Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#139
Achievement Rating+1.2#159
Pace73.6#102
Improvement+0.3#152

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#102
First Shot+1.9#126
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#111
Layup/Dunks-3.7#287
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#256
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#20
Freethrows+1.0#121
Improvement+1.8#46

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#193
First Shot+3.4#68
After Offensive Rebounds-4.2#346
Layups/Dunks-3.6#298
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#13
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#90
Freethrows+0.4#155
Improvement-1.5#287
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 6.2% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.1 12.7 13.4
.500 or above 66.4% 83.4% 61.6%
.500 or above in Conference 60.5% 68.9% 58.2%
Conference Champion 4.1% 5.8% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.4% 2.6%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round4.2% 5.9% 3.8%
Second Round0.6% 1.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Away) - 21.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 275   Umass Lowell W 83-75 85%     1 - 0 -1.3 -5.2 +3.2
  Nov 09, 2018 341   New Hampshire W 104-75 95%     2 - 0 +12.6 +17.4 -7.0
  Nov 13, 2018 93   Harvard L 71-74 47%     2 - 1 -0.4 +3.8 -4.2
  Nov 16, 2018 285   Howard L 63-68 86%     2 - 2 -14.9 -20.2 +5.5
  Nov 19, 2018 322   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 92-60 92%     3 - 2 +18.5 +7.1 +9.1
  Nov 22, 2018 99   Southern Illinois W 84-62 38%     4 - 2 +27.2 +13.1 +13.7
  Nov 23, 2018 10   Nevada L 87-110 8%     4 - 3 -5.3 +20.8 -26.4
  Nov 28, 2018 247   Quinnipiac W 69-62 83%     5 - 3 -1.1 -8.6 +7.2
  Dec 04, 2018 155   Holy Cross L 78-82 67%     5 - 4 -6.6 +3.3 -9.8
  Dec 07, 2018 72   @ Providence W 79-78 22%     6 - 4 +10.9 +12.2 -1.2
  Dec 12, 2018 68   @ Temple L 70-78 22%    
  Dec 21, 2018 266   Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-73 84%    
  Dec 30, 2018 110   @ Georgia L 74-80 30%    
  Jan 05, 2019 258   La Salle W 87-77 84%    
  Jan 09, 2019 76   @ Saint Louis L 66-74 24%    
  Jan 13, 2019 70   @ Dayton L 70-78 23%    
  Jan 16, 2019 170   George Mason W 79-74 69%    
  Jan 19, 2019 80   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 66-74 24%    
  Jan 23, 2019 152   St. Bonaventure W 74-70 65%    
  Jan 27, 2019 113   Rhode Island W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 30, 2019 258   @ La Salle W 84-80 66%    
  Feb 02, 2019 103   @ Saint Joseph's L 78-84 29%    
  Feb 06, 2019 250   Fordham W 75-65 82%    
  Feb 09, 2019 81   Davidson L 74-75 45%    
  Feb 13, 2019 170   @ George Mason L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 20, 2019 279   @ George Washington W 78-72 69%    
  Feb 23, 2019 103   Saint Joseph's W 81-80 50%    
  Feb 26, 2019 70   Dayton L 73-75 43%    
  Mar 02, 2019 163   @ Duquesne L 76-77 47%    
  Mar 06, 2019 172   Richmond W 80-74 69%    
  Mar 09, 2019 113   @ Rhode Island L 70-75 32%    
Projected Record 16.6 - 14.4 9.2 - 8.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 3.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 1.3 4.4 2.9 0.4 0.0 9.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.4 4.3 0.7 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.5 5.4 1.2 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 5.9 2.6 0.1 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 5.2 3.8 0.4 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.7 4.5 0.8 0.0 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.0 1.4 0.0 8.1 10th
11th 0.2 1.5 3.0 1.4 0.1 6.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.2 4.4 7.3 10.6 13.7 14.8 14.1 12.0 8.9 5.8 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 94.9% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 77.7% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
14-4 47.5% 1.4    0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.7% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 1.9 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 43.5% 29.6% 13.9% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 19.7%
16-2 0.5% 32.0% 22.5% 9.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 12.3%
15-3 1.3% 24.5% 20.0% 4.6% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 5.7%
14-4 3.0% 16.4% 15.3% 1.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.5 1.3%
13-5 5.8% 12.1% 11.8% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.1 0.3%
12-6 8.9% 9.0% 8.9% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 8.1 0.1%
11-7 12.0% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 11.2 0.0%
10-8 14.1% 3.5% 3.5% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 13.6
9-9 14.8% 2.1% 2.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 14.4
8-10 13.7% 1.2% 1.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.5
7-11 10.6% 0.8% 0.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5
6-12 7.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 7.3
5-13 4.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.4
4-14 2.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.2
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.3% 4.2% 0.2% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 95.7 0.2%