Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#218
Achievement Rating+2.9#141
Pace62.7#335
Improvement-4.1#347

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#110
First Shot+2.1#119
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#153
Layup/Dunks+1.3#133
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#55
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#203
Freethrows-1.0#223
Improvement+2.0#41

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#318
First Shot-4.9#317
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#219
Layups/Dunks-0.9#215
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#312
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#261
Freethrows+0.9#139
Improvement-6.1#353
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 4.3% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 65.2% 81.0% 58.8%
.500 or above in Conference 46.3% 54.5% 42.9%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.9% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 8.6% 5.3% 9.9%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round3.0% 4.2% 2.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Away) - 29.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 30   @ Maryland L 67-73 5%     0 - 1 +9.4 +0.5 +9.1
  Nov 10, 2018 268   @ St. Peter's W 78-75 49%     1 - 1 -0.1 -0.5 +0.1
  Nov 15, 2018 234   @ Cornell W 73-56 43%     2 - 1 +15.7 +4.8 +12.1
  Nov 23, 2018 106   UNC Greensboro L 65-84 31%     2 - 2 -17.2 -4.3 -13.4
  Nov 26, 2018 121   Louisiana Tech W 75-71 35%     3 - 2 +4.7 +15.4 -9.9
  Nov 30, 2018 348   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 71-62 84%     4 - 2 -4.7 +2.7 -6.2
  Dec 02, 2018 241   @ Columbia W 87-86 45%     5 - 2 -0.9 +4.6 -5.7
  Dec 05, 2018 313   Navy L 65-80 80%     5 - 3 -26.9 -3.9 -25.1
  Dec 09, 2018 214   St. Francis (PA) W 88-83 61%     6 - 3 -1.1 +18.8 -19.3
  Dec 16, 2018 167   @ Stony Brook L 69-75 29%    
  Dec 19, 2018 353   Delaware St. W 84-63 97%    
  Dec 28, 2018 116   @ Hofstra L 70-80 17%    
  Dec 30, 2018 91   @ Northeastern L 67-79 13%    
  Jan 03, 2019 194   William & Mary W 77-75 57%    
  Jan 05, 2019 304   Elon W 76-68 76%    
  Jan 10, 2019 239   @ UNC Wilmington L 77-78 45%    
  Jan 12, 2019 113   @ College of Charleston L 64-74 16%    
  Jan 17, 2019 232   James Madison W 71-67 63%    
  Jan 19, 2019 284   Towson W 73-66 73%    
  Jan 26, 2019 249   Drexel W 79-74 67%    
  Jan 31, 2019 304   @ Elon W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 02, 2019 194   @ William & Mary L 74-78 36%    
  Feb 07, 2019 113   College of Charleston L 67-71 34%    
  Feb 09, 2019 239   UNC Wilmington W 80-75 67%    
  Feb 14, 2019 284   @ Towson W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 16, 2019 232   @ James Madison L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 23, 2019 249   @ Drexel L 76-77 46%    
  Feb 28, 2019 91   Northeastern L 70-76 30%    
  Mar 02, 2019 116   Hofstra L 73-77 34%    
Projected Record 15.5 - 13.5 8.2 - 9.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.5 3.2 1.0 0.1 9.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.9 6.0 4.1 1.2 0.1 15.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.2 7.3 3.4 0.7 0.0 17.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.5 6.4 2.8 0.3 14.8 6th
7th 0.8 4.2 5.5 2.2 0.2 12.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.9 1.6 0.2 10.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 2.1 3.1 1.2 0.1 7.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.6 0.4 0.1 4.7 10th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.3 4.4 7.5 11.2 12.7 14.6 14.4 11.5 8.9 6.0 3.1 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 92.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 67.9% 0.4    0.3 0.1
14-4 51.9% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1
13-5 10.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.6% 10.7% 10.7% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.5% 13.6% 13.6% 14.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3
13-5 3.1% 11.4% 11.4% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.7
12-6 6.0% 7.3% 7.3% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 5.6
11-7 8.9% 7.1% 7.1% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 8.3
10-8 11.5% 5.3% 5.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 10.9
9-9 14.4% 2.6% 2.6% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 14.1
8-10 14.6% 1.6% 1.6% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 14.3
7-11 12.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 12.5
6-12 11.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.1
5-13 7.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.5
4-14 4.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.4
3-15 2.3% 2.3
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 14.8 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.8 96.8 0.0%