Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#188
Achievement Rating-5.5#244
Pace67.6#218
Improvement-4.6#328

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#189
First Shot-1.3#219
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#107
Layup/Dunks-1.8#237
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#73
Freethrows-0.6#223
Improvement-3.2#306

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#209
First Shot+0.4#161
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#319
Layups/Dunks-0.8#221
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#94
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#77
Freethrows-2.2#314
Improvement-1.5#259
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 27.6% 12.6% 44.0%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Away) - 52.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 240   Umass Lowell W 83-75 70%     1 - 0 +0.7 -4.1 +4.0
  Nov 09, 2018 346   New Hampshire W 104-75 93%     2 - 0 +11.0 +19.3 -10.4
  Nov 13, 2018 119   Harvard L 71-74 40%     2 - 1 -2.2 +3.4 -5.8
  Nov 16, 2018 313   Howard L 63-68 83%     2 - 2 -17.0 -19.7 +2.9
  Nov 19, 2018 332   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 92-60 88%     3 - 2 +17.5 +5.8 +9.4
  Nov 22, 2018 146   Southern Illinois W 84-62 37%     4 - 2 +23.6 +10.4 +12.8
  Nov 23, 2018 13   Nevada L 87-110 6%     4 - 3 -6.9 +22.5 -29.7
  Nov 28, 2018 214   Quinnipiac W 69-62 66%     5 - 3 +0.9 -12.1 +12.7
  Dec 04, 2018 226   Holy Cross L 78-82 68%     5 - 4 -10.6 +0.5 -11.0
  Dec 07, 2018 78   @ Providence W 79-78 16%     6 - 4 +10.0 +14.6 -4.6
  Dec 12, 2018 68   @ Temple L 63-65 14%     6 - 5 +7.7 -7.1 +14.9
  Dec 21, 2018 254   Fairleigh Dickinson W 85-84 73%     7 - 5 -7.1 +2.0 -9.2
  Dec 30, 2018 111   @ Georgia L 72-91 21%     7 - 6 -12.2 +0.5 -12.4
  Jan 05, 2019 193   La Salle L 60-69 61%     7 - 7 0 - 1 -13.7 -17.1 +3.8
  Jan 09, 2019 123   @ Saint Louis L 62-65 23%     7 - 8 0 - 2 +3.0 +1.2 +1.5
  Jan 13, 2019 71   @ Dayton L 67-72 15%     7 - 9 0 - 3 +4.5 +3.0 +1.0
  Jan 16, 2019 132   George Mason L 63-68 43%     7 - 10 0 - 4 -5.1 -6.1 +0.8
  Jan 19, 2019 50   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 50-68 10%     7 - 11 0 - 5 -6.0 -9.4 +2.5
  Jan 23, 2019 144   St. Bonaventure L 51-65 47%     7 - 12 0 - 6 -15.1 -12.6 -4.3
  Jan 27, 2019 136   Rhode Island W 77-70 45%     8 - 12 1 - 6 +6.6 +14.2 -6.8
  Jan 30, 2019 193   @ La Salle L 51-60 40%     8 - 13 1 - 7 -8.2 -14.9 +5.6
  Feb 02, 2019 184   @ Saint Joseph's L 62-64 38%     8 - 14 1 - 8 -0.6 -8.7 +8.0
  Feb 06, 2019 236   Fordham L 67-85 70%     8 - 15 1 - 9 -25.2 +2.8 -31.2
  Feb 09, 2019 80   Davidson W 54-51 30%     9 - 15 2 - 9 +6.5 -1.2 +8.6
  Feb 13, 2019 132   @ George Mason L 75-80 25%     9 - 16 2 - 10 +0.3 +4.4 -4.0
  Feb 20, 2019 255   @ George Washington W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 23, 2019 184   Saint Joseph's W 74-72 60%    
  Feb 26, 2019 71   Dayton L 68-74 30%    
  Mar 02, 2019 153   @ Duquesne L 70-75 30%    
  Mar 06, 2019 179   Richmond W 72-70 58%    
  Mar 09, 2019 136   @ Rhode Island L 66-73 26%    
Projected Record 11.6 - 19.4 4.6 - 13.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.6 8th
9th 0.4 1.6 0.3 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.7 7.7 3.0 0.0 12.4 10th
11th 0.5 9.9 6.8 0.3 17.5 11th
12th 0.5 10.5 14.1 1.5 0.0 26.6 12th
13th 1.1 9.3 15.9 3.0 0.0 29.3 13th
14th 2.8 6.2 2.2 0.0 11.3 14th
Total 3.8 16.0 29.1 28.7 16.5 5.2 0.7 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.7% 4.8% 4.8% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
7-11 5.2% 0.8% 0.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.1
6-12 16.5% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 16.3
5-13 28.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 28.6
4-14 29.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 29.1
3-15 16.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 16.0
2-16 3.8% 3.8
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.2%