Navy
Patriot League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#307
Achievement Rating-7.7#262
Pace64.1#313
Improvement+2.4#35

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#323
First Shot-7.9#336
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#73
Layup/Dunks-5.2#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#103
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#318
Freethrows+1.5#100
Improvement+1.9#36

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#249
First Shot-2.8#265
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#152
Layups/Dunks+0.8#152
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#189
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#261
Freethrows-1.0#231
Improvement+0.5#133
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 2.0% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 4.0% 14.1% 3.5%
.500 or above in Conference 14.3% 24.0% 13.9%
Conference Champion 0.5% 1.2% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 32.0% 21.7% 32.5%
First Four0.6% 0.7% 0.6%
First Round0.7% 1.7% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lipscomb (Away) - 4.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 105   @ Old Dominion L 44-67 7%     0 - 1 -15.1 -16.9 +0.0
  Nov 09, 2018 29   Maryland L 57-78 6%     0 - 2 -11.5 -11.3 +0.1
  Nov 14, 2018 350   Coppin St. W 77-58 85%     1 - 2 -0.9 -2.8 +2.2
  Nov 18, 2018 339   Bryant W 83-79 75%     2 - 2 -11.7 -1.3 -10.5
  Nov 20, 2018 312   @ Morgan St. L 51-75 40%     2 - 3 -30.0 -22.3 -8.2
  Nov 28, 2018 109   Liberty L 58-76 17%     2 - 4 -16.4 -7.2 -11.6
  Dec 01, 2018 176   Brown L 50-67 34%     2 - 5 -21.2 -22.5 +1.3
  Dec 05, 2018 220   @ Delaware W 80-65 22%     3 - 5 +14.5 +15.4 +1.2
  Dec 09, 2018 74   @ Lipscomb L 63-81 4%    
  Dec 21, 2018 171   @ George Mason L 62-73 15%    
  Dec 30, 2018 231   @ Cornell L 64-71 25%    
  Jan 03, 2019 168   Colgate L 64-69 32%    
  Jan 06, 2019 157   Holy Cross L 60-66 29%    
  Jan 09, 2019 189   @ American L 61-71 18%    
  Jan 12, 2019 187   Boston University L 63-67 35%    
  Jan 16, 2019 317   @ Lafayette L 67-69 43%    
  Jan 19, 2019 276   @ Army L 65-70 32%    
  Jan 23, 2019 148   Lehigh L 68-74 28%    
  Jan 26, 2019 157   @ Holy Cross L 57-69 14%    
  Jan 30, 2019 162   @ Bucknell L 63-75 15%    
  Feb 02, 2019 296   Loyola Maryland W 70-68 58%    
  Feb 06, 2019 189   American L 64-68 36%    
  Feb 09, 2019 148   @ Lehigh L 65-77 13%    
  Feb 13, 2019 317   Lafayette W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 16, 2019 276   Army W 68-67 53%    
  Feb 20, 2019 296   @ Loyola Maryland L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 23, 2019 168   @ Colgate L 61-72 16%    
  Feb 27, 2019 162   Bucknell L 66-72 31%    
  Mar 02, 2019 187   @ Boston University L 60-70 19%    
Projected Record 9.2 - 19.8 5.7 - 12.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.0 1.2 0.1 5.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.4 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.0 6.2 3.0 0.4 0.0 14.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.7 7.4 3.4 0.4 0.0 18.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.7 7.3 7.0 2.9 0.3 0.0 22.0 9th
10th 0.6 2.8 5.7 6.6 4.4 1.5 0.2 0.0 21.8 10th
Total 0.6 2.8 6.5 10.5 13.5 15.1 14.8 12.5 9.4 6.5 3.9 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 91.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 69.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 37.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 13.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 21.7% 21.7% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 12.4% 12.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.5% 11.5% 11.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 1.0% 7.0% 7.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
11-7 2.2% 5.5% 5.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.1
10-8 3.9% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.7
9-9 6.5% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.4
8-10 9.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.2
7-11 12.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 12.4
6-12 14.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.8
5-13 15.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.0
4-14 13.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.4
3-15 10.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.5
2-16 6.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.5
1-17 2.8% 2.8
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%