Columbia
Ivy League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#241
Achievement Rating-13.1#317
Pace72.3#121
Improvement+3.5#15

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#171
First Shot+0.8#166
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#205
Layup/Dunks+1.2#139
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#218
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#38
Freethrows-4.7#345
Improvement-0.1#179

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#307
First Shot-3.9#294
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#256
Layups/Dunks-1.8#242
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#288
Freethrows+0.3#164
Improvement+3.6#5
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 2.1% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 1.3% 4.7% 0.9%
.500 or above in Conference 16.7% 24.7% 15.8%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.7% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 38.5% 31.2% 39.4%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round0.8% 2.1% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rutgers (Away) - 10.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 215   @ Marist L 76-82 32%     0 - 1 -6.2 +1.9 -8.0
  Nov 16, 2018 325   Youngstown St. L 83-94 71%     0 - 2 -21.7 -5.2 -15.3
  Nov 17, 2018 212   Florida International L 87-98 42%     0 - 3 -14.0 -5.9 -5.8
  Nov 18, 2018 240   @ Fordham L 69-70 38%     0 - 4 -2.9 +5.3 -8.3
  Dec 02, 2018 218   Delaware L 86-87 55%     0 - 5 -7.2 +0.2 -7.4
  Dec 05, 2018 160   Colgate L 62-64 42%     0 - 6 -4.8 -8.3 +3.4
  Dec 07, 2018 341   Bryant W 90-68 85%     1 - 6 +5.7 +4.1 +1.2
  Dec 09, 2018 210   Iona W 74-71 42%     2 - 6 +0.1 -4.8 +4.7
  Dec 12, 2018 105   @ Boston College L 73-82 12%     2 - 7 -1.2 +6.0 -7.6
  Dec 22, 2018 98   @ Rutgers L 64-77 11%    
  Dec 30, 2018 50   @ Northwestern L 64-82 5%    
  Jan 02, 2019 331   @ Binghamton W 74-70 64%    
  Jan 19, 2019 234   @ Cornell L 75-79 37%    
  Jan 26, 2019 234   Cornell W 78-76 59%    
  Feb 01, 2019 181   Princeton L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 02, 2019 94   Penn L 73-81 25%    
  Feb 08, 2019 95   @ Harvard L 67-81 10%    
  Feb 09, 2019 221   @ Dartmouth L 74-79 33%    
  Feb 15, 2019 102   Yale L 76-83 26%    
  Feb 16, 2019 179   Brown L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 22, 2019 94   @ Penn L 70-84 11%    
  Feb 23, 2019 181   @ Princeton L 70-77 28%    
  Mar 01, 2019 179   @ Brown L 73-80 27%    
  Mar 02, 2019 102   @ Yale L 73-86 12%    
  Mar 08, 2019 221   Dartmouth W 77-76 55%    
  Mar 09, 2019 95   Harvard L 70-78 25%    
Projected Record 7.2 - 18.8 4.5 - 9.5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.6 2.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.4 3rd
4th 0.4 3.2 4.7 1.7 0.1 10.1 4th
5th 0.8 5.2 7.0 2.0 0.1 15.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 6.6 8.9 2.7 0.1 19.3 6th
7th 0.1 2.4 8.2 8.5 2.7 0.2 22.0 7th
8th 1.5 5.4 9.4 7.1 1.9 0.1 25.3 8th
Total 1.5 5.5 11.8 16.4 17.7 17.3 13.2 8.4 4.9 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
11-3 70.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1
10-4 33.3% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1
9-5 7.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-3 0.3% 16.7% 16.7% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
10-4 1.0% 18.2% 18.2% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8
9-5 2.1% 7.2% 7.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.9
8-6 4.9% 4.9% 4.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.6
7-7 8.4% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.2 8.2
6-8 13.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.1
5-9 17.3% 17.3
4-10 17.7% 17.7
3-11 16.4% 16.4
2-12 11.8% 11.8
1-13 5.5% 5.5
0-14 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%