Gardner-Webb
Big South
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#190
Achievement Rating-6.2#250
Pace64.6#308
Improvement+0.5#132

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#145
First Shot+3.4#80
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#310
Layup/Dunks+3.8#63
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#236
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#183
Freethrows+0.9#124
Improvement+0.4#137

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#260
First Shot+1.7#121
After Offensive Rebounds-4.4#346
Layups/Dunks+1.7#117
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#73
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#204
Freethrows-0.7#223
Improvement+0.1#167
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.8% 15.1% 10.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 75.8% 77.6% 51.9%
.500 or above in Conference 87.5% 88.1% 79.4%
Conference Champion 18.8% 19.3% 12.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.6% 1.2%
First Four5.8% 5.8% 6.1%
First Round12.4% 12.8% 7.4%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kennesaw St. (Home) - 92.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 88   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-69 16%     0 - 1 -3.2 -1.5 -2.6
  Nov 09, 2018 10   @ Virginia Tech L 59-87 3%     0 - 2 -7.8 -12.4 +7.7
  Nov 13, 2018 106   @ Furman L 86-88 18%     0 - 3 +5.8 +9.1 -3.0
  Nov 16, 2018 351   @ Savannah St. W 97-77 87%     1 - 3 +5.8 +7.7 -3.9
  Nov 23, 2018 318   Eastern Illinois L 78-79 78%     1 - 4 -10.7 +7.4 -18.2
  Nov 24, 2018 219   UNC Wilmington W 81-72 56%     2 - 4 +5.7 +1.4 +4.1
  Nov 25, 2018 291   Arkansas St. L 69-77 70%     2 - 5 -15.2 -5.6 -10.1
  Nov 28, 2018 331   @ South Carolina Upstate W 74-61 74%     3 - 5 +4.6 +5.8 +0.2
  Dec 01, 2018 351   Savannah St. W 97-60 95%     4 - 5 +16.8 +6.7 +7.2
  Dec 13, 2018 342   Kennesaw St. W 75-60 93%    
  Dec 17, 2018 78   @ Georgia Tech L 61-72 15%    
  Dec 29, 2018 156   @ Wake Forest L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 05, 2019 243   @ Campbell W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 12, 2019 331   South Carolina Upstate W 78-65 88%    
  Jan 17, 2019 132   @ Radford L 65-72 25%    
  Jan 19, 2019 240   Hampton W 76-70 71%    
  Jan 24, 2019 180   @ Winthrop L 77-80 38%    
  Jan 26, 2019 232   @ Charleston Southern L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 30, 2019 246   High Point W 68-62 72%    
  Feb 02, 2019 344   UNC Asheville W 74-59 92%    
  Feb 07, 2019 300   @ Longwood W 66-63 61%    
  Feb 09, 2019 305   @ Presbyterian W 76-73 62%    
  Feb 13, 2019 232   Charleston Southern W 75-69 69%    
  Feb 16, 2019 180   Winthrop W 80-77 59%    
  Feb 21, 2019 344   @ UNC Asheville W 71-62 80%    
  Feb 23, 2019 246   @ High Point W 66-65 51%    
  Feb 27, 2019 305   Presbyterian W 79-70 80%    
  Mar 02, 2019 300   Longwood W 69-60 79%    
Projected Record 15.7 - 12.3 10.3 - 5.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.4 6.1 4.6 1.9 0.4 18.8 1st
2nd 0.2 2.4 7.9 7.8 3.6 0.7 0.1 22.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 7.6 6.3 1.6 0.1 0.0 17.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 5.9 5.2 1.0 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.8 4.5 0.9 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 3.7 0.9 0.0 6.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 2.8 1.0 0.0 4.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.0 0.1 3.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.6 6.4 9.8 13.5 16.3 16.6 13.9 9.8 5.3 2.0 0.4 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
15-1 97.5% 1.9    1.8 0.1
14-2 86.4% 4.6    3.5 1.0 0.0
13-3 62.2% 6.1    3.4 2.4 0.3 0.0
12-4 31.8% 4.4    1.4 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0
11-5 8.3% 1.4    0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 18.8% 18.8 10.6 6.1 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.4% 38.8% 38.8% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-1 2.0% 36.9% 36.9% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 1.2
14-2 5.3% 31.5% 31.5% 15.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.4 3.6
13-3 9.8% 25.9% 25.9% 15.4 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.2 7.3
12-4 13.9% 21.1% 21.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.9 2.0 10.9
11-5 16.6% 16.3% 16.3% 15.9 0.0 0.3 2.4 13.9
10-6 16.3% 11.2% 11.2% 16.0 0.1 1.7 14.5
9-7 13.5% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2 12.3
8-8 9.8% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6 9.1
7-9 6.4% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.2 6.2
6-10 3.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 3.5
5-11 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 1.6
4-12 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-13 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 14.8% 14.8% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.7 4.0 10.0 85.2 0.0%