Washington
Pac-12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.0#44
Achievement Rating+11.4#57
Pace69.0#205
Improvement+0.4#141

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#59
First Shot+4.6#58
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#160
Layup/Dunks+2.7#99
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#195
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#255
Freethrows+4.8#13
Improvement+0.5#132

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#43
First Shot+7.6#13
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#310
Layups/Dunks+5.4#24
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#222
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#139
Freethrows+1.7#93
Improvement-0.1#188
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 5.0% 5.4% 1.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 57.3% 59.4% 37.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 51.4% 53.5% 31.9%
Average Seed 8.1 8.1 9.1
.500 or above 95.1% 96.1% 85.9%
.500 or above in Conference 85.1% 85.9% 77.2%
Conference Champion 17.6% 18.3% 10.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.6% 1.3%
First Four6.3% 6.3% 6.4%
First Round54.1% 56.1% 34.2%
Second Round27.8% 29.1% 15.4%
Sweet Sixteen9.1% 9.6% 4.1%
Elite Eight3.1% 3.3% 1.2%
Final Four1.0% 1.1% 0.3%
Championship Game0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Seattle (Home) - 90.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 83   Western Kentucky W 73-55 75%     1 - 0 +20.9 +3.0 +18.6
  Nov 09, 2018 9   @ Auburn L 66-88 15%     1 - 1 -0.9 +1.5 -2.2
  Nov 12, 2018 71   San Diego W 66-63 72%     2 - 1 +7.0 +1.1 +6.2
  Nov 18, 2018 272   Santa Clara W 82-68 93%     3 - 1 +7.9 +3.9 +3.4
  Nov 20, 2018 86   Texas A&M W 71-67 66%     4 - 1 +9.9 +5.6 +4.5
  Nov 21, 2018 57   Minnesota L 66-68 55%     4 - 2 +6.6 -0.5 +7.0
  Nov 27, 2018 248   Eastern Washington W 83-59 94%     5 - 2 +15.9 +3.7 +11.3
  Dec 02, 2018 147   UC Santa Barbara W 67-63 87%     6 - 2 +1.9 -5.7 +7.6
  Dec 05, 2018 2   @ Gonzaga L 79-81 12%     6 - 3 +20.8 +16.4 +4.3
  Dec 09, 2018 175   Seattle W 79-65 91%    
  Dec 15, 2018 10   Virginia Tech L 70-77 25%    
  Dec 21, 2018 227   Sacramento St. W 79-62 94%    
  Jan 01, 2019 167   Cal St. Fullerton W 77-64 89%    
  Jan 05, 2019 161   Washington St. W 82-69 88%    
  Jan 10, 2019 133   @ Utah W 72-68 66%    
  Jan 12, 2019 59   @ Colorado L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 17, 2019 97   Stanford W 74-66 75%    
  Jan 19, 2019 177   California W 78-64 90%    
  Jan 24, 2019 35   @ Oregon L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 26, 2019 64   @ Oregon St. L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 30, 2019 92   USC W 78-71 75%    
  Feb 02, 2019 43   UCLA W 76-73 60%    
  Feb 07, 2019 40   @ Arizona L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 09, 2019 36   @ Arizona St. L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 16, 2019 161   @ Washington St. W 79-72 73%    
  Feb 20, 2019 133   Utah W 75-65 83%    
  Feb 23, 2019 59   Colorado W 76-72 66%    
  Feb 28, 2019 177   @ California W 75-67 77%    
  Mar 03, 2019 97   @ Stanford W 71-69 56%    
  Mar 06, 2019 64   Oregon St. W 71-66 68%    
  Mar 09, 2019 35   Oregon W 71-70 54%    
Projected Record 20.2 - 10.8 11.2 - 6.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.9 5.3 4.9 2.8 1.0 0.2 17.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.1 6.6 4.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 16.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.0 6.5 3.2 0.5 0.0 14.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.3 3.1 0.4 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 5.4 3.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.3 3.2 0.4 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.8 2.9 0.5 0.0 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.2 0.6 0.0 4.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 0.5 0.0 3.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 4.2 6.8 10.0 12.7 14.8 14.7 13.0 9.9 6.0 2.9 1.0 0.2 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.6% 1.0    0.9 0.0
16-2 96.0% 2.8    2.4 0.3 0.0
15-3 81.9% 4.9    3.5 1.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 54.0% 5.3    2.5 2.3 0.6 0.0
13-5 22.0% 2.9    0.7 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
12-6 4.0% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.6% 17.6 10.2 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 99.3% 35.9% 63.4% 2.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
17-1 1.0% 100.0% 36.1% 63.9% 3.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 2.9% 98.7% 31.5% 67.2% 4.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.1%
15-3 6.0% 97.6% 26.7% 70.9% 5.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 96.7%
14-4 9.9% 93.0% 21.7% 71.3% 6.9 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.9 2.1 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 91.1%
13-5 13.0% 86.8% 17.9% 68.9% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.3 2.5 2.1 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.7 83.9%
12-6 14.7% 74.4% 13.2% 61.2% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.0 2.7 2.4 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.8 70.5%
11-7 14.8% 57.4% 10.0% 47.4% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.0 2.3 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.3 52.7%
10-8 12.7% 38.7% 6.4% 32.3% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.2 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 7.8 34.5%
9-9 10.0% 21.1% 4.0% 17.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.9 17.8%
8-10 6.8% 6.6% 2.6% 4.0% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.4 4.1%
7-11 4.2% 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1 0.6%
6-12 2.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 0.0%
5-13 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
4-14 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 57.3% 12.3% 45.0% 8.1 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.0 4.3 5.4 7.1 7.7 8.9 8.3 7.0 2.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 42.7 51.4%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.7 45.5 50.0 4.5