Indiana
Big Ten
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.5#45
Achievement Rating+8.3#69
Pace67.7#211
Improvement-8.2#351

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#71
First Shot+2.4#107
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#78
Layup/Dunks+6.9#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#291
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#270
Freethrows+0.3#154
Improvement-4.2#323

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#38
First Shot+5.7#35
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#186
Layups/Dunks-1.9#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#42
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#117
Freethrows+4.2#8
Improvement-4.0#333
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.3% 27.0% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.8% 26.4% 7.1%
Average Seed 10.7 10.4 11.2
.500 or above 51.2% 75.8% 37.9%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 1.5% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.7% 2.8% 15.0%
First Four7.1% 11.7% 4.7%
First Round10.8% 21.4% 5.2%
Second Round4.3% 8.9% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 2.4% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue (Home) - 34.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 351   Chicago St. W 104-55 99%     1 - 0 +26.3 +10.6 +11.1
  Nov 09, 2018 227   Montana St. W 80-35 93%     2 - 0 +38.3 -0.8 +38.2
  Nov 14, 2018 24   Marquette W 96-73 45%     3 - 0 +33.9 +21.2 +11.3
  Nov 18, 2018 58   @ Arkansas L 72-73 45%     3 - 1 +9.7 +0.0 +9.8
  Nov 20, 2018 175   Texas Arlington W 78-64 88%     4 - 1 +10.7 +3.2 +6.8
  Nov 23, 2018 207   UC Davis W 76-62 91%     5 - 1 +8.5 +9.1 +0.5
  Nov 27, 2018 1   @ Duke L 69-90 6%     5 - 2 +6.4 +0.3 +8.5
  Dec 01, 2018 63   Northwestern W 68-66 68%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +6.6 +3.0 +3.7
  Dec 04, 2018 57   @ Penn St. W 64-62 45%     7 - 2 2 - 0 +12.8 -2.0 +14.8
  Dec 08, 2018 16   Louisville W 68-67 38%     8 - 2 +13.7 +5.0 +8.7
  Dec 15, 2018 46   Butler W 71-68 50%     9 - 2 +12.4 +7.3 +5.4
  Dec 19, 2018 302   Central Arkansas W 86-53 96%     10 - 2 +22.2 +2.8 +17.7
  Dec 22, 2018 248   Jacksonville W 94-64 94%     11 - 2 +22.1 +11.4 +8.5
  Jan 03, 2019 56   Illinois W 73-65 65%     12 - 2 3 - 0 +13.5 +3.8 +9.7
  Jan 06, 2019 8   @ Michigan L 63-74 16%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +9.2 +15.4 -8.3
  Jan 11, 2019 21   @ Maryland L 75-78 23%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +14.3 +17.2 -3.2
  Jan 14, 2019 35   Nebraska L 51-66 53%     12 - 5 3 - 3 -6.2 -12.3 +4.7
  Jan 19, 2019 10   @ Purdue L 55-70 18%     12 - 6 3 - 4 +4.4 -6.3 +9.3
  Jan 22, 2019 63   @ Northwestern L 66-73 48%     12 - 7 3 - 5 +3.1 +3.7 -0.8
  Jan 25, 2019 8   Michigan L 46-69 31%     12 - 8 3 - 6 -8.3 -13.9 +4.3
  Jan 30, 2019 90   @ Rutgers L 58-66 55%     12 - 9 3 - 7 +0.3 -7.1 +7.3
  Feb 02, 2019 4   @ Michigan St. W 79-75 11%     13 - 9 4 - 7 +27.0 +14.9 +12.0
  Feb 07, 2019 26   Iowa L 72-77 47%     13 - 10 4 - 8 +5.2 +3.9 +1.0
  Feb 10, 2019 41   Ohio St. L 52-55 56%     13 - 11 4 - 9 +5.0 -5.7 +10.1
  Feb 16, 2019 43   @ Minnesota L 63-84 39%     13 - 12 4 - 10 -8.5 -3.2 -5.6
  Feb 19, 2019 10   Purdue L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 22, 2019 26   @ Iowa L 73-79 27%    
  Feb 26, 2019 15   Wisconsin L 61-64 39%    
  Mar 02, 2019 4   Michigan St. L 66-74 23%    
  Mar 07, 2019 56   @ Illinois L 72-73 44%    
  Mar 10, 2019 90   Rutgers W 70-63 75%    
Projected Record 15.4 - 15.6 6.4 - 13.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 2.0 0.4 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 5.0 1.6 0.1 7.8 8th
9th 0.2 7.0 5.4 0.4 0.0 12.9 9th
10th 0.1 5.7 13.6 2.0 0.0 21.3 10th
11th 1.7 14.2 5.2 0.1 21.3 11th
12th 0.7 9.2 9.7 0.5 0.0 20.0 12th
13th 2.1 6.8 1.4 0.0 10.3 13th
14th 1.4 1.0 0.0 2.4 14th
Total 4.2 18.7 31.2 27.4 13.9 4.0 0.5 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.5% 99.2% 2.3% 96.9% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
9-11 4.0% 87.7% 1.6% 86.1% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 87.5%
8-12 13.9% 48.5% 1.3% 47.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 7.2 47.9%
7-13 27.4% 11.2% 0.6% 10.7% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 0.7 0.0 24.4 10.7%
6-14 31.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.9% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 30.9 0.9%
5-15 18.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.7 0.0%
4-16 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 4.2
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 14.3% 0.5% 13.8% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.7 2.6 3.9 3.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 85.7 13.8%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 5.8 36.0 52.0 12.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 100.0% 6.8 6.9 31.0 46.6 10.3 3.4 1.7
Lose Out 2.2%