Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#303
Achievement Rating-7.7#262
Pace74.4#87
Improvement+2.7#23

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#314
First Shot-4.1#284
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#258
Layup/Dunks+3.7#63
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#192
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.7#331
Freethrows-0.8#213
Improvement+1.8#42

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#249
First Shot+2.3#102
After Offensive Rebounds-4.8#350
Layups/Dunks-7.2#343
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#44
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.0#18
Freethrows+1.2#114
Improvement+0.9#106
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.0% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 11.7% 19.4% 6.3%
.500 or above in Conference 29.6% 35.2% 25.8%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 9.3% 7.1% 10.8%
First Four0.6% 0.7% 0.6%
First Round0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bethune-Cookman (Away) - 40.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 337   Florida A&M L 50-65 77%     0 - 1 -30.7 -25.6 -5.8
  Nov 10, 2018 318   @ Northern Arizona L 82-97 45%     0 - 2 -21.7 -4.6 -15.5
  Nov 12, 2018 117   @ Grand Canyon L 59-76 9%     0 - 3 -10.0 -8.6 -1.6
  Nov 16, 2018 272   Southeast Missouri St. L 71-77 43%     0 - 4 -12.2 -7.9 -4.0
  Nov 17, 2018 195   @ South Alabama W 71-48 20%     1 - 4 +23.9 +0.0 +23.8
  Nov 18, 2018 314   Chattanooga W 74-66 55%     2 - 4 -1.2 -5.2 +3.6
  Nov 24, 2018 295   @ Western Carolina L 65-77 36%     2 - 5 -16.4 -12.1 -3.6
  Dec 01, 2018 342   South Carolina St. W 71-69 79%     3 - 5 -14.6 -14.4 -0.3
  Dec 04, 2018 306   @ Presbyterian W 94-88 39%     4 - 5 +0.8 +5.3 -5.2
  Dec 15, 2018 308   @ Bethune-Cookman L 74-76 41%    
  Dec 20, 2018 56   @ Notre Dame L 60-80 3%    
  Dec 22, 2018 23   @ Indiana L 60-84 1%    
  Dec 30, 2018 306   Presbyterian W 78-75 62%    
  Jan 05, 2019 71   Lipscomb L 74-86 13%    
  Jan 09, 2019 343   @ Kennesaw St. W 70-67 60%    
  Jan 12, 2019 108   @ Liberty L 61-77 7%    
  Jan 16, 2019 329   North Alabama W 73-67 71%    
  Jan 19, 2019 200   @ NJIT L 65-74 21%    
  Jan 24, 2019 175   @ North Florida L 75-85 18%    
  Jan 27, 2019 108   Liberty L 64-74 19%    
  Jan 30, 2019 338   Stetson W 79-71 76%    
  Feb 02, 2019 239   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 72-78 29%    
  Feb 06, 2019 343   Kennesaw St. W 73-64 79%    
  Feb 09, 2019 71   @ Lipscomb L 71-89 5%    
  Feb 13, 2019 338   @ Stetson W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 20, 2019 175   North Florida L 78-82 36%    
  Feb 23, 2019 200   NJIT L 68-71 41%    
  Feb 26, 2019 329   @ North Alabama W 71-70 51%    
  Mar 01, 2019 239   Florida Gulf Coast L 75-76 49%    
Projected Record 11.4 - 17.6 6.3 - 9.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.3 4.8 1.8 0.2 12.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.3 8.0 6.6 2.0 0.1 0.0 20.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 6.4 10.8 6.9 1.5 0.1 0.0 26.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 5.8 7.6 3.1 0.4 0.0 17.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.7 4.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 10.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.6 9th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.7 6.2 11.2 15.5 17.4 16.5 12.9 8.6 4.8 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 86.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 51.3% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 14.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 22.6% 22.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.2% 9.7% 9.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 0.8% 5.9% 5.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.8
11-5 2.1% 5.2% 5.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.0
10-6 4.8% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.7
9-7 8.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.5
8-8 12.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.8
7-9 16.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 16.4
6-10 17.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 17.3
5-11 15.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.4
4-12 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.2
3-13 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.2
2-14 2.7% 2.7
1-15 0.7% 0.7
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.8 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%