IUPUI
Horizon
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#182
Achievement Rating+3.9#132
Pace74.2#90
Improvement+1.3#84

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#248
First Shot-2.4#252
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#184
Layup/Dunks-0.7#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#171
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#295
Freethrows+2.4#55
Improvement+1.5#54

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#127
First Shot-0.5#189
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#61
Layups/Dunks-4.0#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#11
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#115
Freethrows-2.4#300
Improvement-0.2#201
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.7% 12.6% 8.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.3
.500 or above 82.8% 87.3% 68.4%
.500 or above in Conference 76.5% 78.9% 68.5%
Conference Champion 13.0% 14.4% 8.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 1.4% 2.9%
First Four1.2% 1.1% 1.6%
First Round11.1% 12.1% 7.8%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Home) - 76.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 57   @ Xavier L 69-82 11%     0 - 1 -1.2 -4.8 +4.4
  Nov 10, 2018 317   Eastern Illinois W 71-65 85%     1 - 1 -6.7 -11.5 +4.4
  Nov 14, 2018 100   @ Boston College W 76-69 18%     2 - 1 +15.1 +7.4 +7.8
  Nov 16, 2018 172   @ Richmond L 70-78 36%     2 - 2 -5.8 -4.7 -1.1
  Nov 23, 2018 283   St. Francis Brooklyn W 68-48 70%     3 - 2 +13.2 -10.1 +22.5
  Nov 24, 2018 287   Grambling St. W 80-69 71%     4 - 2 +4.0 +3.5 +0.4
  Nov 28, 2018 129   Bradley W 85-73 45%     5 - 2 +11.8 +11.2 +0.4
  Dec 01, 2018 104   Ball St. L 75-85 38%     5 - 3 -8.2 -7.5 +0.4
  Dec 15, 2018 269   Western Illinois W 74-66 76%    
  Dec 18, 2018 199   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 78-80 42%    
  Dec 21, 2018 281   @ Morehead St. W 75-73 59%    
  Dec 28, 2018 127   @ Northern Kentucky L 69-76 25%    
  Dec 30, 2018 144   @ Wright St. L 69-75 29%    
  Jan 04, 2019 168   @ Illinois-Chicago L 75-79 36%    
  Jan 10, 2019 256   Cleveland St. W 77-70 74%    
  Jan 12, 2019 332   Youngstown St. W 83-70 89%    
  Jan 17, 2019 203   @ Green Bay L 78-80 44%    
  Jan 19, 2019 294   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 70-67 61%    
  Jan 24, 2019 235   Oakland W 78-72 71%    
  Jan 26, 2019 302   Detroit Mercy W 81-72 80%    
  Feb 01, 2019 127   Northern Kentucky L 72-73 45%    
  Feb 03, 2019 144   Wright St. W 72-71 50%    
  Feb 09, 2019 168   Illinois-Chicago W 78-76 58%    
  Feb 14, 2019 332   @ Youngstown St. W 80-73 75%    
  Feb 16, 2019 256   @ Cleveland St. W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 22, 2019 294   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 73-64 79%    
  Feb 24, 2019 203   Green Bay W 81-77 65%    
  Feb 28, 2019 302   @ Detroit Mercy W 78-75 62%    
  Mar 02, 2019 235   @ Oakland W 76-75 50%    
Projected Record 17.2 - 11.8 10.5 - 7.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 2.5 4.0 3.4 1.7 0.5 0.1 13.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.0 5.7 2.7 0.6 0.0 15.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.4 6.4 5.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 16.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.5 6.5 5.1 1.3 0.1 15.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.8 4.3 0.8 0.0 13.4 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 4.6 3.2 0.6 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 3.9 6.5 9.5 12.1 14.0 14.1 12.8 10.2 6.9 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 97.7% 1.7    1.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 85.3% 3.4    2.5 0.9 0.0 0.0
14-4 57.6% 4.0    2.1 1.6 0.3 0.0
13-5 24.9% 2.5    0.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.4% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.0% 13.0 7.5 4.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 44.9% 43.6% 1.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3%
17-1 0.5% 40.7% 40.7% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.7% 35.2% 35.2% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1
15-3 4.0% 29.5% 29.5% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.8
14-4 6.9% 24.4% 24.4% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.1 5.2
13-5 10.2% 19.9% 19.9% 14.8 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.2 8.2
12-6 12.8% 15.2% 15.2% 15.1 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.5 10.9
11-7 14.1% 10.9% 10.9% 15.4 0.1 0.8 0.6 12.6
10-8 14.0% 8.1% 8.1% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 12.8
9-9 12.1% 5.6% 5.6% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 11.4
8-10 9.5% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.4 9.1
7-11 6.5% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 6.4
6-12 3.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 3.8
5-13 2.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.1
4-14 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.0
3-15 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.7% 11.7% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6 4.9 3.2 88.3 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 12.2 18.2 50.0 27.3 4.5