Fordham
Atlantic 10
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#250
Achievement Rating-2.8#199
Pace63.0#328
Improvement+0.9#110

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#304
First Shot-3.6#274
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#245
Layup/Dunks-9.7#350
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#34
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#23
Freethrows-3.6#327
Improvement+1.1#83

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#176
First Shot-0.4#186
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#176
Layups/Dunks+0.9#150
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#222
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#64
Freethrows-4.5#337
Improvement-0.2#195
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.1 15.2
.500 or above 25.3% 31.4% 12.9%
.500 or above in Conference 11.0% 12.7% 7.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 28.0% 25.4% 33.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Howard (Home) - 67.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 284   @ Houston Baptist L 72-75 45%     0 - 1 -6.9 -4.4 -2.5
  Nov 16, 2018 229   Florida International W 83-77 58%     1 - 1 -1.1 -5.7 +3.7
  Nov 17, 2018 332   Youngstown St. W 67-61 82%     2 - 1 -8.8 -15.0 +6.2
  Nov 18, 2018 257   Columbia W 70-69 62%     3 - 1 -7.4 -1.3 -5.9
  Nov 25, 2018 351   Alabama A&M W 77-46 92%     4 - 1 +10.2 +4.3 +8.9
  Dec 01, 2018 320   @ Manhattan W 57-56 57%     5 - 1 -5.9 -3.3 -2.4
  Dec 04, 2018 330   @ Maine L 68-75 62%     5 - 2 -15.4 -9.5 -5.6
  Dec 08, 2018 98   Rutgers W 78-70 24%     6 - 2 +10.3 +17.9 -6.8
  Dec 11, 2018 200   NJIT L 50-53 51%     6 - 3 -8.4 -20.5 +11.8
  Dec 16, 2018 285   Howard W 75-70 67%    
  Dec 20, 2018 233   James Madison W 65-63 58%    
  Dec 30, 2018 241   LIU Brooklyn W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 05, 2019 80   Virginia Commonwealth L 57-66 21%    
  Jan 09, 2019 163   @ Duquesne L 63-71 23%    
  Jan 12, 2019 152   @ St. Bonaventure L 59-68 21%    
  Jan 15, 2019 76   Saint Louis L 57-66 21%    
  Jan 19, 2019 170   @ George Mason L 63-71 24%    
  Jan 23, 2019 258   La Salle W 73-70 62%    
  Jan 26, 2019 70   Dayton L 60-69 20%    
  Jan 30, 2019 279   @ George Washington L 64-66 44%    
  Feb 06, 2019 139   @ Massachusetts L 65-75 18%    
  Feb 09, 2019 163   Duquesne L 66-68 42%    
  Feb 12, 2019 81   Davidson L 61-70 22%    
  Feb 16, 2019 113   @ Rhode Island L 57-70 13%    
  Feb 20, 2019 172   @ Richmond L 64-71 25%    
  Feb 23, 2019 152   St. Bonaventure L 62-65 40%    
  Feb 27, 2019 103   Saint Joseph's L 67-74 26%    
  Mar 02, 2019 81   @ Davidson L 58-73 10%    
  Mar 06, 2019 279   George Washington W 67-63 65%    
  Mar 09, 2019 258   @ La Salle L 70-73 41%    
Projected Record 13.3 - 16.7 5.4 - 12.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.8 5th
6th 0.2 1.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 2.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.1 0.5 0.0 4.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.0 1.4 0.1 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.5 2.8 0.3 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.0 4.6 1.0 0.0 10.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 4.1 6.2 2.2 0.1 0.0 13.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 5.0 7.4 3.2 0.3 0.0 16.8 12th
13th 0.1 1.5 5.5 7.5 3.4 0.4 0.0 18.3 13th
14th 0.7 3.1 5.9 5.5 2.2 0.3 0.0 17.7 14th
Total 0.7 3.2 7.3 11.8 15.3 15.9 14.6 11.8 8.3 5.3 3.1 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 90.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 57.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 5.0% 5.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 7.4% 7.4% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.3% 3.6% 3.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.7% 2.6% 2.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
11-7 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
10-8 3.1% 0.9% 0.9% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
9-9 5.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.3
8-10 8.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 8.3
7-11 11.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.8
6-12 14.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.6
5-13 15.9% 15.9
4-14 15.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.3
3-15 11.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.8
2-16 7.3% 7.3
1-17 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.2
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%