Harvard
Ivy League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.6#93
Achievement Rating+1.4#157
Pace70.0#177
Improvement-0.5#218

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#135
First Shot+1.3#143
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#167
Layup/Dunks-1.6#224
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#124
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#58
Freethrows-2.2#287
Improvement-2.1#321

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#64
First Shot+1.9#114
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#34
Layups/Dunks-1.8#245
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#100
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#65
Freethrows-1.3#254
Improvement+1.5#69
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.7% 32.4% 23.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.2% 2.4% 0.3%
Average Seed 12.6 12.5 13.3
.500 or above 85.7% 87.4% 65.0%
.500 or above in Conference 93.6% 94.1% 88.2%
Conference Champion 39.0% 39.8% 29.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.6% 1.2%
First Four1.3% 1.4% 0.2%
First Round31.0% 31.7% 23.4%
Second Round6.9% 7.2% 4.0%
Sweet Sixteen2.0% 2.1% 1.1%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Home) - 92.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 86   Northeastern L 71-81 61%     0 - 1 -7.1 -2.0 -5.5
  Nov 13, 2018 139   @ Massachusetts W 74-71 53%     1 - 1 +7.9 +4.7 +3.3
  Nov 16, 2018 113   @ Rhode Island L 74-76 43%     1 - 2 +5.3 +8.0 -2.7
  Nov 21, 2018 47   @ San Francisco L 57-61 24%     1 - 3 +8.8 -10.2 +19.3
  Nov 24, 2018 52   @ St. Mary's W 74-68 25%     2 - 3 +18.5 +6.4 +12.3
  Nov 28, 2018 155   Holy Cross W 73-62 78%     3 - 3 +8.4 +0.8 +7.8
  Dec 01, 2018 270   @ Siena L 64-67 79%     3 - 4 -6.0 -6.4 +0.0
  Dec 08, 2018 109   @ Vermont L 65-71 42%     3 - 5 +1.6 -3.8 +5.1
  Dec 22, 2018 279   George Washington W 77-62 92%    
  Dec 29, 2018 213   Mercer W 71-62 79%    
  Jan 02, 2019 6   @ North Carolina L 74-89 8%    
  Jan 12, 2019 237   @ Dartmouth W 76-69 75%    
  Jan 21, 2019 285   @ Howard W 82-72 81%    
  Jan 26, 2019 237   Dartmouth W 79-66 89%    
  Feb 01, 2019 101   Yale W 76-72 63%    
  Feb 02, 2019 178   Brown W 76-66 82%    
  Feb 08, 2019 257   Columbia W 82-68 90%    
  Feb 09, 2019 231   Cornell W 78-65 88%    
  Feb 15, 2019 190   @ Princeton W 70-66 65%    
  Feb 16, 2019 92   @ Penn L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 22, 2019 178   @ Brown W 73-69 64%    
  Feb 23, 2019 101   @ Yale L 73-75 41%    
  Mar 01, 2019 92   Penn W 73-70 60%    
  Mar 02, 2019 190   Princeton W 73-63 82%    
  Mar 08, 2019 231   @ Cornell W 75-68 73%    
  Mar 09, 2019 257   @ Columbia W 79-71 76%    
Projected Record 15.5 - 10.5 9.9 - 4.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 5.0 11.4 12.4 7.2 2.0 39.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 7.0 10.8 6.4 1.2 27.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 6.5 7.2 2.7 0.2 18.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 3.7 3.2 0.6 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.7 7.0 11.5 15.8 18.5 18.1 13.6 7.2 2.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 2.0    2.0
13-1 100.0% 7.2    7.0 0.3
12-2 91.4% 12.4    9.7 2.6 0.0
11-3 63.3% 11.4    6.1 4.7 0.7 0.0
10-4 27.1% 5.0    1.4 2.4 1.1 0.1
9-5 5.5% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 39.0% 39.0 26.3 10.3 2.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 2.0% 72.2% 60.2% 12.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 30.3%
13-1 7.2% 60.1% 52.6% 7.6% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 1.9 0.5 0.0 2.9 16.0%
12-2 13.6% 48.3% 44.5% 3.8% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 7.0 6.9%
11-3 18.1% 38.1% 37.1% 1.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.6 2.9 0.8 0.0 11.2 1.6%
10-4 18.5% 31.3% 31.0% 0.3% 13.1 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.8 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.7 0.5%
9-5 15.8% 26.0% 26.0% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.8 0.5 0.0 11.7 0.1%
8-6 11.5% 18.0% 18.0% 14.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.0 9.4
7-7 7.0% 6.5% 6.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.5
6-8 3.7% 0.4% 0.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
5-9 1.8% 1.8
4-10 0.6% 0.6
3-11 0.2% 0.2
2-12 0.0% 0.0
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 31.7% 30.1% 1.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 3.8 9.4 9.9 5.8 1.4 0.1 68.3 2.2%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 8.2 0.7 0.7 4.7 5.4 10.1 11.4 26.2 9.4 16.8 12.8 2.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 68.3% 9.4 3.3 8.3 10.0 13.3 11.7 15.0 6.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 64.5% 10.2 3.2 3.2 12.9 16.1 16.1 9.7 3.2