Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.3#335
Achievement Rating-15.5#337
Pace72.3#94
Improvement+3.1#55

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#306
First Shot-5.1#305
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#195
Layup/Dunks-4.1#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#252
Freethrows-2.2#316
Improvement-0.3#204

Defense
Total Defense-6.9#339
First Shot-6.3#335
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#247
Layups/Dunks-2.8#290
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#125
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#328
Freethrows+0.2#165
Improvement+3.4#28
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 61.8% 37.3% 64.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Away) - 10.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2018 148   @ Missouri St. L 70-83 7%     0 - 1 -9.0 -8.3 +0.7
  Nov 14, 2018 78   @ USC L 59-95 3%     0 - 2 -27.0 -15.0 -8.8
  Nov 17, 2018 242   @ SE Louisiana L 57-69 17%     0 - 3 -14.0 -12.8 -1.5
  Nov 19, 2018 272   Robert Morris L 72-81 37%     0 - 4 -18.1 -0.8 -17.4
  Nov 23, 2018 318   VMI L 79-87 52%     0 - 5 -20.8 -12.2 -7.5
  Nov 26, 2018 303   @ Bethune-Cookman L 74-84 25%     0 - 6 -15.4 -7.9 -6.4
  Nov 28, 2018 118   @ South Florida L 71-75 5%     0 - 7 +2.6 +6.9 -4.4
  Dec 01, 2018 1   @ Duke L 49-113 0.2%    0 - 8 -36.6 -19.3 -7.7
  Dec 05, 2018 285   Western Illinois W 68-64 40%     1 - 8 -5.8 -5.9 +0.3
  Dec 08, 2018 235   Marist L 75-79 31%     1 - 9 -11.2 -2.2 -9.1
  Dec 16, 2018 52   @ Central Florida L 65-90 2%     1 - 10 -13.1 -3.8 -8.4
  Dec 18, 2018 340   UNC Asheville W 80-74 66%     2 - 10 -10.5 +2.0 -12.2
  Dec 21, 2018 294   @ Longwood L 63-77 23%     2 - 11 -18.7 -1.0 -19.9
  Jan 09, 2019 99   Liberty L 53-71 9%     2 - 12 0 - 1 -15.7 -12.7 -5.3
  Jan 12, 2019 48   @ Lipscomb L 71-95 2%     2 - 13 0 - 2 -11.9 -2.3 -6.9
  Jan 16, 2019 212   North Florida L 77-87 27%     2 - 14 0 - 3 -15.9 +2.0 -18.2
  Jan 19, 2019 319   @ North Alabama L 62-63 31%     2 - 15 0 - 4 -8.3 -11.8 +3.5
  Jan 21, 2019 230   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 65-87 15%     2 - 16 0 - 5 -23.5 -11.9 -10.2
  Jan 24, 2019 197   NJIT L 59-82 24%     2 - 17 0 - 6 -27.9 -13.7 -14.0
  Jan 27, 2019 48   Lipscomb L 65-88 5%     2 - 18 0 - 7 -16.4 -8.0 -6.7
  Jan 30, 2019 248   @ Jacksonville L 57-72 17%     2 - 19 0 - 8 -17.4 -17.3 +0.3
  Feb 02, 2019 341   Kennesaw St. W 92-75 66%     3 - 19 1 - 8 +0.3 +12.2 -11.9
  Feb 05, 2019 99   @ Liberty L 54-57 4%     3 - 20 1 - 9 +4.8 -13.1 +17.7
  Feb 13, 2019 248   Jacksonville L 70-93 33%     3 - 21 1 - 10 -30.9 -11.4 -17.7
  Feb 16, 2019 230   Florida Gulf Coast W 67-55 30%     4 - 21 2 - 10 +5.0 +2.7 +4.4
  Feb 20, 2019 197   @ NJIT L 63-76 11%    
  Feb 23, 2019 319   North Alabama W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 26, 2019 212   @ North Florida L 73-85 13%    
  Mar 01, 2019 341   @ Kennesaw St. L 72-73 45%    
Projected Record 5.2 - 23.8 3.2 - 12.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 5th
6th 0.2 0.2 6th
7th 1.9 0.1 2.0 7th
8th 27.1 28.1 4.3 0.0 59.5 8th
9th 21.6 16.0 0.5 38.2 9th
Total 21.6 43.2 28.6 6.2 0.4 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
5-11 6.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.2
4-12 28.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 28.6
3-13 43.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 43.2
2-14 21.6% 21.6
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 21.6%