Georgetown
Big East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.1#68
Achievement Rating+7.2#77
Pace79.7#18
Improvement+2.6#69

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#42
First Shot+4.8#48
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#129
Layup/Dunks-2.1#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#17
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#155
Freethrows+2.2#41
Improvement+2.9#45

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#127
First Shot+1.5#122
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#164
Layups/Dunks+1.0#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#256
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#156
Freethrows+0.9#119
Improvement-0.3#200
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.9% 18.8% 5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.2% 15.3% 3.4%
Average Seed 11.1 10.9 11.4
.500 or above 96.3% 100.0% 94.6%
.500 or above in Conference 20.4% 41.2% 10.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 12.7% 3.4% 17.2%
First Four4.4% 8.5% 2.4%
First Round7.5% 14.1% 4.3%
Second Round2.2% 4.5% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Villanova (Home) - 32.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 68-53 99%     1 - 0 -8.5 -18.1 +8.9
  Nov 10, 2018 305   Central Connecticut St. W 85-78 94%     2 - 0 -4.1 +2.0 -6.4
  Nov 13, 2018 56   @ Illinois W 88-80 35%     3 - 0 +19.0 +10.3 +7.7
  Nov 16, 2018 143   Loyola Marymount L 52-65 70%     3 - 1 -11.3 -16.6 +5.0
  Nov 18, 2018 118   South Florida W 76-73 63%     4 - 1 +6.8 +0.9 +5.6
  Nov 24, 2018 213   Campbell W 93-85 88%     5 - 1 +2.1 +6.6 -5.2
  Nov 28, 2018 179   Richmond W 90-82 85%     6 - 1 +4.1 +9.2 -5.4
  Dec 03, 2018 99   Liberty W 88-78 68%     7 - 1 +12.3 +8.0 +3.4
  Dec 08, 2018 40   @ Syracuse L 71-72 26%     7 - 2 +12.7 +6.0 +6.7
  Dec 15, 2018 104   SMU L 73-81 69%     7 - 3 -6.1 -4.7 -1.2
  Dec 18, 2018 191   Appalachian St. W 83-73 86%     8 - 3 +5.4 -4.3 +8.5
  Dec 22, 2018 206   Arkansas Little Rock W 102-94 88%     9 - 3 +2.6 +2.0 -1.4
  Dec 29, 2018 321   Howard W 102-67 96%     10 - 3 +22.1 +0.5 +14.8
  Jan 02, 2019 46   @ Butler W 84-76 31%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +20.2 +8.4 +11.0
  Jan 05, 2019 42   St. John's L 94-97 48%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +4.7 +9.7 -4.5
  Jan 09, 2019 82   @ Xavier L 75-81 44%     11 - 5 1 - 2 +2.8 +10.1 -7.8
  Jan 12, 2019 80   Providence W 96-90 64%     12 - 5 2 - 2 +9.5 +7.9 +0.3
  Jan 15, 2019 24   Marquette L 71-74 36%     12 - 6 2 - 3 +7.9 +2.7 +5.2
  Jan 21, 2019 51   Creighton L 87-91 52%     12 - 7 2 - 4 +2.5 +10.0 -7.2
  Jan 27, 2019 42   @ St. John's W 89-78 28%     13 - 7 3 - 4 +24.3 +8.1 +14.4
  Jan 31, 2019 82   Xavier W 80-73 65%     14 - 7 4 - 4 +10.3 +11.8 -1.2
  Feb 03, 2019 19   @ Villanova L 65-77 16%     14 - 8 4 - 5 +5.8 -2.3 +8.1
  Feb 06, 2019 80   @ Providence W 76-67 43%     15 - 8 5 - 5 +18.0 +7.3 +10.3
  Feb 09, 2019 46   Butler L 69-73 52%     15 - 9 5 - 6 +2.7 +0.3 +2.2
  Feb 13, 2019 50   @ Seton Hall L 75-90 32%     15 - 10 5 - 7 -3.0 +10.4 -13.7
  Feb 20, 2019 19   Villanova L 74-79 32%    
  Feb 23, 2019 51   @ Creighton L 80-85 31%    
  Feb 27, 2019 98   DePaul W 84-79 68%    
  Mar 02, 2019 50   Seton Hall W 80-79 53%    
  Mar 06, 2019 98   @ DePaul L 81-82 46%    
  Mar 09, 2019 24   @ Marquette L 77-86 18%    
Projected Record 17.5 - 13.5 7.5 - 10.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 2.4 0.5 4.9 3rd
4th 0.0 4.0 8.7 2.0 0.0 14.8 4th
5th 1.2 13.2 4.2 0.1 18.7 5th
6th 0.0 9.8 10.1 0.5 20.4 6th
7th 0.0 2.4 15.1 1.0 0.0 18.5 7th
8th 0.3 7.8 3.5 0.0 11.6 8th
9th 1.8 6.1 0.2 8.1 9th
10th 1.9 1.0 0.0 2.9 10th
Total 4.0 17.3 29.9 28.4 15.4 4.5 0.6 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.6% 82.2% 10.2% 72.1% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 80.2%
10-8 4.5% 53.7% 6.9% 46.8% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.1 50.2%
9-9 15.4% 28.9% 5.5% 23.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 10.9 24.7%
8-10 28.4% 6.6% 3.7% 2.9% 11.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 26.5 3.0%
7-11 29.9% 1.7% 1.5% 0.2% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 29.4 0.2%
6-12 17.3% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 17.1 0.0%
5-13 4.0% 1.0% 1.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.9% 2.9% 7.0% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.3 2.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 90.1 7.2%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 7.2 1.8 16.1 48.2 26.8 5.4 1.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 90.0% 9.2 1.4 22.9 34.3 18.6 12.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2% 89.1% 9.8 2.3 10.3 17.8 33.3 19.5 5.7
Lose Out 2.4%