 72%    
  Feb 26, 2019 159   @ Kent St. W 76-75 44%    
  Mar 02, 2019 184   @ Akron W 76-73 47%    
  Mar 05, 2019 65   Buffalo L 78-85 39%    
  Mar 08, 2019 170   Miami (OH) W 73-71 66%    
Projected Record 15.9 - 13.1 9.5 - 8.5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.3 2.7 1.7 0.9 0.2 9.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 2.6 3.7 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 10.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.5 4.3 2.1 0.4 0.0 11.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.5 4.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 4.9 2.0 0.3 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.9 2.7 0.3 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 2.9 2.3 0.6 0.0 6.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 2.2 2.2 0.8 0.0 6.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.7 0.5 0.0 5.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.4 12th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.8 3.4 5.2 6.7 9.0 10.4 11.0 11.6 10.8 9.2 7.3 5.5 3.5 1.8 0.9 0.2 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 98.4% 0.9    0.9 0.0
16-2 93.1% 1.7    1.5 0.2 0.0
15-3 78.5% 2.7    1.7 0.9 0.1
14-4 41.9% 2.3    1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 15.7% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.0% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.3% 9.3 5.7 2.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 99.8% 56.6% 43.2% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.5%
17-1 0.9% 84.1% 47.2% 36.9% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 69.8%
16-2 1.8% 60.4% 28.5% 31.9% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 44.6%
15-3 3.5% 46.0% 32.0% 14.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9 20.6%
14-4 5.5% 24.7% 17.7% 7.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.1 8.5%
13-5 7.3% 15.9% 14.4% 1.5% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 6.1 1.8%
12-6 9.2% 13.5% 12.8% 0.8% 13.3 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 8.0 0.9%
11-7 10.8% 7.6% 7.5% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 10.0 0.1%
10-8 11.6% 5.9% 5.8% 0.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 10.9 0.1%
9-9 11.0% 3.2% 3.2% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.7
8-10 10.4% 2.0% 2.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.2
7-11 9.0% 1.3% 1.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.9
6-12 6.7% 1.1% 1.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.6
5-13 5.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.2
4-14 3.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.4
3-15 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.8
2-16 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.7% 7.6% 2.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.5 1.9 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.5 90.3 2.3%