Oakland
Horizon
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#235
Achievement Rating-5.8#243
Pace66.9#253
Improvement-0.6#224

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#110
First Shot+5.0#50
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#319
Layup/Dunks-4.3#303
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#120
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#17
Freethrows+1.7#91
Improvement-1.2#278

Defense
Total Defense-7.0#342
First Shot-5.9#330
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#253
Layups/Dunks-5.2#325
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#84
Freethrows-0.7#214
Improvement+0.6#135
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 5.6% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 15.8% 26.3% 10.3%
.500 or above in Conference 49.1% 56.4% 45.3%
Conference Champion 3.5% 4.9% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 6.4% 4.3% 7.5%
First Four2.2% 2.3% 2.2%
First Round3.3% 4.5% 2.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hartford (Away) - 34.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 75   Toledo L 86-87 22%     0 - 1 +2.6 +17.8 -15.2
  Nov 13, 2018 224   Western Michigan L 77-85 58%     0 - 2 -14.6 -8.7 -4.9
  Nov 16, 2018 136   @ UNLV L 61-74 18%     0 - 3 -7.7 -3.7 -4.9
  Nov 23, 2018 233   James Madison W 77-69 61%     1 - 3 +0.5 +11.1 -9.6
  Nov 24, 2018 319   Oral Roberts W 87-76 79%     2 - 3 -1.9 +11.3 -12.5
  Nov 25, 2018 162   Northern Illinois L 72-92 44%     2 - 4 -23.1 +1.6 -27.2
  Dec 01, 2018 57   @ Xavier L 63-73 7%     2 - 5 +1.8 +1.0 -0.4
  Dec 06, 2018 245   @ Fairfield W 87-86 40%     3 - 5 -1.0 +8.3 -9.4
  Dec 08, 2018 86   @ Northeastern L 83-92 11%     3 - 6 -0.1 +8.0 -7.8
  Dec 16, 2018 217   @ Hartford L 73-77 34%    
  Dec 18, 2018 110   @ Georgia L 70-82 13%    
  Dec 21, 2018 5   @ Michigan St. L 65-91 1%    
  Dec 28, 2018 256   @ Cleveland St. L 76-78 42%    
  Dec 30, 2018 332   @ Youngstown St. W 82-78 66%    
  Jan 03, 2019 127   Northern Kentucky L 73-78 34%    
  Jan 05, 2019 144   Wright St. L 73-76 39%    
  Jan 10, 2019 294   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-69 71%    
  Jan 12, 2019 203   Green Bay W 82-81 54%    
  Jan 19, 2019 302   @ Detroit Mercy W 80-79 51%    
  Jan 24, 2019 182   @ IUPUI L 72-78 29%    
  Jan 26, 2019 168   @ Illinois-Chicago L 76-83 26%    
  Jan 31, 2019 332   Youngstown St. W 85-75 82%    
  Feb 02, 2019 256   Cleveland St. W 79-75 64%    
  Feb 07, 2019 144   @ Wright St. L 70-79 21%    
  Feb 09, 2019 127   @ Northern Kentucky L 70-81 17%    
  Feb 14, 2019 203   @ Green Bay L 79-84 33%    
  Feb 16, 2019 294   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-73 50%    
  Feb 23, 2019 302   Detroit Mercy W 83-77 72%    
  Feb 28, 2019 168   Illinois-Chicago L 79-80 47%    
  Mar 02, 2019 182   IUPUI L 75-76 50%    
Projected Record 11.9 - 18.1 8.5 - 9.5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.5 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.2 2.9 0.7 0.1 9.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.6 3.6 0.6 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.0 6.6 4.1 0.6 0.0 14.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.3 7.0 4.2 0.7 0.0 15.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.4 6.2 3.6 0.6 0.0 14.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.0 4.9 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.2 3.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.0 3.9 7.0 10.2 12.7 14.3 14.2 12.4 9.5 6.4 3.7 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 96.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 85.1% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 59.0% 1.1    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 27.6% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 5.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.7 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 36.5% 36.5% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 25.7% 25.7% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 22.6% 22.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-4 1.9% 17.0% 17.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.5
13-5 3.7% 14.4% 14.4% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 3.2
12-6 6.4% 10.0% 10.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 5.8
11-7 9.5% 7.4% 7.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 8.8
10-8 12.4% 5.5% 5.5% 15.9 0.0 0.6 11.7
9-9 14.2% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 13.6
8-10 14.3% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.4 13.9
7-11 12.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 12.6
6-12 10.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.1
5-13 7.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.9
4-14 3.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.9
3-15 2.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.0
2-16 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.4 95.7 0.0%