Mercer
Southern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#213
Achievement Rating-10.7#296
Pace63.8#324
Improvement-1.1#258

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#256
First Shot-1.4#223
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#264
Layup/Dunks+2.4#109
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#214
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#286
Freethrows+0.4#151
Improvement+0.5#135

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#168
First Shot+2.3#103
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#314
Layups/Dunks+5.5#20
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#252
Freethrows-0.6#208
Improvement-1.6#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 3.1% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 9.4% 27.1% 8.8%
.500 or above in Conference 34.7% 49.8% 34.1%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.6% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 2.7% 6.2%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round1.7% 2.9% 1.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida (Away) - 3.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 216   @ UAB L 67-75 39%     0 - 1 -8.2 -11.1 +3.6
  Nov 13, 2018 107   @ Georgia St. L 60-62 16%     0 - 2 +5.6 -5.5 +11.0
  Nov 16, 2018 299   Tennessee Martin W 77-60 77%     1 - 2 +6.3 +1.4 +5.8
  Nov 20, 2018 348   Maryland Eastern Shore W 80-42 93%     2 - 2 +18.8 +4.6 +16.6
  Nov 24, 2018 28   @ North Carolina St. L 74-78 5%     2 - 3 +11.7 +2.8 +9.1
  Dec 01, 2018 184   @ The Citadel L 69-79 33%     2 - 4 0 - 1 -8.4 -10.3 +2.2
  Dec 05, 2018 209   @ Florida Atlantic L 64-68 38%     2 - 5 -3.9 -11.4 +7.8
  Dec 08, 2018 130   Georgia Southern L 74-89 39%     2 - 6 -15.2 +1.5 -17.1
  Dec 18, 2018 19   @ Florida L 53-72 3%    
  Dec 21, 2018 218   UNC Wilmington W 75-72 62%    
  Dec 29, 2018 93   Harvard L 62-71 21%    
  Jan 03, 2019 112   @ Furman L 62-72 17%    
  Jan 05, 2019 67   @ Wofford L 60-73 11%    
  Jan 10, 2019 295   Western Carolina W 72-65 75%    
  Jan 12, 2019 126   East Tennessee St. L 63-66 38%    
  Jan 17, 2019 314   @ Chattanooga W 66-63 61%    
  Jan 19, 2019 189   @ Samford L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 24, 2019 321   VMI W 73-63 83%    
  Jan 26, 2019 89   @ UNC Greensboro L 61-73 14%    
  Jan 31, 2019 67   Wofford L 63-70 25%    
  Feb 02, 2019 112   Furman L 65-69 35%    
  Feb 09, 2019 184   The Citadel W 82-81 55%    
  Feb 14, 2019 295   @ Western Carolina W 69-68 55%    
  Feb 16, 2019 126   @ East Tennessee St. L 60-69 21%    
  Feb 21, 2019 189   Samford W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 23, 2019 314   Chattanooga W 69-60 79%    
  Feb 28, 2019 321   @ VMI W 70-66 65%    
  Mar 02, 2019 89   UNC Greensboro L 64-70 31%    
Projected Record 10.4 - 17.6 7.6 - 10.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.5 3.1 0.7 0.0 8.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.3 6.2 4.6 1.1 0.0 15.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 5.8 8.2 5.1 1.1 0.0 21.7 6th
7th 0.2 2.5 7.3 8.1 3.9 0.7 0.0 22.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.4 4.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 13.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.0 1.8 0.4 0.0 6.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.0 6.0 9.9 13.6 15.8 15.6 13.3 9.7 6.1 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 85.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 49.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 33.3% 33.3% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 17.8% 17.8% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 14.8% 14.8% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.5% 11.7% 11.7% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3
12-6 3.3% 7.6% 7.6% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.1
11-7 6.1% 4.4% 4.4% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 5.9
10-8 9.7% 3.2% 3.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 9.4
9-9 13.3% 2.3% 2.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 13.0
8-10 15.6% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 15.4
7-11 15.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 15.7
6-12 13.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.6
5-13 9.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.9
4-14 6.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.0
3-15 3.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.0
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 98.1 0.0%