Harvard
Ivy League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.5#119
Achievement Rating+3.7#124
Pace67.3#230
Improvement+0.7#156

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#188
First Shot+1.1#151
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#268
Layup/Dunks-1.5#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#248
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#51
Freethrows-0.3#195
Improvement-0.7#225

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#73
First Shot+2.3#101
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#48
Layups/Dunks-0.2#179
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#143
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#122
Freethrows+0.5#143
Improvement+1.4#103
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.8% 29.4% 20.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.5 13.9
.500 or above 92.5% 98.3% 88.6%
.500 or above in Conference 95.6% 99.5% 93.0%
Conference Champion 14.3% 23.2% 8.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round23.8% 29.4% 20.1%
Second Round2.7% 3.6% 2.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.8% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn (Away) - 40.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 94   Northeastern L 71-81 54%     0 - 1 -7.5 -0.1 -7.7
  Nov 13, 2018 188   @ Massachusetts W 74-71 60%     1 - 1 +3.9 +4.0 +0.1
  Nov 16, 2018 136   @ Rhode Island L 74-76 44%     1 - 2 +3.0 +4.9 -1.8
  Nov 21, 2018 62   @ San Francisco L 57-61 26%     1 - 3 +6.3 -14.0 +20.5
  Nov 24, 2018 49   @ St. Mary's W 74-68 21%     2 - 3 +18.0 +6.3 +11.9
  Nov 28, 2018 226   Holy Cross W 73-62 83%     3 - 3 +4.4 -2.1 +6.7
  Dec 01, 2018 247   @ Siena L 64-67 71%     3 - 4 -5.3 -1.3 -4.4
  Dec 08, 2018 83   @ Vermont L 65-71 30%     3 - 5 +2.8 -1.8 +4.4
  Dec 22, 2018 255   George Washington W 75-61 86%     4 - 5 +5.8 +5.0 +1.7
  Dec 29, 2018 187   Mercer W 71-67 69%     5 - 5 +2.2 -1.7 +4.0
  Jan 02, 2019 6   @ North Carolina L 57-77 5%     5 - 6 +2.4 -11.1 +15.2
  Jan 12, 2019 209   @ Dartmouth L 63-81 63%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -18.0 -5.5 -14.5
  Jan 21, 2019 313   @ Howard W 84-71 83%     6 - 7 +6.4 +7.4 -0.9
  Jan 26, 2019 209   Dartmouth W 64-59 80%     7 - 7 1 - 1 -0.5 -6.8 +6.9
  Feb 01, 2019 88   Yale W 65-49 51%     8 - 7 2 - 1 +19.1 -5.4 +24.7
  Feb 02, 2019 155   Brown W 68-47 71%     9 - 7 3 - 1 +18.9 +0.8 +19.2
  Feb 08, 2019 241   Columbia W 98-96 84%     10 - 7 4 - 1 -5.4 -1.4 -4.5
  Feb 09, 2019 210   Cornell L 61-67 81%     10 - 8 4 - 2 -11.7 -14.3 +2.5
  Feb 15, 2019 160   @ Princeton W 78-69 52%     11 - 8 5 - 2 +11.8 +10.6 +1.4
  Feb 16, 2019 126   @ Penn L 68-70 40%    
  Feb 22, 2019 155   @ Brown W 69-68 49%    
  Feb 23, 2019 88   @ Yale L 69-74 31%    
  Mar 01, 2019 126   Penn W 70-67 62%    
  Mar 02, 2019 160   Princeton W 68-62 73%    
  Mar 08, 2019 210   @ Cornell W 71-67 63%    
  Mar 09, 2019 241   @ Columbia W 71-66 68%    
Projected Record 14.9 - 11.1 8.9 - 5.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 4.8 6.5 2.1 14.3 1st
2nd 0.2 8.4 22.5 16.5 3.4 51.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.8 11.3 3.8 0.1 18.0 3rd
4th 0.6 6.4 3.2 0.1 10.3 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 2.6 0.0 4.7 5th
6th 0.4 1.2 0.1 1.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 8th
Total 0.6 3.8 12.0 23.0 27.2 21.5 9.9 2.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 2.1    1.7 0.4
11-3 65.5% 6.5    2.8 3.6 0.0
10-4 22.6% 4.8    0.9 3.4 0.6 0.0
9-5 3.1% 0.8    0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 14.3% 14.3 5.4 7.7 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 2.1% 41.7% 41.7% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2
11-3 9.9% 36.4% 36.4% 12.9 0.1 0.8 2.0 0.7 0.0 6.3
10-4 21.5% 30.7% 30.7% 13.5 0.0 0.3 3.0 3.1 0.3 14.9
9-5 27.2% 27.2% 27.2% 13.9 0.1 1.7 4.5 1.1 0.0 19.8
8-6 23.0% 20.0% 20.0% 14.2 0.4 2.8 1.4 0.0 18.4
7-7 12.0% 6.5% 6.5% 14.5 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 11.2
6-8 3.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 3.8
5-9 0.6% 0.6
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 23.8% 23.8% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 7.2 11.4 3.2 0.1 76.2 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.9% 100.0% 11.9 0.4 0.4 4.2 24.3 50.6 18.3 1.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6%
Lose Out 0.6%