Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#243
Achievement Rating-4.9#238
Pace72.7#85
Improvement-1.7#258

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#147
First Shot+2.7#94
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#296
Layup/Dunks+2.4#98
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#222
Freethrows+0.7#132
Improvement-3.4#312

Defense
Total Defense-5.9#325
First Shot-5.9#331
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#184
Layups/Dunks-6.4#349
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#275
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#179
Freethrows+1.9#60
Improvement+1.7#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.2% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 4.3% 7.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 0.0% 6.8%
First Four0.7% 0.7% 0.6%
First Round0.7% 0.9% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware (Home) - 62.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 149   @ Eastern Michigan L 62-66 20%     0 - 1 +0.0 -1.6 +1.1
  Nov 11, 2018 90   @ Rutgers L 66-95 11%     0 - 2 -20.7 -5.0 -13.6
  Nov 17, 2018 198   @ La Salle W 89-84 30%     1 - 2 +5.5 +13.1 -7.9
  Nov 21, 2018 232   Boston University W 86-67 59%     2 - 2 +11.8 +7.8 +3.9
  Nov 25, 2018 100   @ Bowling Green L 71-81 12%     2 - 3 -2.3 -6.1 +5.0
  Nov 28, 2018 197   NJIT L 67-70 50%     2 - 4 -7.9 -5.1 -2.8
  Dec 01, 2018 272   Robert Morris W 82-69 66%     3 - 4 +3.9 +7.6 -3.8
  Dec 05, 2018 281   Loyola Maryland W 95-86 67%     4 - 4 -0.5 +23.3 -23.1
  Dec 08, 2018 219   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 76-91 55%     4 - 5 -21.1 +1.7 -22.3
  Dec 16, 2018 211   Quinnipiac W 92-83 43%     5 - 5 +6.0 +11.4 -5.9
  Dec 18, 2018 83   @ Connecticut L 65-97 11%     5 - 6 -23.2 -4.0 -19.3
  Dec 22, 2018 70   Temple L 64-82 19%     5 - 7 -13.8 -9.3 -3.6
  Dec 28, 2018 101   @ Northeastern L 83-93 12%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -2.4 +10.3 -12.4
  Dec 30, 2018 87   @ Hofstra L 75-89 11%     5 - 9 0 - 2 -5.4 +1.1 -6.4
  Jan 03, 2019 316   Elon W 79-65 77%     6 - 9 1 - 2 +1.6 +2.7 -0.8
  Jan 05, 2019 204   William & Mary L 66-84 52%     6 - 10 1 - 3 -23.4 -13.5 -9.2
  Jan 10, 2019 123   @ College of Charleston W 79-78 15%     7 - 10 2 - 3 +7.0 +11.6 -4.5
  Jan 12, 2019 252   @ UNC Wilmington L 83-97 41%     7 - 11 2 - 4 -16.7 -2.6 -13.0
  Jan 17, 2019 253   Towson W 72-66 63%     8 - 11 3 - 4 -2.2 +0.0 -1.8
  Jan 19, 2019 258   James Madison W 73-68 63%     9 - 11 4 - 4 -3.4 -9.0 +5.3
  Jan 26, 2019 249   @ Delaware L 75-76 41%     9 - 12 4 - 5 -3.4 -1.7 -1.7
  Jan 31, 2019 204   @ William & Mary L 69-75 31%     9 - 13 4 - 6 -5.8 -2.3 -3.9
  Feb 02, 2019 316   @ Elon W 67-63 58%     10 - 13 5 - 6 -2.9 +0.4 -2.8
  Feb 07, 2019 252   UNC Wilmington W 69-57 63%     11 - 13 6 - 6 +3.8 -7.8 +12.5
  Feb 09, 2019 123   College of Charleston L 84-86 30%     11 - 14 6 - 7 -1.5 +10.1 -11.6
  Feb 14, 2019 258   @ James Madison L 69-71 42%     11 - 15 6 - 8 -4.9 -1.4 -3.6
  Feb 16, 2019 253   @ Towson L 77-92 41%     11 - 16 6 - 9 -17.7 -1.2 -15.7
  Feb 23, 2019 249   Delaware W 76-73 62%    
  Feb 28, 2019 87   Hofstra L 78-86 23%    
  Mar 02, 2019 101   Northeastern L 74-81 26%    
Projected Record 12.1 - 17.9 7.1 - 10.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 7.8 3.7 11.5 4th
5th 3.3 12.2 0.6 16.2 5th
6th 0.7 28.0 5.0 0.0 33.7 6th
7th 9.2 15.8 0.2 25.2 7th
8th 10.5 0.9 11.4 8th
9th 2.0 0.0 2.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 22.4 48.0 25.2 4.3 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 4.3% 3.2% 3.2% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.2
8-10 25.2% 1.6% 1.6% 15.9 0.0 0.4 24.8
7-11 48.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4 47.7
6-12 22.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 22.3
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 15.3 3.6 60.7 35.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.7%
Lose Out 10.3%