Illinois-Chicago
Horizon
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#169
Achievement Rating-1.3#188
Pace76.6#48
Improvement+1.7#65

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#137
First Shot+2.7#99
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#256
Layup/Dunks+4.6#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#306
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#74
Freethrows-2.5#297
Improvement-0.6#216

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#221
First Shot-0.2#176
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#270
Layups/Dunks+0.9#149
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#75
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#151
Freethrows-3.4#323
Improvement+2.2#37
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.3% 17.8% 13.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 63.3% 80.4% 58.3%
.500 or above in Conference 82.4% 88.2% 80.7%
Conference Champion 16.8% 22.3% 15.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.5% 1.2%
First Four2.1% 1.3% 2.4%
First Round13.5% 17.3% 12.4%
Second Round0.8% 1.4% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 22.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 55   @ Notre Dame L 67-84 13%     0 - 1 -5.1 -5.2 +1.3
  Nov 09, 2018 132   @ Radford L 78-88 28%     0 - 2 -4.4 +7.5 -11.9
  Nov 12, 2018 160   @ Duquesne L 88-89 36%     0 - 3 +2.1 +7.3 -5.1
  Nov 15, 2018 199   William & Mary W 100-95 68%     1 - 3 -0.2 +8.0 -8.7
  Nov 17, 2018 128   Bradley W 71-70 49%     2 - 3 +0.8 -1.2 +2.0
  Nov 28, 2018 104   @ Saint Joseph's L 75-89 21%     2 - 4 -6.1 -3.5 -1.2
  Dec 01, 2018 95   Loyola Chicago L 64-73 38%     2 - 5 -6.5 -3.1 -3.5
  Dec 05, 2018 150   Illinois St. W 94-75 57%     3 - 5 +16.7 +12.1 +3.2
  Dec 08, 2018 59   @ Colorado L 72-84 13%     3 - 6 -0.4 -1.8 +2.5
  Dec 14, 2018 107   @ DePaul L 73-81 23%    
  Dec 17, 2018 336   Incarnate Word W 84-69 92%    
  Dec 28, 2018 144   @ Wright St. L 74-79 32%    
  Dec 30, 2018 123   @ Northern Kentucky L 73-80 27%    
  Jan 04, 2019 179   IUPUI W 79-75 64%    
  Jan 10, 2019 332   Youngstown St. W 88-74 91%    
  Jan 12, 2019 255   Cleveland St. W 82-74 76%    
  Jan 17, 2019 282   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 74-71 62%    
  Jan 19, 2019 204   @ Green Bay L 83-84 47%    
  Jan 24, 2019 299   Detroit Mercy W 87-77 83%    
  Jan 26, 2019 236   Oakland W 83-76 74%    
  Feb 01, 2019 144   Wright St. W 77-76 54%    
  Feb 03, 2019 123   Northern Kentucky L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 09, 2019 179   @ IUPUI L 76-78 43%    
  Feb 14, 2019 255   @ Cleveland St. W 79-77 57%    
  Feb 16, 2019 332   @ Youngstown St. W 85-77 77%    
  Feb 22, 2019 204   Green Bay W 86-81 68%    
  Feb 24, 2019 282   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 77-68 80%    
  Feb 28, 2019 236   @ Oakland W 80-79 54%    
  Mar 02, 2019 299   @ Detroit Mercy W 84-80 65%    
Projected Record 15.1 - 13.9 11.0 - 7.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 3.0 5.0 4.6 2.4 0.9 0.1 16.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.8 6.7 3.6 0.8 0.1 18.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.8 6.4 2.2 0.2 0.0 18.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.2 5.2 1.3 0.1 15.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.1 4.0 0.7 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.7 2.8 0.5 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.4 1.9 0.3 0.0 5.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.7 5.0 7.8 10.7 13.3 14.5 14.4 11.9 8.8 5.4 2.5 0.9 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.9    0.8 0.0
16-2 96.8% 2.4    2.1 0.2
15-3 84.9% 4.6    3.4 1.1 0.1
14-4 56.8% 5.0    2.7 2.0 0.3 0.0
13-5 25.1% 3.0    0.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.8% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.8% 16.8 10.2 5.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 42.9% 42.9% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.9% 42.5% 42.4% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.2%
16-2 2.5% 36.2% 36.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.6
15-3 5.4% 31.1% 31.1% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.0 3.7
14-4 8.8% 25.9% 25.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.2 6.5
13-5 11.9% 21.5% 21.5% 15.1 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.5 9.3
12-6 14.4% 16.0% 16.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.0 12.1
11-7 14.5% 12.0% 12.0% 15.6 0.0 0.6 1.1 12.8
10-8 13.3% 8.7% 8.7% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 12.1
9-9 10.7% 7.0% 7.0% 15.9 0.1 0.7 10.0
8-10 7.8% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4 7.5
7-11 5.0% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 4.8
6-12 2.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 2.7
5-13 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.3
4-14 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 14.3% 14.3% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.7 5.8 5.0 85.7 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 11.9 30.4 47.8 21.7