Presbyterian
Big South
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#215
Achievement Rating-2.5#199
Pace67.3#230
Improvement+1.5#113

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#98
First Shot+4.9#45
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#315
Layup/Dunks-0.6#195
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.1#6
Freethrows+0.7#133
Improvement+1.2#121

Defense
Total Defense-5.9#327
First Shot-5.7#330
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#211
Layups/Dunks-0.2#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#123
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#331
Freethrows-1.8#287
Improvement+0.3#165
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.9% 9.6% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 82.0% 91.8% 51.7%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.7% 1.5% 2.2%
First Round8.1% 8.9% 5.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Asheville (Away) - 75.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 123   @ College of Charleston L 73-85 19%     0 - 1 -6.0 +2.6 -8.7
  Nov 10, 2018 328   @ Tennessee Tech W 80-65 70%     1 - 1 +6.5 +6.6 -0.3
  Nov 17, 2018 24   @ Marquette L 55-74 4%     1 - 2 -2.6 -8.5 +5.1
  Nov 19, 2018 94   @ UCLA L 65-80 15%     1 - 3 -7.0 -9.2 +3.6
  Nov 28, 2018 262   St. Francis Brooklyn L 86-90 70%     1 - 4 -12.6 +4.1 -16.4
  Dec 01, 2018 323   @ N.C. A&T W 75-70 67%     2 - 4 -2.8 +5.8 -8.2
  Dec 04, 2018 248   Jacksonville L 88-94 67%     2 - 5 -13.9 +2.7 -15.9
  Dec 12, 2018 318   VMI W 103-70 82%     3 - 5 +20.2 +23.5 -3.1
  Dec 18, 2018 46   @ Butler L 67-76 8%     3 - 6 +3.2 +2.1 +0.6
  Dec 22, 2018 72   @ Dayton L 69-81 12%     3 - 7 -2.4 +0.2 -2.9
  Dec 30, 2018 248   @ Jacksonville W 72-67 47%     4 - 7 +2.6 +3.5 -0.5
  Jan 02, 2019 343   @ South Carolina St. W 72-70 80%     5 - 7 -10.0 +0.6 -10.4
  Jan 05, 2019 337   South Carolina Upstate W 64-61 87%     6 - 7 1 - 0 -12.3 -12.0 -0.1
  Jan 10, 2019 225   @ High Point L 58-74 42%     6 - 8 1 - 1 -17.1 -12.4 -4.8
  Jan 12, 2019 135   @ Radford L 77-79 22%     6 - 9 1 - 2 +2.9 +4.8 -1.9
  Jan 16, 2019 241   Hampton W 85-70 66%     7 - 9 2 - 2 +7.6 +0.5 +6.2
  Jan 19, 2019 294   Longwood W 71-64 75%     8 - 9 3 - 2 -3.2 -1.3 -1.6
  Jan 21, 2019 337   @ South Carolina Upstate W 68-59 74%     9 - 9 4 - 2 -0.8 -1.0 +1.2
  Jan 24, 2019 213   @ Campbell L 73-77 39%     9 - 10 4 - 3 -4.4 +6.5 -11.4
  Jan 26, 2019 177   Winthrop W 99-91 51%     10 - 10 5 - 3 +4.4 +19.9 -15.7
  Jan 30, 2019 214   @ Charleston Southern L 84-85 39%     10 - 11 5 - 4 -1.4 +17.6 -19.1
  Feb 07, 2019 340   UNC Asheville W 67-44 89%     11 - 11 6 - 4 +6.5 -3.2 +13.7
  Feb 09, 2019 218   Gardner-Webb W 103-101 61%     12 - 11 7 - 4 -4.1 +8.5 -12.9
  Feb 13, 2019 177   @ Winthrop L 85-93 31%     12 - 12 7 - 5 -6.0 +4.9 -10.3
  Feb 16, 2019 213   Campbell W 76-71 60%     13 - 12 8 - 5 -0.9 +1.0 -1.7
  Feb 23, 2019 340   @ UNC Asheville W 74-66 76%    
  Feb 27, 2019 218   @ Gardner-Webb L 74-77 39%    
  Mar 02, 2019 214   Charleston Southern W 79-76 61%    
Projected Record 14.8 - 13.2 9.8 - 6.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 9.0 14.7 23.8 2nd
3rd 1.0 20.2 3.4 24.6 3rd
4th 0.0 8.0 13.1 0.1 21.2 4th
5th 0.4 15.5 1.8 17.7 5th
6th 2.4 5.2 7.6 6th
7th 3.5 0.5 4.0 7th
8th 0.2 0.2 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 6.5 30.1 44.2 19.2 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 5.1% 1.0    0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 19.2% 12.8% 12.8% 15.3 0.1 1.6 0.8 16.7
10-6 44.2% 9.8% 9.8% 15.7 0.0 1.2 3.1 39.8
9-7 30.1% 6.3% 6.3% 15.8 0.3 1.6 28.3
8-8 6.5% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.3
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 15.6 0.1 3.1 5.7 91.1 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.5% 100.0% 15.3 3.5 65.6 30.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.7%
Lose Out 1.8%