Stanford
Pac-12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.4#92
Achievement Rating+6.6#83
Pace73.3#77
Improvement+2.4#73

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#120
First Shot+1.1#148
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#100
Layup/Dunks+7.0#6
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#342
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#288
Freethrows+1.6#70
Improvement+3.1#38

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#87
First Shot+2.3#104
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#80
Layups/Dunks-3.3#303
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#7
Freethrows+0.7#130
Improvement-0.7#218
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 8.7% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.8 11.6 12.0
.500 or above 93.9% 99.6% 91.8%
.500 or above in Conference 89.8% 99.2% 86.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% 1.0% 0.1%
First Round5.5% 8.1% 4.6%
Second Round1.1% 1.7% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona St. (Away) - 27.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 193   Seattle W 96-74 83%     1 - 0 +17.3 +19.7 -3.1
  Nov 09, 2018 252   @ UNC Wilmington W 72-59 78%     2 - 0 +10.3 -7.3 +17.6
  Nov 12, 2018 6   @ North Carolina L 72-90 6%     2 - 1 +4.5 +0.3 +6.2
  Nov 21, 2018 15   Wisconsin L 46-62 17%     2 - 2 -0.5 -14.8 +13.7
  Nov 22, 2018 29   Florida L 49-72 24%     2 - 3 -10.2 -9.5 -2.9
  Nov 23, 2018 244   Middle Tennessee W 67-54 83%     3 - 3 +8.1 -12.9 +19.9
  Nov 28, 2018 291   Portland St. W 79-67 92%     4 - 3 +1.9 -12.1 +12.4
  Dec 01, 2018 11   @ Kansas L 84-90 10%     4 - 4 +13.2 +12.6 +1.2
  Dec 15, 2018 238   Eastern Washington W 78-62 88%     5 - 4 +8.6 +3.1 +6.0
  Dec 18, 2018 338   San Jose St. W 78-73 96%     6 - 4 -10.9 -4.3 -6.8
  Dec 22, 2018 61   @ San Francisco L 65-74 31%     6 - 5 +1.5 -3.4 +4.9
  Dec 29, 2018 221   Long Beach St. W 93-86 86%     7 - 5 +0.8 +9.5 -9.2
  Jan 03, 2019 94   @ UCLA L 70-92 40%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -14.0 -3.7 -8.4
  Jan 06, 2019 78   @ USC L 66-77 36%     7 - 7 0 - 2 -2.0 +0.1 -2.5
  Jan 09, 2019 84   Arizona L 70-75 58%     7 - 8 0 - 3 -1.8 -3.2 +1.6
  Jan 12, 2019 54   Arizona St. W 85-71 47%     8 - 8 1 - 3 +20.0 +9.2 +9.9
  Jan 17, 2019 36   @ Washington L 64-80 20%     8 - 9 1 - 4 -1.9 +5.1 -8.3
  Jan 19, 2019 167   @ Washington St. W 78-66 61%     9 - 9 2 - 4 +14.5 +2.3 +12.1
  Jan 24, 2019 95   Utah L 66-70 61%     9 - 10 2 - 5 -1.6 -8.7 +7.0
  Jan 26, 2019 66   Colorado W 75-62 54%     10 - 10 3 - 5 +17.4 +5.5 +12.0
  Feb 03, 2019 257   @ California W 84-81 78%     11 - 10 4 - 5 +0.2 +1.7 -1.7
  Feb 07, 2019 75   @ Oregon St. W 83-60 35%     12 - 10 5 - 5 +32.4 +16.3 +16.9
  Feb 10, 2019 55   @ Oregon L 46-69 29%     12 - 11 5 - 6 -11.8 -15.8 +2.5
  Feb 13, 2019 78   USC W 79-76 57%     13 - 11 6 - 6 +6.5 +7.8 -1.3
  Feb 16, 2019 94   UCLA W 104-80 61%     14 - 11 7 - 6 +26.5 +17.5 +5.4
  Feb 20, 2019 54   @ Arizona St. L 74-80 27%    
  Feb 24, 2019 84   @ Arizona L 70-73 37%    
  Feb 28, 2019 167   Washington St. W 83-75 79%    
  Mar 03, 2019 36   Washington L 68-71 39%    
  Mar 07, 2019 257   California W 82-68 90%    
Projected Record 16.7 - 13.3 9.7 - 8.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.5 6.7 3.0 10.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 5.3 8.4 0.4 14.1 3rd
4th 0.4 14.1 2.7 0.0 17.2 4th
5th 0.0 4.5 12.4 0.3 17.1 5th
6th 0.2 13.6 3.6 0.0 17.4 6th
7th 0.0 2.0 11.3 0.3 13.6 7th
8th 0.1 4.6 2.1 0.0 6.8 8th
9th 0.3 2.4 0.0 2.7 9th
10th 0.4 0.3 0.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.8 9.4 31.9 36.3 18.1 3.4 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 3.4% 18.1% 11.3% 6.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.8 7.7%
11-7 18.1% 9.5% 8.8% 0.7% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 16.4 0.8%
10-8 36.3% 6.2% 6.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 34.1 0.1%
9-9 31.9% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 30.9 0.0%
8-10 9.4% 1.7% 1.7% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.3
7-11 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.8% 5.4% 0.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.6 2.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 94.2 0.4%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 10.5 0.8 5.1 9.5 29.2 42.6 12.3 0.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6% 20.1% 11.7 0.5 0.9 6.7 8.7 3.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.9% 8.5% 12.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 4.8 2.2
Lose Out 0.5%