Navy
Patriot League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#301
Achievement Rating-7.1#275
Pace67.4#225
Improvement+3.5#43

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#316
First Shot-6.7#329
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#113
Layup/Dunks-6.2#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#55
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#255
Freethrows-0.8#234
Improvement+1.2#118

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#233
First Shot-2.8#260
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#103
Layups/Dunks-0.4#193
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#272
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#190
Freethrows-0.9#236
Improvement+2.3#74
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.5% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 6.1% 15.2% 1.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 22.2% 1.7% 33.2%
First Four0.9% 1.4% 0.6%
First Round0.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Maryland (Away) - 34.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 111   @ Old Dominion L 44-67 9%     0 - 1 -16.1 -19.8 +1.9
  Nov 09, 2018 21   Maryland L 57-78 4%     0 - 2 -9.2 -10.5 +1.4
  Nov 14, 2018 345   Coppin St. W 77-58 82%     1 - 2 +1.2 -0.4 +1.8
  Nov 18, 2018 326   Bryant W 83-79 72%     2 - 2 -9.8 -0.6 -9.3
  Nov 20, 2018 334   @ Morgan St. L 51-75 56%     2 - 3 -33.6 -23.2 -10.9
  Nov 28, 2018 99   Liberty L 58-76 17%     2 - 4 -15.7 -6.8 -11.3
  Dec 01, 2018 154   Brown L 50-67 29%     2 - 5 -19.2 -20.5 +1.3
  Dec 05, 2018 249   @ Delaware W 80-65 30%     3 - 5 +12.6 +14.8 -0.1
  Dec 09, 2018 48   @ Lipscomb L 81-107 4%     3 - 6 -13.9 +12.8 -25.7
  Dec 21, 2018 139   @ George Mason L 63-84 12%     3 - 7 -16.4 -8.0 -8.0
  Dec 30, 2018 210   @ Cornell L 50-61 23%     3 - 8 -11.2 -20.8 +9.1
  Jan 03, 2019 153   Colgate W 72-66 29%     4 - 8 1 - 0 +3.8 -1.3 +5.3
  Jan 06, 2019 234   Holy Cross W 50-48 47%     5 - 8 2 - 0 -5.2 -21.3 +16.3
  Jan 09, 2019 208   @ American L 63-71 23%     5 - 9 2 - 1 -8.0 -5.4 -3.3
  Jan 12, 2019 232   Boston University L 69-75 47%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -13.2 -6.7 -6.6
  Jan 16, 2019 295   @ Lafayette W 85-77 38%     6 - 10 3 - 2 +3.2 +7.6 -4.5
  Jan 19, 2019 246   @ Army L 61-72 29%     6 - 11 3 - 3 -13.3 -7.8 -5.9
  Jan 23, 2019 158   Lehigh L 74-85 30%     6 - 12 3 - 4 -13.5 -11.3 -1.1
  Jan 26, 2019 234   @ Holy Cross L 64-69 28%     6 - 13 3 - 5 -6.7 +0.3 -7.8
  Jan 30, 2019 146   @ Bucknell L 57-69 13%     6 - 14 3 - 6 -7.7 -14.7 +7.2
  Feb 02, 2019 281   Loyola Maryland W 71-68 56%     7 - 14 4 - 6 -6.5 -11.7 +5.0
  Feb 06, 2019 208   American W 77-67 41%     8 - 14 5 - 6 +4.4 +3.0 +1.7
  Feb 09, 2019 158   @ Lehigh L 57-83 15%     8 - 15 5 - 7 -22.9 -18.9 -3.6
  Feb 13, 2019 295   Lafayette L 74-80 59%     8 - 16 5 - 8 -16.3 -6.7 -9.6
  Feb 16, 2019 246   Army W 79-68 50%     9 - 16 6 - 8 +3.2 +3.6 -0.6
  Feb 20, 2019 281   @ Loyola Maryland L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 23, 2019 153   @ Colgate L 64-75 14%    
  Feb 27, 2019 146   Bucknell L 68-75 27%    
  Mar 02, 2019 232   @ Boston University L 66-72 27%    
Projected Record 10.0 - 19.0 7.0 - 11.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.2 3rd
4th 1.5 3.1 0.3 4.9 4th
5th 0.9 11.4 2.2 0.0 14.5 5th
6th 13.3 8.0 0.1 21.5 6th
7th 1.3 21.6 0.6 23.5 7th
8th 14.7 4.9 0.0 19.6 8th
9th 12.8 0.2 13.0 9th
10th 2.8 0.0 2.8 10th
Total 31.7 40.8 21.5 5.5 0.5 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.5% 4.7% 4.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.5
9-9 5.5% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 5.4
8-10 21.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 21.1
7-11 40.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.3 40.6
6-12 31.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.2 31.5
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.9 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 15.8 20.8 79.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 19.2%