Samford
Southern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#189
Achievement Rating+6.5#104
Pace72.9#114
Improvement-2.7#328

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#187
First Shot+0.8#161
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#257
Layup/Dunks+1.6#126
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#252
Freethrows+0.9#127
Improvement-2.3#331

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#204
First Shot+1.9#113
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#332
Layups/Dunks+2.6#86
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#39
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#244
Freethrows-1.2#246
Improvement-0.4#220
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 3.5% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.5
.500 or above 81.0% 85.6% 64.4%
.500 or above in Conference 53.5% 56.1% 44.3%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.5% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 2.4% 4.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round3.1% 3.5% 2.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morehead St. (Home) - 77.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 329   North Alabama W 91-74 88%     1 - 0 +2.7 +4.3 -3.3
  Nov 09, 2018 145   Jacksonville St. W 92-72 50%     2 - 0 +18.4 +8.3 +7.7
  Nov 12, 2018 343   Kennesaw St. W 74-60 92%     3 - 0 -3.0 +5.2 -6.5
  Nov 18, 2018 256   @ Cleveland St. W 73-60 53%     4 - 0 +10.6 -1.8 +12.3
  Nov 20, 2018 14   @ Ohio St. L 50-68 5%     4 - 1 -0.4 -12.3 +11.5
  Nov 23, 2018 199   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 74-66 41%     5 - 1 +8.7 +1.6 +7.3
  Nov 25, 2018 342   South Carolina St. W 77-60 91%     6 - 1 +0.4 -1.9 +2.8
  Nov 29, 2018 88   Belmont L 93-99 33%     6 - 2 -3.2 +2.2 -4.2
  Dec 09, 2018 351   @ Alabama A&M W 77-59 89%     7 - 2 +3.2 -3.2 +5.6
  Dec 13, 2018 281   Morehead St. W 79-71 78%    
  Dec 17, 2018 284   Houston Baptist W 87-79 78%    
  Dec 19, 2018 9   @ Tennessee L 62-84 2%    
  Dec 22, 2018 89   UNC Greensboro L 71-75 34%    
  Dec 29, 2018 321   VMI W 80-68 86%    
  Jan 03, 2019 126   @ East Tennessee St. L 66-74 23%    
  Jan 05, 2019 295   @ Western Carolina W 77-74 60%    
  Jan 12, 2019 314   @ Chattanooga W 73-68 66%    
  Jan 17, 2019 184   The Citadel W 91-88 60%    
  Jan 19, 2019 213   Mercer W 71-67 65%    
  Jan 24, 2019 67   @ Wofford L 66-78 14%    
  Jan 26, 2019 112   @ Furman L 69-78 20%    
  Jan 31, 2019 126   East Tennessee St. L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 02, 2019 295   Western Carolina W 80-71 78%    
  Feb 07, 2019 89   @ UNC Greensboro L 68-78 18%    
  Feb 09, 2019 321   @ VMI W 77-71 70%    
  Feb 16, 2019 314   Chattanooga W 76-65 83%    
  Feb 21, 2019 213   @ Mercer L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 23, 2019 184   @ The Citadel L 88-91 39%    
  Feb 28, 2019 112   Furman L 72-75 39%    
  Mar 02, 2019 67   Wofford L 69-75 30%    
Projected Record 17.3 - 12.7 8.7 - 9.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.9 5.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 14.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.7 7.7 6.5 2.0 0.1 0.0 20.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.9 7.9 5.1 1.3 0.1 20.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.8 5.8 2.9 0.6 0.0 15.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.0 2.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.0 5.6 9.2 12.3 14.8 15.0 13.5 10.6 7.1 4.2 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 95.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 77.3% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 39.5% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 11.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 36.2% 29.8% 6.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1%
16-2 0.2% 25.5% 22.6% 2.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.7%
15-3 0.8% 18.2% 17.7% 0.5% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6%
14-4 2.0% 15.0% 15.0% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
13-5 4.2% 11.2% 11.2% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.7 0.0%
12-6 7.1% 7.3% 7.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.6
11-7 10.6% 4.7% 4.7% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 10.2
10-8 13.5% 3.4% 3.4% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 13.1
9-9 15.0% 2.3% 2.3% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 14.7
8-10 14.8% 1.6% 1.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.5
7-11 12.3% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 12.2
6-12 9.2% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 9.1
5-13 5.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.6
4-14 3.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-15 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.3 96.8 0.0%