Maryland
Big Ten
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.5#30
Achievement Rating+13.3#36
Pace68.8#210
Improvement+2.7#24

Offense
Total Offense+6.2#36
First Shot+3.4#76
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#40
Layup/Dunks+3.5#71
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#178
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#191
Freethrows+0.5#149
Improvement+1.2#79

Defense
Total Defense+6.3#30
First Shot+5.3#35
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#108
Layups/Dunks+3.0#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#239
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#160
Freethrows+2.8#43
Improvement+1.5#70
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Top 4 Seed 19.2% 22.9% 9.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 67.7% 72.5% 54.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 66.4% 71.3% 53.3%
Average Seed 6.5 6.2 7.3
.500 or above 92.7% 95.5% 85.0%
.500 or above in Conference 54.5% 57.5% 46.6%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.4% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.9% 3.3%
First Four5.3% 5.1% 5.9%
First Round65.4% 70.3% 51.9%
Second Round43.0% 47.2% 31.6%
Sweet Sixteen19.8% 22.3% 13.1%
Elite Eight8.1% 9.2% 5.1%
Final Four3.2% 3.7% 1.9%
Championship Game1.2% 1.4% 0.6%
National Champion0.4% 0.5% 0.2%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Home) - 73.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 219   Delaware W 73-67 95%     1 - 0 -0.3 -8.5 +8.1
  Nov 09, 2018 311   @ Navy W 78-57 95%     2 - 0 +15.1 +2.5 +12.4
  Nov 12, 2018 323   N.C. A&T W 82-59 98%     3 - 0 +9.3 +1.8 +7.6
  Nov 16, 2018 119   Hofstra W 80-69 86%     4 - 0 +11.8 +9.8 +2.8
  Nov 18, 2018 340   Mount St. Mary's W 92-77 99%     5 - 0 -1.3 +8.3 -10.4
  Nov 23, 2018 131   Marshall W 104-67 88%     6 - 0 +36.7 +13.8 +16.6
  Nov 28, 2018 7   Virginia L 71-76 40%     6 - 1 +10.1 +17.7 -8.4
  Dec 01, 2018 54   Penn St. W 66-59 73%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +13.1 +5.8 +8.0
  Dec 06, 2018 20   @ Purdue L 60-62 35%     7 - 2 1 - 1 +14.3 -1.7 +15.8
  Dec 08, 2018 96   Loyola Chicago W 55-41 75%     8 - 2 +19.4 -3.3 +24.8
  Dec 11, 2018 298   Loyola Maryland W 94-71 97%     9 - 2 +12.4 +12.4 -0.3
  Dec 22, 2018 55   Seton Hall W 76-69 73%    
  Dec 29, 2018 133   Radford W 75-62 88%    
  Jan 02, 2019 16   Nebraska W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 05, 2019 98   @ Rutgers W 68-64 65%    
  Jan 08, 2019 60   @ Minnesota W 73-72 54%    
  Jan 11, 2019 23   Indiana W 72-70 59%    
  Jan 14, 2019 13   Wisconsin W 66-65 51%    
  Jan 18, 2019 14   @ Ohio St. L 67-72 32%    
  Jan 21, 2019 5   @ Michigan St. L 69-78 21%    
  Jan 26, 2019 91   Illinois W 78-71 73%    
  Jan 29, 2019 48   Northwestern W 72-66 70%    
  Feb 01, 2019 13   @ Wisconsin L 62-68 30%    
  Feb 06, 2019 16   @ Nebraska L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 12, 2019 20   Purdue W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 16, 2019 3   @ Michigan L 61-70 20%    
  Feb 19, 2019 39   @ Iowa L 76-78 44%    
  Feb 23, 2019 14   Ohio St. W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 27, 2019 54   @ Penn St. W 68-67 51%    
  Mar 03, 2019 3   Michigan L 64-67 38%    
  Mar 08, 2019 60   Minnesota W 76-69 74%    
Projected Record 19.4 - 11.6 9.8 - 10.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.7 2.1 0.4 0.0 6.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 3.6 3.0 0.6 0.0 8.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.8 4.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.6 5.3 1.6 0.1 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.8 2.6 0.2 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.6 3.4 0.4 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.6 3.8 0.7 0.0 10.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 3.3 3.8 0.9 0.0 8.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.1 1.1 0.1 6.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.2 5.8 8.8 11.8 13.9 14.4 13.2 10.8 7.6 4.7 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 98.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 86.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 61.0% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 28.3% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 7.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 28.6% 71.4% 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.3% 100.0% 21.5% 78.5% 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.0% 100.0% 20.4% 79.6% 1.9 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.4% 100.0% 17.9% 82.1% 2.4 0.2 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
14-6 4.7% 99.9% 12.7% 87.2% 3.2 0.1 1.1 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
13-7 7.6% 99.7% 8.7% 91.0% 4.0 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.5 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
12-8 10.8% 98.9% 5.9% 93.0% 5.1 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.8 3.1 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.8%
11-9 13.2% 96.7% 3.7% 92.9% 6.2 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.9 3.2 2.5 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 96.6%
10-10 14.4% 91.2% 2.4% 88.7% 7.4 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.5 2.9 2.8 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 91.0%
9-11 13.9% 69.8% 1.6% 68.3% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.2 2.3 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.2 69.3%
8-12 11.8% 36.2% 1.0% 35.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 7.5 35.6%
7-13 8.8% 10.5% 0.7% 9.8% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 7.9 9.9%
6-14 5.8% 1.6% 0.4% 1.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7 1.2%
5-15 3.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 0.2%
4-16 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 67.7% 3.9% 63.8% 6.5 0.9 3.6 6.5 8.2 9.3 8.5 7.4 6.4 5.2 4.5 4.1 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 32.3 66.4%