Radford
Big South
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#133
Achievement Rating+5.5#111
Pace63.5#326
Improvement-3.7#347

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#127
First Shot+3.1#92
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#253
Layup/Dunks+3.0#89
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#83
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#172
Freethrows-2.0#280
Improvement-2.3#332

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#137
First Shot-0.9#205
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#59
Layups/Dunks+0.0#181
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#27
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#278
Freethrows-0.9#236
Improvement-1.4#283
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 38.9% 45.8% 37.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.7 13.2 13.9
.500 or above 94.1% 98.5% 93.2%
.500 or above in Conference 97.4% 98.8% 97.1%
Conference Champion 54.8% 64.0% 52.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
First Round38.6% 45.5% 37.2%
Second Round4.8% 6.9% 4.3%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.9% 1.0%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 17.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 168   Illinois-Chicago W 88-78 72%     1 - 0 +6.5 +12.0 -5.5
  Nov 14, 2018 56   @ Notre Dame W 63-60 19%     2 - 0 +14.9 +5.8 +9.5
  Nov 17, 2018 163   @ Duquesne L 64-69 49%     2 - 1 -2.1 -7.9 +5.8
  Nov 20, 2018 198   @ William & Mary W 81-72 57%     3 - 1 +9.8 +8.7 +1.6
  Nov 30, 2018 42   @ Texas W 62-59 16%     4 - 1 +16.3 +0.2 +16.2
  Dec 04, 2018 233   @ James Madison L 66-73 66%     4 - 2 -8.5 -0.8 -8.3
  Dec 08, 2018 153   @ Ohio L 69-78 46%     4 - 3 -5.4 -2.6 -2.4
  Dec 15, 2018 49   @ Clemson L 62-72 17%    
  Dec 18, 2018 89   @ UNC Greensboro L 65-71 29%    
  Dec 21, 2018 130   Georgia Southern W 79-76 60%    
  Dec 29, 2018 30   @ Maryland L 62-75 12%    
  Jan 05, 2019 300   Longwood W 70-57 89%    
  Jan 10, 2019 331   @ South Carolina Upstate W 74-63 85%    
  Jan 12, 2019 306   Presbyterian W 79-65 90%    
  Jan 17, 2019 192   Gardner-Webb W 72-64 76%    
  Jan 19, 2019 344   @ UNC Asheville W 71-57 90%    
  Jan 21, 2019 300   @ Longwood W 67-60 74%    
  Jan 24, 2019 226   Charleston Southern W 75-65 81%    
  Jan 30, 2019 242   Campbell W 77-66 83%    
  Feb 02, 2019 181   @ Winthrop W 76-75 54%    
  Feb 07, 2019 240   @ Hampton W 74-69 66%    
  Feb 09, 2019 248   High Point W 69-58 83%    
  Feb 16, 2019 226   @ Charleston Southern W 72-68 63%    
  Feb 21, 2019 181   Winthrop W 79-72 73%    
  Feb 23, 2019 240   Hampton W 77-66 82%    
  Feb 27, 2019 248   @ High Point W 66-61 66%    
  Mar 02, 2019 242   @ Campbell W 74-69 66%    
Projected Record 17.4 - 9.6 12.2 - 3.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 2.1 8.0 14.9 15.4 10.4 3.9 54.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 6.5 7.7 3.6 0.6 0.0 20.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.2 4.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 2.8 0.6 0.0 6.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.0 0.5 0.0 3.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.5 0.0 2.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.3 5.8 9.4 13.3 16.8 18.5 16.0 10.4 3.9 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 3.9    3.9
15-1 99.8% 10.4    10.2 0.2
14-2 96.2% 15.4    13.5 1.8 0.0
13-3 80.3% 14.9    10.0 4.5 0.5 0.0
12-4 47.8% 8.0    3.1 3.6 1.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 15.5% 2.1    0.3 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 54.8% 54.8 41.0 10.9 2.4 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 3.9% 65.2% 63.5% 1.7% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.4 4.7%
15-1 10.4% 58.3% 57.8% 0.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.6 1.1 0.1 4.4 1.2%
14-2 16.0% 50.3% 50.2% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.5 2.7 0.5 0.0 7.9 0.2%
13-3 18.5% 44.0% 43.9% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.8 1.5 0.1 10.4 0.1%
12-4 16.8% 36.2% 36.2% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.8 2.2 0.2 10.7
11-5 13.3% 30.1% 30.1% 14.7 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.2 0.4 9.3
10-6 9.4% 23.8% 23.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.5 7.1
9-7 5.8% 18.7% 18.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 4.7
8-8 3.3% 13.9% 13.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 2.8
7-9 1.5% 8.5% 8.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.4
6-10 0.7% 5.5% 5.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.6
5-11 0.3% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3
4-12 0.1% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
3-13 0.0% 0.0
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 38.9% 38.7% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.8 10.1 12.3 8.6 2.0 61.1 0.2%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 9.9 1.5 2.9 4.4 11.8 8.8 30.9 23.5 14.7 1.5