Winthrop
Big South
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#181
Achievement Rating-3.6#214
Pace83.5#10
Improvement-1.2#266

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#161
First Shot+5.2#45
After Offensive Rebound-4.9#352
Layup/Dunks+2.2#113
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#29
Freethrows-0.3#196
Improvement-1.0#260

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#220
First Shot-3.5#278
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#64
Layups/Dunks-1.9#250
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#294
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#229
Freethrows+2.1#76
Improvement-0.2#197
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.2% 16.5% 10.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.2 15.7
.500 or above 69.0% 70.5% 40.1%
.500 or above in Conference 85.6% 86.1% 75.1%
Conference Champion 20.7% 21.2% 11.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.8% 2.4%
First Four3.2% 3.2% 4.7%
First Round14.8% 15.1% 8.7%
Second Round0.8% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 95.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 79   @ Vanderbilt L 79-92 16%     0 - 1 -3.5 +0.8 -2.9
  Nov 10, 2018 327   @ SIU Edwardsville W 94-82 74%     1 - 1 +3.9 +7.5 -4.7
  Nov 17, 2018 126   East Tennessee St. L 74-76 44%     1 - 2 -1.9 -1.9 +0.2
  Nov 21, 2018 18   @ Kentucky L 74-87 6%     1 - 3 +3.6 -1.8 +6.9
  Nov 28, 2018 334   @ Tennessee Tech W 82-70 77%     2 - 3 +2.9 +2.1 +0.0
  Dec 04, 2018 81   @ Davidson L 81-99 16%     2 - 4 -8.6 +0.7 -6.9
  Dec 20, 2018 348   Maryland Eastern Shore W 83-65 95%    
  Dec 22, 2018 99   @ Southern Illinois L 71-81 19%    
  Dec 29, 2018 289   Prairie View W 88-79 79%    
  Jan 01, 2019 15   @ Florida St. L 73-92 4%    
  Jan 05, 2019 344   @ UNC Asheville W 79-69 82%    
  Jan 10, 2019 242   @ Campbell W 82-81 52%    
  Jan 12, 2019 248   High Point W 76-69 73%    
  Jan 16, 2019 300   Longwood W 77-68 80%    
  Jan 19, 2019 331   @ South Carolina Upstate W 83-76 74%    
  Jan 21, 2019 344   UNC Asheville W 82-66 93%    
  Jan 24, 2019 192   Gardner-Webb W 80-76 63%    
  Jan 26, 2019 306   @ Presbyterian W 85-81 64%    
  Feb 02, 2019 133   Radford L 75-76 46%    
  Feb 07, 2019 226   @ Charleston Southern L 81-82 49%    
  Feb 09, 2019 240   Hampton W 86-79 72%    
  Feb 13, 2019 306   Presbyterian W 88-78 81%    
  Feb 16, 2019 192   @ Gardner-Webb L 77-79 42%    
  Feb 21, 2019 133   @ Radford L 72-79 27%    
  Feb 23, 2019 226   Charleston Southern W 84-78 69%    
  Feb 28, 2019 240   @ Hampton W 83-82 52%    
Projected Record 14.1 - 11.9 10.2 - 5.8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.4 4.7 6.6 5.1 2.3 0.5 20.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 2.4 7.4 7.2 2.9 0.4 20.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 7.2 5.7 1.4 0.1 16.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 5.6 5.0 1.0 0.0 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.9 4.4 0.8 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 3.9 1.0 0.0 7.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.8 1.1 0.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.1 2.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 4.0 6.9 10.2 13.2 15.5 15.5 13.3 9.6 5.5 2.3 0.5 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
15-1 100.0% 2.3    2.2 0.1
14-2 93.0% 5.1    4.2 0.9 0.0
13-3 68.9% 6.6    4.0 2.4 0.3 0.0
12-4 35.0% 4.7    1.5 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0
11-5 9.1% 1.4    0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 20.7% 20.7 12.5 6.1 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.5% 50.8% 50.8% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-1 2.3% 42.1% 42.1% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.3
14-2 5.5% 36.1% 36.1% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.1 3.5
13-3 9.6% 28.6% 28.6% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.7 0.4 6.9
12-4 13.3% 23.7% 23.7% 15.3 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.1 10.1
11-5 15.5% 17.6% 17.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.6 12.8
10-6 15.5% 12.9% 12.9% 15.8 0.0 0.4 1.6 13.5
9-7 13.2% 9.5% 9.5% 15.9 0.1 1.1 11.9
8-8 10.2% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 9.5
7-9 6.9% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.3 6.6
6-10 4.0% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 3.9
5-11 2.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 2.1
4-12 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.9
3-13 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.2% 16.2% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.4 6.2 7.1 83.8 0.0%