Hampton
Big South
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#229
Achievement Rating-7.9#283
Pace76.8#32
Improvement+0.7#148

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#152
First Shot-0.3#191
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#95
Layup/Dunks-4.3#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#79
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#153
Freethrows+1.4#79
Improvement+5.7#9

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#309
First Shot-3.4#274
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#309
Layups/Dunks-1.8#249
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#209
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#164
Freethrows-1.8#290
Improvement-5.0#341
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.7% 9.0% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 15.9
.500 or above 91.0% 97.3% 85.5%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 38.5% 55.9% 23.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.7% 2.1% 3.1%
First Round6.4% 8.1% 5.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grambling St. (Away) - 46.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 48   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-69 7%     0 - 1 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Nov 13, 2018 257   @ California L 66-80 44%     0 - 2 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Nov 19, 2018 112   Bowling Green L 79-81 22%     0 - 3 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Nov 20, 2018 281   Loyola Maryland L 66-75 59%     0 - 4 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Nov 25, 2018 179   @ Richmond W 86-66 28%     1 - 4 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Nov 29, 2018 267   @ Norfolk St. L 89-94 46%     1 - 5 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Dec 05, 2018 157   @ Coastal Carolina L 66-75 24%     1 - 6 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Dec 08, 2018 208   William & Mary L 71-76 55%     1 - 7 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Dec 22, 2018 313   Howard W 89-82 69%     2 - 7 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Dec 29, 2018 307   @ St. Peter's L 80-83 57%     2 - 8 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Jan 10, 2019 220   Charleston Southern W 94-82 57%     3 - 8 1 - 0 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Jan 12, 2019 341   UNC Asheville W 83-61 87%     4 - 8 2 - 0 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Jan 16, 2019 216   @ Presbyterian L 70-85 36%     4 - 9 2 - 1 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Jan 19, 2019 222   @ Gardner-Webb L 74-87 37%     4 - 10 2 - 2 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Jan 24, 2019 336   South Carolina Upstate W 88-70 85%     5 - 10 3 - 2 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Jan 26, 2019 211   Campbell W 64-58 56%     6 - 10 4 - 2 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Jan 30, 2019 295   @ Longwood W 96-83 52%     7 - 10 5 - 2 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Feb 02, 2019 228   @ High Point L 69-85 39%     7 - 11 5 - 3 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Feb 07, 2019 137   Radford L 98-101 35%     7 - 12 5 - 4 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Feb 09, 2019 174   @ Winthrop L 91-101 27%     7 - 13 5 - 5 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Feb 13, 2019 211   @ Campbell L 84-87 35%     7 - 14 5 - 6 -13.5 -24.0 +11.6
  Feb 16, 2019 228   High Point W 72-69 59%    
  Feb 21, 2019 295   Longwood W 79-73 73%    
  Feb 23, 2019 137   @ Radford L 72-81 19%    
  Feb 28, 2019 174   Winthrop L 87-88 47%    
  Mar 02, 2019 336   @ South Carolina Upstate W 81-75 69%    
Projected Record 9.7 - 16.3 7.7 - 8.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 7.4 19.2 11.3 38.5 1st
2nd 0.5 5.7 15.2 8.1 29.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 5.5 13.0 8.0 0.9 28.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 0.5 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.8 7.9 19.9 30.6 28.2 11.3 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 11.3    7.8 3.2 0.3
14-2 68.0% 19.2    6.8 9.2 3.1
13-3 24.1% 7.4    1.0 3.5 2.7 0.2
12-4 3.1% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1
11-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 38.5% 38.5 15.6 16.1 6.5 0.3



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 11.3% 12.5% 12.5% 15.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.2 9.9
14-2 28.2% 9.5% 9.5% 15.7 0.0 0.8 1.8 25.5
13-3 30.6% 6.9% 6.9% 15.9 0.2 1.9 28.5
12-4 19.9% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1 18.8
11-5 7.9% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3 7.6
10-6 1.8% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 1.8
9-7 0.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3
8-8 0.0% 0.0
7-9 0.0% 0.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.4 92.3 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 29.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.1 3.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.0%