Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#48
Achievement Rating+10.8#48
Pace82.6#10
Improvement+0.1#185

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#85
First Shot+3.9#60
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#212
Layup/Dunks+0.3#163
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#168
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#173
Freethrows+3.4#9
Improvement+0.8#147

Defense
Total Defense+6.0#33
First Shot+4.8#44
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#60
Layups/Dunks+2.1#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#72
Freethrows+0.3#163
Improvement-0.7#219
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 65.3% 66.5% 59.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.4% 7.5% 1.5%
Average Seed 11.5 11.4 12.0
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 86.5% 93.7% 48.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.2% 2.5% 0.6%
First Round64.2% 65.2% 58.7%
Second Round19.9% 20.7% 15.6%
Sweet Sixteen5.6% 5.8% 4.5%
Elite Eight1.1% 1.2% 0.9%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Away) - 84.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 312   Tennessee St. W 86-79 96%     1 - 0 -4.6 -5.0 -0.7
  Nov 15, 2018 69   Belmont L 83-87 69%     1 - 1 +0.3 -4.9 +5.9
  Nov 17, 2018 104   @ SMU W 79-73 57%     2 - 1 +13.4 -0.2 +13.2
  Nov 20, 2018 37   @ TCU W 73-64 32%     3 - 1 +23.0 +4.3 +18.4
  Nov 25, 2018 268   @ Morehead St. W 87-55 88%     4 - 1 +28.7 +6.7 +20.6
  Dec 01, 2018 244   @ Middle Tennessee W 84-74 86%     5 - 1 +7.9 +11.0 -3.1
  Dec 04, 2018 69   @ Belmont L 74-76 48%     5 - 2 +7.8 -4.7 +12.8
  Dec 09, 2018 301   Navy W 107-81 96%     6 - 2 +15.3 +27.0 -12.6
  Dec 12, 2018 16   @ Louisville L 68-72 20%     6 - 3 +14.2 +2.0 +12.4
  Dec 21, 2018 81   Vermont W 91-66 72%     7 - 3 +28.4 +18.6 +9.6
  Dec 30, 2018 30   @ Clemson L 67-84 29%     7 - 4 -1.9 -6.9 +7.9
  Jan 05, 2019 248   @ Jacksonville W 77-74 86%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +0.6 -5.6 +5.9
  Jan 09, 2019 212   North Florida W 81-66 92%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +9.1 -0.6 +8.7
  Jan 12, 2019 335   Stetson W 95-71 98%     10 - 4 3 - 0 +8.9 +3.3 +2.9
  Jan 16, 2019 197   @ NJIT W 70-52 80%     11 - 4 4 - 0 +18.6 -4.2 +21.6
  Jan 21, 2019 341   Kennesaw St. W 86-57 98%     12 - 4 5 - 0 +12.3 -1.1 +10.9
  Jan 24, 2019 230   Florida Gulf Coast W 89-81 93%     13 - 4 6 - 0 +1.0 +0.7 -0.8
  Jan 27, 2019 335   @ Stetson W 88-65 95%     14 - 4 7 - 0 +13.4 +3.1 +8.6
  Jan 29, 2019 99   @ Liberty W 79-59 56%     15 - 4 8 - 0 +27.8 +14.8 +14.4
  Feb 02, 2019 319   North Alabama W 102-80 97%     16 - 4 9 - 0 +9.2 +16.0 -8.7
  Feb 06, 2019 212   @ North Florida W 92-55 82%     17 - 4 10 - 0 +36.6 +15.3 +20.2
  Feb 09, 2019 248   Jacksonville W 86-77 94%     18 - 4 11 - 0 +1.1 +1.2 -1.0
  Feb 13, 2019 99   Liberty L 66-74 75%     18 - 5 11 - 1 -5.7 -5.4 -0.4
  Feb 16, 2019 341   @ Kennesaw St. W 83-67 96%     19 - 5 12 - 1 +4.8 +2.3 +1.8
  Feb 20, 2019 230   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 82-71 84%    
  Feb 26, 2019 197   NJIT W 79-65 91%    
  Mar 01, 2019 319   @ North Alabama W 83-66 94%    
Projected Record 21.7 - 5.3 14.7 - 1.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 13.6 72.5 86.5 1st
2nd 0.1 2.5 10.9 13.5 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.1 2.9 24.5 72.5 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 72.5    40.0 32.5
14-2 55.6% 13.6    3.1 10.5
13-3 11.8% 0.3    0.0 0.3
12-4 0.8% 0.0    0.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 86.5% 86.5 43.2 43.3



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 72.5% 67.9% 64.8% 3.0% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 5.5 22.5 17.8 2.2 0.0 23.3 8.7%
14-2 24.5% 59.0% 58.3% 0.7% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.3 7.9 2.8 0.1 10.0 1.7%
13-3 2.9% 55.7% 55.6% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.3 0.2%
12-4 0.1% 38.3% 38.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 65.3% 62.9% 2.4% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 5.8 26.0 26.5 5.6 0.2 34.7 6.4%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 47.0% 100.0% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.6 11.6 46.9 35.2 3.6 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 16.8% 10.3% 12.0 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.5 2.1 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.4% 5.8% 12.0 0.1 1.0 3.4 1.2 0.1