Indiana
Big Ten
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.1#22
Achievement Rating+19.3#20
Pace70.7#159
Improvement-2.3#315

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#40
First Shot+4.8#51
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#95
Layup/Dunks+9.3#2
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#264
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#234
Freethrows-1.1#228
Improvement-0.9#246

Defense
Total Defense+7.1#20
First Shot+8.3#8
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#254
Layups/Dunks-1.3#225
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#70
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#110
Freethrows+5.7#4
Improvement-1.4#285
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 2.5% 2.5% 0.5%
Top 4 Seed 29.9% 30.2% 13.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 81.9% 82.2% 61.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 80.6% 81.0% 59.8%
Average Seed 5.7 5.7 6.9
.500 or above 97.1% 97.4% 83.9%
.500 or above in Conference 78.7% 79.0% 62.9%
Conference Champion 8.4% 8.5% 4.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.7% 2.2%
First Four2.8% 2.8% 4.3%
First Round80.7% 81.1% 59.1%
Second Round55.3% 55.7% 36.0%
Sweet Sixteen27.6% 27.8% 16.1%
Elite Eight11.9% 11.9% 8.1%
Final Four4.7% 4.8% 1.6%
Championship Game1.8% 1.8% 1.1%
National Champion0.7% 0.7% 0.5%

Next Game: Central Arkansas (Home) - 98.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 347   Chicago St. W 104-55 99%     1 - 0 +29.5 +11.3 +13.6
  Nov 09, 2018 294   Montana St. W 80-35 97%     2 - 0 +34.6 -2.4 +36.2
  Nov 14, 2018 32   Marquette W 96-73 66%     3 - 0 +31.9 +20.6 +9.9
  Nov 18, 2018 55   @ Arkansas L 72-73 54%     3 - 1 +11.1 +0.0 +11.1
  Nov 20, 2018 251   Texas Arlington W 78-64 97%     4 - 1 +5.7 -0.1 +5.1
  Nov 23, 2018 222   UC Davis W 76-62 95%     5 - 1 +7.5 +11.3 -2.6
  Nov 27, 2018 1   @ Duke L 69-90 12%     5 - 2 +5.1 -0.7 +8.2
  Dec 01, 2018 50   Northwestern W 68-66 73%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +8.6 +1.3 +7.4
  Dec 04, 2018 58   @ Penn St. W 64-62 55%     7 - 2 2 - 0 +13.7 -0.4 +14.1
  Dec 08, 2018 34   Louisville W 68-67 66%     8 - 2 +9.8 +1.9 +7.9
  Dec 15, 2018 37   Butler W 71-68 56%     9 - 2 +14.5 +8.4 +6.3
  Dec 19, 2018 279   Central Arkansas W 89-66 98%    
  Dec 22, 2018 291   Jacksonville W 84-61 99%    
  Jan 03, 2019 83   Illinois W 79-69 82%    
  Jan 06, 2019 8   @ Michigan L 62-69 25%    
  Jan 11, 2019 30   @ Maryland L 70-72 41%    
  Jan 14, 2019 16   Nebraska W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 19, 2019 28   @ Purdue L 72-74 41%    
  Jan 22, 2019 50   @ Northwestern W 70-69 52%    
  Jan 25, 2019 8   Michigan L 65-66 45%    
  Jan 30, 2019 98   @ Rutgers W 69-64 67%    
  Feb 02, 2019 4   @ Michigan St. L 71-79 23%    
  Feb 07, 2019 36   Iowa W 79-75 66%    
  Feb 10, 2019 19   Ohio St. W 71-68 60%    
  Feb 16, 2019 60   @ Minnesota W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 19, 2019 28   Purdue W 75-71 62%    
  Feb 22, 2019 36   @ Iowa L 76-78 45%    
  Feb 26, 2019 13   Wisconsin W 66-65 53%    
  Mar 02, 2019 4   Michigan St. L 74-76 42%    
  Mar 07, 2019 83   @ Illinois W 76-72 63%    
  Mar 10, 2019 98   Rutgers W 72-61 83%    
Projected Record 20.6 - 10.4 11.6 - 8.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.0 2.6 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 8.4 1st
2nd 0.2 1.5 4.2 4.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 11.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 4.8 4.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.4 5.2 4.9 1.3 0.1 13.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.4 5.5 1.4 0.1 12.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.6 1.9 0.2 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 4.9 2.1 0.2 9.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.3 2.2 0.2 6.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.2 0.6 0.0 5.6 9th
10th 0.2 1.4 2.1 0.6 0.0 4.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.6 0.0 2.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 1.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.9 3.7 6.0 8.6 11.8 13.8 14.7 12.9 10.9 7.4 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 98.6% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
17-3 89.1% 1.9    1.5 0.4 0.0
16-4 62.3% 2.6    1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0
15-5 27.6% 2.0    0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1
14-6 8.2% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.4% 8.4 4.6 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 27.3% 72.7% 1.1 0.2 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.7% 100.0% 28.6% 71.4% 1.3 0.5 0.2 100.0%
17-3 2.1% 100.0% 22.3% 77.7% 1.7 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
16-4 4.2% 100.0% 16.1% 83.9% 2.3 0.6 2.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 100.0%
15-5 7.4% 100.0% 12.7% 87.3% 3.0 0.2 2.2 3.2 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 10.9% 100.0% 11.8% 88.2% 3.8 0.1 1.1 3.6 3.4 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 100.0%
13-7 12.9% 99.7% 9.2% 90.5% 4.9 0.1 1.7 3.5 3.9 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
12-8 14.7% 98.1% 5.7% 92.4% 5.9 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.9 4.1 2.4 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.3 98.0%
11-9 13.8% 94.4% 2.6% 91.7% 7.2 0.1 0.2 1.3 2.8 3.3 2.9 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.8 94.2%
10-10 11.8% 85.8% 2.5% 83.3% 8.3 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.8 2.3 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.7 85.4%
9-11 8.6% 54.2% 1.2% 53.0% 10.2 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.1 3.9 53.7%
8-12 6.0% 20.9% 1.0% 19.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.1 4.8 20.1%
7-13 3.7% 1.6% 1.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 3.6 1.6%
6-14 1.9% 0.5% 0.5% 12.0 0.0 1.9 0.5%
5-15 0.7% 0.7
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 81.9% 6.5% 75.4% 5.7 2.5 6.8 10.3 10.4 11.6 10.7 8.8 7.7 5.4 3.7 2.5 1.5 0.2 18.1 80.6%