Xavier
Big East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.0#82
Achievement Rating+5.4#101
Pace65.0#289
Improvement-2.3#281

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#51
First Shot+2.7#99
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#42
Layup/Dunks+1.8#118
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#205
Freethrows+0.3#157
Improvement-3.6#315

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#133
First Shot+0.8#143
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#128
Layups/Dunks+0.8#134
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#236
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#255
Freethrows+2.3#38
Improvement+1.4#105
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 4.9% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 2.3% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.7 11.3 12.1
.500 or above 21.8% 45.0% 12.8%
.500 or above in Conference 4.1% 11.9% 1.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 32.0% 11.3% 40.1%
First Four0.5% 1.4% 0.2%
First Round2.2% 4.1% 1.5%
Second Round0.5% 1.0% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 27.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 205   IUPUI W 82-69 86%     1 - 0 +7.6 +1.4 +5.4
  Nov 10, 2018 201   Evansville W 91-85 85%     2 - 0 +0.8 +16.1 -15.4
  Nov 13, 2018 15   Wisconsin L 68-77 26%     2 - 1 +3.7 +9.0 -5.8
  Nov 19, 2018 14   Auburn L 79-88 18%     2 - 2 +6.6 +4.3 +3.3
  Nov 20, 2018 115   San Diego St. L 74-79 58%     2 - 3 -1.0 +10.0 -11.5
  Nov 21, 2018 56   Illinois W 83-74 42%     3 - 3 +17.2 +11.6 +5.2
  Nov 28, 2018 144   Miami (OH) W 82-55 75%     4 - 3 +26.0 +14.7 +13.3
  Dec 01, 2018 216   Oakland W 73-63 87%     5 - 3 +4.0 +2.8 +2.3
  Dec 05, 2018 209   Ohio W 82-61 86%     6 - 3 +15.4 +12.3 +3.6
  Dec 08, 2018 31   @ Cincinnati L 47-62 20%     6 - 4 +0.1 -9.4 +6.7
  Dec 15, 2018 277   Eastern Kentucky W 95-77 92%     7 - 4 +8.6 +2.1 +3.3
  Dec 18, 2018 89   @ Missouri L 56-71 40%     7 - 5 -6.4 -9.2 +2.2
  Dec 21, 2018 260   Detroit Mercy W 69-55 90%     8 - 5 +5.6 -6.6 +12.9
  Dec 29, 2018 98   @ DePaul W 74-65 43%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +16.8 +7.4 +9.9
  Jan 02, 2019 50   Seton Hall L 70-80 48%     9 - 6 1 - 1 -3.5 +2.2 -5.9
  Jan 06, 2019 24   @ Marquette L 52-70 16%     9 - 7 1 - 2 -1.6 -16.2 +15.4
  Jan 09, 2019 68   Georgetown W 81-75 56%     10 - 7 2 - 2 +10.3 +14.2 -3.4
  Jan 13, 2019 46   Butler W 70-69 48%     11 - 7 3 - 2 +7.7 +8.6 -0.8
  Jan 18, 2019 19   @ Villanova L 75-85 14%     11 - 8 3 - 3 +7.8 +13.5 -6.5
  Jan 23, 2019 80   Providence L 62-64 60%     11 - 9 3 - 4 +1.5 +1.3 -0.1
  Jan 26, 2019 24   Marquette L 82-87 32%     11 - 10 3 - 5 +5.9 +12.6 -6.7
  Jan 31, 2019 68   @ Georgetown L 73-80 35%     11 - 11 3 - 6 +2.9 +7.6 -5.1
  Feb 03, 2019 51   @ Creighton L 54-76 28%     11 - 12 3 - 7 -10.0 -6.8 -6.5
  Feb 09, 2019 98   DePaul L 62-74 64%     11 - 13 3 - 8 -9.7 -10.4 +0.6
  Feb 13, 2019 51   Creighton W 64-61 48%     12 - 13 4 - 8 +9.5 -8.9 +18.4
  Feb 16, 2019 80   @ Providence W 75-61 39%     13 - 13 5 - 8 +23.0 +11.9 +11.6
  Feb 20, 2019 50   @ Seton Hall L 69-75 28%    
  Feb 24, 2019 19   Villanova L 67-73 29%    
  Feb 28, 2019 42   @ St. John's L 70-77 24%    
  Mar 05, 2019 46   @ Butler L 67-73 28%    
  Mar 09, 2019 42   St. John's L 73-75 45%    
Projected Record 14.5 - 16.5 6.5 - 11.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 0.4 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 2.6 2.0 0.0 4.6 4th
5th 0.9 6.6 0.4 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 7.1 4.1 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 2.9 15.5 0.7 0.0 19.2 7th
8th 1.4 18.1 6.0 0.0 25.5 8th
9th 8.3 12.0 0.2 20.5 9th
10th 7.7 1.6 9.3 10th
Total 17.4 34.6 29.7 14.1 3.7 0.4 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.4% 47.7% 8.1% 39.6% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 43.1%
9-9 3.7% 18.3% 5.3% 13.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.0 13.7%
8-10 14.1% 4.9% 4.1% 0.9% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 13.4 0.9%
7-11 29.7% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 29.2 0.0%
6-12 34.6% 0.8% 0.8% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 34.3
5-13 17.4% 0.6% 0.6% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 17.3
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 97.5 0.8%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 8.2 30.3 30.3 33.3 6.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 69.4% 10.2 2.8 2.8 8.3 22.2 30.6 2.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 50.4% 10.7 5.3 13.5 23.3 7.5 0.8
Lose Out 10.0%