Xavier
Big East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.8#57
Achievement Rating+7.2#94
Pace66.1#271
Improvement+0.3#150

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#25
First Shot+2.7#101
After Offensive Rebound+4.2#14
Layup/Dunks+3.4#79
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#174
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#162
Freethrows-1.1#239
Improvement-2.9#343

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#115
First Shot+1.2#134
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#136
Layups/Dunks+1.9#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#186
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#290
Freethrows+2.9#42
Improvement+3.1#10
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.7% 1.7% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.8% 35.6% 18.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 29.9% 30.6% 14.4%
Average Seed 8.8 8.8 9.7
.500 or above 71.8% 73.1% 45.1%
.500 or above in Conference 52.3% 53.0% 37.5%
Conference Champion 7.6% 7.7% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 10.3% 9.9% 17.6%
First Four5.3% 5.4% 4.1%
First Round32.1% 32.8% 16.3%
Second Round15.2% 15.6% 6.9%
Sweet Sixteen4.6% 4.7% 2.0%
Elite Eight1.6% 1.6% 0.8%
Final Four0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Kentucky (Home) - 95.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 182   IUPUI W 82-69 89%     1 - 0 +8.6 +4.0 +3.8
  Nov 10, 2018 176   Evansville W 91-85 88%     2 - 0 +1.8 +15.5 -13.8
  Nov 13, 2018 13   Wisconsin L 68-77 37%     2 - 1 +3.2 +6.9 -4.3
  Nov 19, 2018 8   Auburn L 79-88 19%     2 - 2 +9.0 +5.4 +4.6
  Nov 20, 2018 71   San Diego St. L 74-79 57%     2 - 3 +2.0 +9.6 -8.1
  Nov 21, 2018 91   Illinois W 83-74 62%     3 - 3 +14.7 +9.6 +4.7
  Nov 28, 2018 151   Miami (OH) W 82-55 85%     4 - 3 +24.7 +11.9 +14.9
  Dec 01, 2018 234   Oakland W 73-63 93%     5 - 3 +2.5 +0.3 +3.3
  Dec 05, 2018 152   Ohio W 82-61 85%     6 - 3 +18.6 +12.5 +6.7
  Dec 08, 2018 24   @ Cincinnati L 47-62 25%     6 - 4 +0.9 -7.2 +5.3
  Dec 15, 2018 272   Eastern Kentucky W 92-74 95%    
  Dec 18, 2018 85   @ Missouri L 68-69 49%    
  Dec 21, 2018 303   Detroit Mercy W 87-67 97%    
  Dec 29, 2018 101   @ DePaul W 74-73 53%    
  Jan 02, 2019 56   Seton Hall W 75-72 61%    
  Jan 06, 2019 34   @ Marquette L 71-77 28%    
  Jan 09, 2019 89   Georgetown W 82-76 71%    
  Jan 13, 2019 36   Butler W 71-70 50%    
  Jan 18, 2019 27   @ Villanova L 67-74 26%    
  Jan 23, 2019 72   Providence W 74-69 67%    
  Jan 26, 2019 34   Marquette L 74-75 49%    
  Jan 31, 2019 89   @ Georgetown L 78-79 50%    
  Feb 03, 2019 41   @ Creighton L 77-82 33%    
  Feb 09, 2019 101   DePaul W 77-70 73%    
  Feb 13, 2019 41   Creighton W 80-79 55%    
  Feb 16, 2019 72   @ Providence L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 20, 2019 56   @ Seton Hall L 72-75 39%    
  Feb 24, 2019 27   Villanova L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 28, 2019 45   @ St. John's L 77-81 35%    
  Mar 05, 2019 36   @ Butler L 68-74 30%    
  Mar 09, 2019 45   St. John's W 80-78 56%    
Projected Record 17.1 - 13.9 8.7 - 9.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.2 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 7.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.6 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 9.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.3 4.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 10.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 3.1 5.7 2.3 0.2 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.5 6.2 2.7 0.2 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.0 3.5 0.3 0.0 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.5 4.1 0.5 0.0 12.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.3 3.8 0.6 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.2 2.8 0.7 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.9 1.3 0.4 0.0 5.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.7 6.2 9.3 12.1 13.6 13.7 12.5 10.2 7.3 4.5 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 99.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 93.5% 1.1    1.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 79.0% 2.0    1.4 0.5 0.0 0.0
13-5 49.3% 2.2    1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0
12-6 19.9% 1.4    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 2.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.6% 7.6 4.1 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 38.9% 61.1% 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.4% 99.7% 29.2% 70.5% 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
15-3 1.2% 99.2% 27.9% 71.3% 4.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.9%
14-4 2.5% 97.8% 22.4% 75.4% 5.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 97.2%
13-5 4.5% 93.1% 18.1% 75.0% 7.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 91.6%
12-6 7.3% 85.4% 14.4% 71.0% 8.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 83.0%
11-7 10.2% 72.3% 11.1% 61.2% 9.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.8 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.8 68.9%
10-8 12.5% 53.1% 8.7% 44.4% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 1.9 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.9 48.6%
9-9 13.7% 32.0% 6.5% 25.5% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 9.3 27.3%
8-10 13.6% 10.0% 3.9% 6.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 12.2 6.3%
7-11 12.1% 3.0% 2.3% 0.7% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.7 0.7%
6-12 9.3% 1.4% 1.3% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.2 0.0%
5-13 6.2% 0.9% 0.9% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2
4-14 3.7% 0.6% 0.6% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
3-15 1.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
2-16 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0
Total 100% 34.8% 7.0% 27.8% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.6 3.6 4.5 5.7 6.0 5.4 2.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 65.2 29.9%