Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#249
Achievement Rating-2.6#200
Pace61.8#335
Improvement-2.1#276

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#190
First Shot+0.9#155
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#259
Layup/Dunks-0.8#204
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#191
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#113
Freethrows+0.4#151
Improvement-4.4#330

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#303
First Shot-3.8#291
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#278
Layups/Dunks-0.4#192
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#299
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#303
Freethrows+1.6#72
Improvement+2.3#73
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 1.9% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 65.4% 100.0% 44.2%
.500 or above in Conference 63.0% 100.0% 40.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.7%
First Round1.3% 1.8% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Away) - 37.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 21   @ Maryland L 67-73 3%     0 - 1 +11.3 +1.2 +10.2
  Nov 10, 2018 310   @ St. Peter's W 78-75 53%     1 - 1 -3.0 -2.1 -1.1
  Nov 15, 2018 210   @ Cornell W 73-56 32%     2 - 1 +16.8 +5.1 +12.9
  Nov 23, 2018 110   UNC Greensboro L 65-84 26%     2 - 2 -17.6 -4.2 -13.9
  Nov 26, 2018 136   Louisiana Tech W 75-71 33%     3 - 2 +3.3 +18.5 -14.3
  Nov 30, 2018 352   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 71-62 88%     4 - 2 -8.9 +0.3 -8.1
  Dec 02, 2018 237   @ Columbia W 87-86 37%     5 - 2 -0.8 +8.1 -9.0
  Dec 05, 2018 301   Navy L 65-80 70%     5 - 3 -25.7 -2.3 -25.4
  Dec 09, 2018 240   St. Francis (PA) W 88-83 58%     6 - 3 -2.4 +18.2 -20.0
  Dec 16, 2018 170   @ Stony Brook L 68-74 23%     6 - 4 -3.6 +6.8 -11.0
  Dec 19, 2018 353   Delaware St. L 71-73 95%     6 - 5 -26.1 -12.5 -13.6
  Dec 28, 2018 87   @ Hofstra L 46-91 10%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -36.4 -27.1 -9.6
  Dec 30, 2018 101   @ Northeastern W 82-80 12%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +9.6 +4.9 +4.5
  Jan 03, 2019 204   William & Mary W 58-56 51%     8 - 6 2 - 1 -3.4 -13.4 +10.3
  Jan 05, 2019 316   Elon W 77-65 76%     9 - 6 3 - 1 -0.4 +7.3 -6.4
  Jan 10, 2019 252   @ UNC Wilmington W 82-69 40%     10 - 6 4 - 1 +10.3 +11.7 +0.0
  Jan 12, 2019 123   @ College of Charleston L 58-71 15%     10 - 7 4 - 2 -7.0 -10.2 +2.6
  Jan 17, 2019 258   James Madison W 76-69 62%     11 - 7 5 - 2 -1.4 +11.7 -11.9
  Jan 19, 2019 253   Towson L 63-64 62%     11 - 8 5 - 3 -9.2 -0.8 -8.6
  Jan 26, 2019 243   Drexel W 76-75 59%     12 - 8 6 - 3 -6.6 -4.5 -2.1
  Jan 31, 2019 316   @ Elon L 56-57 57%     12 - 9 6 - 4 -7.9 -12.3 +4.2
  Feb 02, 2019 204   @ William & Mary L 63-84 30%     12 - 10 6 - 5 -20.8 -13.1 -7.1
  Feb 07, 2019 123   College of Charleston L 75-83 29%     12 - 11 6 - 6 -7.5 +9.8 -18.2
  Feb 09, 2019 252   UNC Wilmington W 70-66 62%     13 - 11 7 - 6 -4.2 -5.4 +1.6
  Feb 14, 2019 253   @ Towson W 78-71 40%     14 - 11 8 - 6 +4.3 -5.9 +9.4
  Feb 16, 2019 258   @ James Madison L 61-68 41%     14 - 12 8 - 7 -9.9 -6.7 -4.0
  Feb 23, 2019 243   @ Drexel L 73-76 38%    
  Feb 28, 2019 101   Northeastern L 67-74 25%    
  Mar 02, 2019 87   Hofstra L 70-78 23%    
Projected Record 14.9 - 14.1 8.9 - 9.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.5 0.7 3rd
4th 19.9 39.1 17.3 2.1 78.5 4th
5th 15.5 3.7 19.2 5th
6th 1.5 1.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 37.0 42.8 17.6 2.6 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 2.6% 3.1% 3.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.5
10-8 17.6% 2.1% 2.1% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 17.2
9-9 42.8% 1.6% 1.6% 15.8 0.2 0.5 42.1
8-10 37.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4 36.6
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.2 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 15.0 11.0 75.6 13.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0%
Lose Out 22.5%