Preseason Rankings
Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.4#18
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.5#291
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#37
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+7.0#10
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 1.3% 1.3% 0.0%
#1 Seed 5.8% 5.9% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 12.9% 28.6% 6.1%
Top 4 Seed 28.2% 28.6% 6.1%
Top 6 Seed 42.6% 28.6% 6.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 71.5% 72.2% 34.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 69.6% 70.3% 32.5%
Average Seed 5.7 5.7 7.2
.500 or above 90.6% 91.2% 59.2%
.500 or above in Conference 73.1% 73.7% 44.3%
Conference Champion 8.1% 8.2% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.7% 6.0%
First Four4.2% 4.3% 1.1%
First Round69.3% 70.0% 33.2%
Second Round48.5% 49.1% 20.4%
Sweet Sixteen24.7% 25.1% 6.5%
Elite Eight13.1% 13.2% 4.6%
Final Four6.4% 6.5% 1.6%
Championship Game2.8% 2.9% 0.8%
National Champion1.1% 1.2% 0.0%

Next Game: The Citadel (Home) - 98.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2.2 - 4.82.2 - 4.8
Quad 1b2.5 - 2.24.7 - 7.0
Quad 24.4 - 1.99.0 - 8.9
Quad 35.8 - 0.814.9 - 9.7
Quad 46.2 - 0.221.1 - 9.9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 265   The Citadel W 91-72 98%    
  Nov 09, 2018 302   NC Central W 75-54 99%    
  Nov 14, 2018 258   Sam Houston St. W 76-57 98%    
  Nov 19, 2018 184   Akron W 76-62 90%    
  Nov 20, 2018 80   Georgia W 67-60 74%    
  Nov 21, 2018 41   Creighton W 74-71 61%    
  Nov 26, 2018 35   Nebraska W 70-68 67%    
  Dec 04, 2018 178   St. Peter's W 68-54 93%    
  Dec 08, 2018 21   Mississippi St. W 69-68 51%    
  Dec 15, 2018 149   Radford W 70-58 91%    
  Dec 18, 2018 232   Charleston Southern W 76-58 96%    
  Dec 22, 2018 61   @ South Carolina W 70-65 55%    
  Dec 30, 2018 136   Lipscomb W 82-71 89%    
  Jan 05, 2019 4   @ Duke L 71-76 26%    
  Jan 09, 2019 12   @ Syracuse L 63-65 35%    
  Jan 12, 2019 2   Virginia L 57-62 42%    
  Jan 16, 2019 113   Georgia Tech W 70-60 85%    
  Jan 22, 2019 15   @ Florida St. L 74-75 38%    
  Jan 26, 2019 38   @ North Carolina St. W 77-74 50%    
  Jan 29, 2019 167   Pittsburgh W 72-58 92%    
  Feb 03, 2019 115   Wake Forest W 76-66 86%    
  Feb 06, 2019 113   @ Georgia Tech W 70-60 71%    
  Feb 09, 2019 20   Virginia Tech W 73-72 59%    
  Feb 13, 2019 23   @ Miami (FL) W 69-68 41%    
  Feb 16, 2019 54   @ Louisville W 73-69 53%    
  Feb 19, 2019 15   Florida St. L 74-75 57%    
  Feb 23, 2019 78   Boston College W 75-68 78%    
  Feb 27, 2019 167   @ Pittsburgh W 72-58 82%    
  Mar 02, 2019 6   North Carolina L 73-77 45%    
  Mar 06, 2019 49   @ Notre Dame W 69-65 53%    
  Mar 09, 2019 12   Syracuse L 63-65 55%    
Projected Record 21.1 - 9.9 10.5 - 7.5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.7 2.3 0.9 0.3 8.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.3 2.2 0.4 0.0 10.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.2 2.3 0.3 10.0 3rd
4th 0.3 2.1 4.8 2.4 0.2 0.0 9.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.9 3.0 0.5 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.4 3.1 0.4 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.6 4.3 0.8 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.6 3.8 1.5 0.1 8.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 3.5 2.3 0.2 0.0 7.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 14th
15th 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 15th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.8 4.9 7.2 9.4 10.4 12.3 11.6 11.4 9.9 8.4 5.1 2.7 1.0 0.3 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 95.8% 0.9    0.8 0.1 0.0
16-2 84.3% 2.3    1.6 0.7 0.0
15-3 51.8% 2.7    1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-4 19.7% 1.7    0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.1% 8.1 4.3 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 100.0% 34.1% 65.9% 1.1 0.3 0.0 100.0%
17-1 1.0% 100.0% 25.2% 74.8% 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 2.7% 100.0% 18.5% 81.5% 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 100.0%
15-3 5.1% 100.0% 13.1% 86.9% 2.0 1.7 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 8.4% 100.0% 11.1% 88.9% 2.9 1.0 2.5 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 9.9% 100.0% 10.3% 89.7% 4.1 0.4 1.0 2.4 2.7 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 11.4% 99.0% 7.0% 92.0% 5.4 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.2 2.7 1.9 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.9%
11-7 11.6% 96.8% 5.7% 91.1% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.8 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 96.6%
10-8 12.3% 85.7% 5.0% 80.7% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.8 85.0%
9-9 10.4% 66.6% 3.7% 63.0% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.5 65.4%
8-10 9.4% 32.1% 2.2% 29.9% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.4 30.6%
7-11 7.2% 12.4% 1.3% 11.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3 11.2%
6-12 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 1.5% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8 1.6%
5-13 2.8% 1.9% 1.9% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
4-14 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
3-15 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 71.5% 6.3% 65.2% 5.7 5.8 7.1 7.5 7.8 7.7 6.8 6.9 6.2 5.3 5.0 4.2 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 28.5 69.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 1.1 86.1 13.9