Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#252
Achievement Rating-6.9#271
Pace76.6#35
Improvement+5.6#13

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#271
First Shot-3.0#268
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#193
Layup/Dunks+1.7#123
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#96
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#318
Freethrows-1.4#271
Improvement+4.9#15

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#229
First Shot-0.8#194
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#279
Layups/Dunks-3.1#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#134
Freethrows+1.1#103
Improvement+0.7#142
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.1% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 1.3% 2.3% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 38.1% 57.4% 15.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 0.6%
First Round0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Home) - 54.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 325   Florida A&M L 50-65 78%     0 - 1 -28.4 -23.3 -5.8
  Nov 10, 2018 312   @ Northern Arizona L 82-97 55%     0 - 2 -21.6 -4.9 -15.0
  Nov 12, 2018 104   @ Grand Canyon L 59-76 12%     0 - 3 -9.6 -9.5 -0.4
  Nov 16, 2018 321   Southeast Missouri St. L 71-77 68%     0 - 4 -16.2 -9.4 -6.6
  Nov 17, 2018 218   @ South Alabama W 71-48 33%     1 - 4 +22.3 -2.6 +24.7
  Nov 18, 2018 294   Chattanooga W 74-66 59%     2 - 4 +0.5 -8.8 +8.8
  Nov 24, 2018 303   @ Western Carolina L 65-77 51%     2 - 5 -17.5 -15.0 -1.8
  Dec 01, 2018 342   South Carolina St. W 71-69 86%     3 - 5 -14.7 -16.0 +1.2
  Dec 04, 2018 217   @ Presbyterian W 94-88 33%     4 - 5 +5.3 +6.5 -1.8
  Dec 15, 2018 306   @ Bethune-Cookman W 79-71 52%     5 - 5 +2.2 +1.2 +0.5
  Dec 20, 2018 65   @ Notre Dame L 74-100 9%     5 - 6 -16.1 +3.5 -18.9
  Dec 22, 2018 46   @ Indiana L 64-94 6%     5 - 7 -17.8 -6.3 -9.4
  Dec 30, 2018 217   Presbyterian L 67-72 53%     5 - 8 -11.1 -8.9 -2.5
  Jan 05, 2019 48   Lipscomb L 74-77 13%     5 - 9 0 - 1 +3.6 -3.2 +7.2
  Jan 09, 2019 343   @ Kennesaw St. W 90-70 72%     6 - 9 1 - 1 +8.7 +4.9 +1.9
  Jan 12, 2019 96   @ Liberty L 53-69 11%     6 - 10 1 - 2 -8.2 -8.4 -2.1
  Jan 16, 2019 322   North Alabama L 88-91 77%     6 - 11 1 - 3 -16.0 +5.6 -21.3
  Jan 19, 2019 194   @ NJIT L 74-77 28%     6 - 12 1 - 4 -2.3 -7.3 +5.5
  Jan 24, 2019 219   @ North Florida W 86-81 33%     7 - 12 2 - 4 +4.2 +4.7 -0.9
  Jan 27, 2019 96   Liberty L 59-69 23%     7 - 13 2 - 5 -7.6 -4.9 -4.1
  Jan 30, 2019 338   Stetson W 72-57 84%     8 - 13 3 - 5 -1.0 -11.2 +9.8
  Feb 02, 2019 221   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 60-73 33%     8 - 14 3 - 6 -13.8 -14.7 +1.4
  Feb 06, 2019 343   Kennesaw St. W 82-73 86%     9 - 14 4 - 6 -7.8 +0.6 -8.6
  Feb 09, 2019 48   @ Lipscomb L 77-86 6%     9 - 15 4 - 7 +3.1 +3.6 +0.4
  Feb 13, 2019 338   @ Stetson W 93-70 70%     10 - 15 5 - 7 +12.4 +6.7 +3.8
  Feb 20, 2019 219   North Florida W 81-80 54%    
  Feb 23, 2019 194   NJIT L 70-71 50%    
  Feb 26, 2019 322   @ North Alabama W 73-71 57%    
  Mar 01, 2019 221   Florida Gulf Coast W 76-75 54%    
Projected Record 12.2 - 16.8 7.2 - 8.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 10.7 9.3 20.1 3rd
4th 4.0 15.2 0.2 19.4 4th
5th 1.0 20.6 2.7 24.3 5th
6th 9.0 9.5 0.0 18.5 6th
7th 5.4 11.4 0.8 17.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 5.4 21.4 35.1 28.6 9.5 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 9.5% 1.8% 1.8% 15.5 0.1 0.1 9.3
8-8 28.6% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 28.3
7-9 35.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.3 34.8
6-10 21.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 21.3
5-11 5.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.4
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 0.8 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 15.5 46.0 54.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.4%
Lose Out 4.9%