Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#251
Achievement Rating-5.0#234
Pace71.3#146
Improvement-0.1#180

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#142
First Shot+1.8#129
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#208
Layup/Dunks+1.4#136
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#188
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#125
Freethrows-1.0#225
Improvement+2.2#26

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#329
First Shot-7.3#348
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#110
Layups/Dunks-9.5#352
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#250
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#154
Freethrows+2.6#50
Improvement-2.3#321
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.3% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 14.6% 21.4% 7.9%
.500 or above in Conference 30.0% 34.7% 25.2%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.3% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 16.1% 13.2% 19.0%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
First Round1.5% 2.0% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Neutral) - 50.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 182   @ Eastern Michigan L 62-66 26%     0 - 1 -2.4 -3.6 +0.7
  Nov 11, 2018 99   @ Rutgers L 66-95 11%     0 - 2 -20.7 -3.6 -15.0
  Nov 17, 2018 258   @ La Salle W 89-84 40%     1 - 2 +2.4 +8.7 -6.6
  Nov 21, 2018 187   Boston University W 86-67 47%     2 - 2 +14.5 +12.8 +1.6
  Nov 25, 2018 203   @ Bowling Green L 71-81 29%     2 - 3 -9.6 -9.5 +1.1
  Nov 28, 2018 209   NJIT L 67-70 52%     2 - 4 -8.8 -8.1 -0.7
  Dec 01, 2018 281   Robert Morris W 82-69 67%     3 - 4 +3.3 +6.4 -3.2
  Dec 05, 2018 296   Loyola Maryland W 95-86 70%     4 - 4 -1.7 +21.9 -22.9
  Dec 08, 2018 192   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 76-91 49%     4 - 5 -19.9 +1.2 -20.6
  Dec 16, 2018 249   Quinnipiac L 72-73 50%    
  Dec 18, 2018 77   @ Connecticut L 73-88 8%    
  Dec 22, 2018 68   Temple L 70-79 19%    
  Dec 28, 2018 85   @ Northeastern L 71-85 9%    
  Dec 30, 2018 131   @ Hofstra L 74-85 16%    
  Jan 03, 2019 301   Elon W 80-74 70%    
  Jan 05, 2019 199   William & Mary L 81-82 50%    
  Jan 10, 2019 122   @ College of Charleston L 66-78 14%    
  Jan 12, 2019 219   @ UNC Wilmington L 81-86 32%    
  Jan 17, 2019 297   Towson W 77-71 69%    
  Jan 19, 2019 233   James Madison W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 26, 2019 220   @ Delaware L 73-78 34%    
  Jan 31, 2019 199   @ William & Mary L 78-84 29%    
  Feb 02, 2019 301   @ Elon L 77-78 49%    
  Feb 07, 2019 219   UNC Wilmington W 84-83 54%    
  Feb 09, 2019 122   College of Charleston L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 14, 2019 233   @ James Madison L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 16, 2019 297   @ Towson L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 23, 2019 220   Delaware W 76-75 55%    
  Feb 28, 2019 131   Hofstra L 77-82 33%    
  Mar 02, 2019 85   Northeastern L 74-82 24%    
Projected Record 11.9 - 18.1 7.1 - 10.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.1 2.0 0.3 0.0 9.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.8 5.5 2.3 0.3 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.5 6.4 2.5 0.3 0.0 14.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.7 6.9 2.6 0.3 0.0 15.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.8 6.3 2.5 0.2 0.0 15.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.5 5.0 1.9 0.2 13.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.2 2.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 9.5 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.2 4.8 8.4 11.7 13.9 14.8 13.6 11.3 8.2 5.2 3.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 94.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 83.9% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 54.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 18.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 20.8% 20.8% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 15.6% 15.6% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.6% 14.4% 14.4% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.4% 10.6% 10.6% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.3
12-6 3.0% 7.8% 7.8% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.7
11-7 5.2% 4.6% 4.6% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.0
10-8 8.2% 3.9% 3.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 7.9
9-9 11.3% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 11.0
8-10 13.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.4
7-11 14.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 14.7
6-12 13.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.8
5-13 11.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.6
4-14 8.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.4
3-15 4.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.8
2-16 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.2
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%