VMI
Southern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.0#333
Achievement Rating-12.7#312
Pace71.1#154
Improvement-4.2#348

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#323
First Shot-1.7#229
After Offensive Rebound-4.3#350
Layup/Dunks-5.1#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#106
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#84
Freethrows-1.2#237
Improvement-3.0#345

Defense
Total Defense-5.9#326
First Shot-3.8#291
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#307
Layups/Dunks-2.6#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#53
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#178
Freethrows-3.2#323
Improvement-1.2#273
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 66.8% 63.7% 70.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Alabama (Home) - 52.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 115   @ Pittsburgh L 55-94 5%     0 - 1 -32.0 -11.9 -19.6
  Nov 14, 2018 330   South Carolina Upstate W 78-72 60%     1 - 1 -8.6 -5.0 -3.8
  Nov 18, 2018 17   @ Kentucky L 82-92 1%     1 - 2 +6.9 +14.4 -7.5
  Nov 23, 2018 338   @ Stetson W 87-79 42%     2 - 2 -1.9 -3.5 +0.5
  Nov 27, 2018 195   American L 64-74 25%     2 - 3 -15.0 -13.4 -1.3
  Dec 01, 2018 303   @ Longwood L 45-65 25%     2 - 4 -25.0 -24.8 -0.5
  Dec 05, 2018 9   @ Virginia Tech L 68-89 1%     2 - 5 -0.7 +0.0 +0.4
  Dec 09, 2018 312   @ Chattanooga L 65-83 27%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -23.6 -10.6 -12.6
  Dec 12, 2018 269   @ Presbyterian L 70-103 20%     2 - 7 -36.2 -7.9 -28.4
  Dec 21, 2018 319   North Alabama W 70-69 52%    
  Dec 29, 2018 190   @ Samford L 67-80 11%    
  Jan 05, 2019 106   UNC Greensboro L 63-77 10%    
  Jan 10, 2019 89   Furman L 65-80 8%    
  Jan 12, 2019 64   Wofford L 63-80 6%    
  Jan 17, 2019 133   @ East Tennessee St. L 60-77 5%    
  Jan 19, 2019 307   Western Carolina L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 24, 2019 213   @ Mercer L 62-74 14%    
  Jan 26, 2019 173   @ The Citadel L 81-95 10%    
  Jan 31, 2019 106   @ UNC Greensboro L 60-80 4%    
  Feb 07, 2019 312   Chattanooga L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 09, 2019 190   Samford L 70-77 26%    
  Feb 14, 2019 64   @ Wofford L 60-83 2%    
  Feb 16, 2019 89   @ Furman L 62-83 3%    
  Feb 21, 2019 133   East Tennessee St. L 63-74 15%    
  Feb 23, 2019 307   @ Western Carolina L 71-78 27%    
  Feb 28, 2019 213   Mercer L 65-71 30%    
  Mar 02, 2019 173   The Citadel L 84-92 25%    
Projected Record 5.5 - 21.5 2.9 - 15.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 4th
5th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.9 6th
7th 0.2 1.5 2.4 0.9 0.2 5.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 4.4 5.4 1.9 0.3 0.0 13.3 8th
9th 0.4 4.5 10.8 8.8 2.9 0.2 0.0 27.7 9th
10th 6.4 15.2 17.7 9.6 2.2 0.3 0.0 51.3 10th
Total 6.4 15.6 22.2 21.8 15.6 10.1 5.1 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 0.3% 0.3
8-10 0.9% 0.9
7-11 2.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.0
6-12 5.1% 5.1
5-13 10.1% 10.1
4-14 15.6% 15.6
3-15 21.8% 21.8
2-16 22.2% 22.2
1-17 15.6% 15.6
0-18 6.4% 6.4
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.2%