VMI
Southern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.0#318
Achievement Rating-13.4#330
Pace76.4#39
Improvement+1.2#133

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#284
First Shot-1.1#212
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#346
Layup/Dunks-3.9#303
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#136
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#52
Freethrows-1.8#300
Improvement+0.4#168

Defense
Total Defense-5.9#326
First Shot-5.7#329
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#209
Layups/Dunks-3.8#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#98
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#227
Freethrows-1.9#297
Improvement+0.8#133
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 97.9% 89.7% 99.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Tennessee St. (Home) - 12.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 91   @ Pittsburgh L 55-94 5%     0 - 1 -30.8 -12.6 -17.7
  Nov 14, 2018 337   South Carolina Upstate W 78-72 70%     1 - 1 -9.3 -4.1 -5.4
  Nov 18, 2018 5   @ Kentucky L 82-92 1%     1 - 2 +12.7 +20.4 -7.7
  Nov 23, 2018 335   @ Stetson W 87-79 48%     2 - 2 -1.6 -3.5 +0.8
  Nov 27, 2018 208   American L 64-74 33%     2 - 3 -15.6 -13.0 -2.4
  Dec 01, 2018 294   @ Longwood L 45-65 30%     2 - 4 -24.7 -27.7 +2.6
  Dec 05, 2018 17   @ Virginia Tech L 68-89 1%     2 - 5 -2.8 -1.1 -0.6
  Dec 09, 2018 292   @ Chattanooga L 65-83 30%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -22.6 -13.5 -8.7
  Dec 12, 2018 215   @ Presbyterian L 70-103 18%     2 - 7 -33.5 -6.9 -26.7
  Dec 21, 2018 319   North Alabama W 89-68 61%     3 - 7 +8.2 +1.9 +3.9
  Dec 29, 2018 174   @ Samford L 68-96 13%     3 - 8 0 - 2 -25.8 -12.2 -10.6
  Jan 05, 2019 110   UNC Greensboro L 68-71 14%     3 - 9 0 - 3 -1.6 -5.8 +4.4
  Jan 10, 2019 64   Furman L 57-89 9%     3 - 10 0 - 4 -27.4 -17.5 -6.6
  Jan 12, 2019 39   Wofford L 76-90 5%     3 - 11 0 - 5 -5.8 -0.8 -4.1
  Jan 17, 2019 93   @ East Tennessee St. L 82-85 6%     3 - 12 0 - 6 +5.1 +9.0 -3.8
  Jan 19, 2019 289   Western Carolina W 91-83 50%     4 - 12 1 - 6 -2.0 +11.9 -14.0
  Jan 24, 2019 192   @ Mercer L 68-88 16%     4 - 13 1 - 7 -19.2 -3.7 -16.0
  Jan 26, 2019 278   @ The Citadel L 82-84 28%     4 - 14 1 - 8 -5.9 -4.6 -1.0
  Jan 31, 2019 110   @ UNC Greensboro L 66-93 7%     4 - 15 1 - 9 -20.1 -3.0 -16.6
  Feb 07, 2019 292   Chattanooga L 70-71 50%     4 - 16 1 - 10 -11.1 -6.0 -5.2
  Feb 09, 2019 174   Samford L 77-84 26%     4 - 17 1 - 11 -10.3 -12.0 +2.9
  Feb 14, 2019 39   @ Wofford L 84-95 2%     4 - 18 1 - 12 +2.7 +8.1 -4.5
  Feb 16, 2019 64   @ Furman L 62-96 4%     4 - 19 1 - 13 -23.9 -5.9 -16.9
  Feb 21, 2019 93   East Tennessee St. L 69-82 12%    
  Feb 23, 2019 289   @ Western Carolina L 76-82 29%    
  Feb 28, 2019 192   Mercer L 73-78 32%    
  Mar 02, 2019 278   The Citadel L 89-90 48%    
Projected Record 5.2 - 21.8 2.2 - 15.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.2 0.3 0.5 7th
8th 3.3 0.4 3.7 8th
9th 3.9 3.5 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 23.4 41.0 23.1 0.9 0.0 88.4 10th
Total 23.4 41.0 27.0 7.9 0.8 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 0.8% 0.8
4-14 7.9% 7.9
3-15 27.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 27.0
2-16 41.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 41.0
1-17 23.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 23.4
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0%
Lose Out 17.2%