Kentucky
Southeastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.6#18
Achievement Rating+10.1#68
Pace70.3#167
Improvement+1.1#94

Offense
Total Offense+9.6#10
First Shot+8.0#11
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#79
Layup/Dunks+4.6#38
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#102
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#314
Freethrows+7.5#1
Improvement-0.9#255

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#71
First Shot+3.7#61
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#160
Layups/Dunks+4.1#46
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#76
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#312
Freethrows+2.4#57
Improvement+2.1#39
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 1.4% 1.5% 0.3%
Top 4 Seed 21.0% 22.3% 8.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 74.7% 76.4% 58.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 72.1% 73.8% 55.5%
Average Seed 6.5 6.4 7.6
.500 or above 92.8% 94.1% 80.3%
.500 or above in Conference 79.4% 80.4% 69.7%
Conference Champion 8.8% 9.2% 5.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.8% 1.8%
First Four4.6% 4.5% 6.2%
First Round72.7% 74.5% 55.4%
Second Round49.7% 51.3% 34.0%
Sweet Sixteen24.1% 25.1% 14.7%
Elite Eight11.0% 11.5% 6.4%
Final Four4.8% 5.0% 2.8%
Championship Game2.0% 2.0% 1.1%
National Champion0.8% 0.8% 0.4%

Next Game: Utah (Home) - 90.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 1   Duke L 84-118 18%     0 - 1 -10.8 +8.7 -14.7
  Nov 09, 2018 99   Southern Illinois W 71-59 86%     1 - 1 +14.2 +2.5 +12.0
  Nov 14, 2018 292   North Dakota W 96-58 98%     2 - 1 +27.7 +19.1 +8.1
  Nov 18, 2018 321   VMI W 92-82 99%     3 - 1 -3.4 +13.1 -16.6
  Nov 21, 2018 181   Winthrop W 87-74 94%     4 - 1 +8.6 +1.1 +6.1
  Nov 23, 2018 276   Tennessee St. W 77-62 97%     5 - 1 +5.6 +1.3 +3.9
  Nov 28, 2018 305   Monmouth W 90-44 98%     6 - 1 +34.8 +16.0 +19.6
  Dec 01, 2018 89   UNC Greensboro W 78-61 85%     7 - 1 +19.7 +5.4 +14.1
  Dec 08, 2018 55   Seton Hall L 83-84 67%     7 - 2 +7.9 +6.5 +1.5
  Dec 15, 2018 134   Utah W 81-67 91%    
  Dec 22, 2018 6   North Carolina L 84-89 34%    
  Dec 29, 2018 32   @ Louisville L 76-78 44%    
  Jan 05, 2019 62   @ Alabama W 77-74 60%    
  Jan 08, 2019 90   Texas A&M W 81-70 84%    
  Jan 12, 2019 79   Vanderbilt W 82-72 82%    
  Jan 15, 2019 110   @ Georgia W 79-73 71%    
  Jan 19, 2019 8   @ Auburn L 75-82 25%    
  Jan 22, 2019 17   Mississippi St. W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 26, 2019 4   Kansas L 76-78 42%    
  Jan 29, 2019 79   @ Vanderbilt W 79-75 64%    
  Feb 02, 2019 19   @ Florida L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 05, 2019 121   South Carolina W 84-71 88%    
  Feb 09, 2019 17   @ Mississippi St. L 72-75 38%    
  Feb 12, 2019 51   LSU W 81-74 74%    
  Feb 16, 2019 9   Tennessee L 74-75 46%    
  Feb 19, 2019 83   @ Missouri W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 23, 2019 8   Auburn L 78-79 45%    
  Feb 26, 2019 58   Arkansas W 84-76 76%    
  Mar 02, 2019 9   @ Tennessee L 71-78 26%    
  Mar 05, 2019 66   @ Mississippi W 81-78 61%    
  Mar 09, 2019 19   Florida W 71-68 61%    
Projected Record 19.8 - 11.2 10.7 - 7.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.9 1.7 0.5 0.1 8.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.5 3.9 1.2 0.1 11.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.4 6.0 4.5 1.1 0.1 14.2 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 6.0 4.7 1.0 0.0 13.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 5.5 4.8 1.1 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.0 4.8 1.2 0.1 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.4 1.4 0.1 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 3.5 1.6 0.1 0.0 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.2 1.8 0.2 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.7 0.3 0.0 3.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.5 0.0 2.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.6 3.4 5.7 8.8 11.7 14.1 14.7 13.8 10.9 7.6 4.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 93.2% 1.7    1.4 0.3 0.0
15-3 68.9% 2.9    1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0
14-4 33.2% 2.5    0.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.9% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.8% 8.8 4.6 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 44.3% 55.7% 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.5% 100.0% 34.4% 65.6% 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.8% 100.0% 32.3% 67.7% 2.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 4.2% 100.0% 25.9% 74.1% 2.8 0.3 1.5 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
14-4 7.6% 99.7% 20.7% 79.0% 3.7 0.1 1.2 2.4 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
13-5 10.9% 99.2% 16.6% 82.5% 4.8 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.8 2.5 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.0%
12-6 13.8% 96.9% 12.0% 84.9% 6.0 0.0 0.7 2.1 2.9 2.8 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 96.5%
11-7 14.7% 92.0% 7.9% 84.0% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 2.6 2.7 2.4 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 91.3%
10-8 14.1% 81.5% 5.1% 76.4% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.9 2.2 2.3 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.6 80.5%
9-9 11.7% 64.6% 3.5% 61.1% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 1.7 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.2 63.3%
8-10 8.8% 33.7% 2.1% 31.6% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.9 32.3%
7-11 5.7% 12.2% 1.4% 10.8% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.0 10.9%
6-12 3.4% 3.0% 1.1% 1.9% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3 2.0%
5-13 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.3%
4-14 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.7
3-15 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 0.3
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 74.7% 9.6% 65.2% 6.5 1.4 4.1 7.0 8.5 8.8 9.2 8.5 7.9 6.8 5.6 4.4 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 25.3 72.1%