Davidson
Atlantic 10
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.1#88
Achievement Rating+10.7#53
Pace65.3#295
Improvement-0.1#190

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#59
First Shot+6.3#28
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#282
Layup/Dunks+0.5#163
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.5#13
Freethrows-0.4#199
Improvement+2.0#39

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#117
First Shot+1.8#116
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#188
Layups/Dunks+7.3#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#223
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#334
Freethrows+0.9#135
Improvement-2.2#322
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.8% 26.3% 17.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.9% 11.3% 5.5%
Average Seed 10.9 10.7 11.4
.500 or above 98.0% 99.2% 96.3%
.500 or above in Conference 91.5% 93.1% 89.0%
Conference Champion 23.7% 26.6% 19.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Four3.7% 4.4% 2.5%
First Round20.7% 23.9% 15.8%
Second Round6.2% 7.4% 4.3%
Sweet Sixteen1.8% 2.1% 1.3%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Away) - 60.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 254   Cleveland St. W 83-63 91%     1 - 0 +11.6 +7.4 +4.4
  Nov 09, 2018 221   Dartmouth W 79-76 88%     2 - 0 -3.4 +4.9 -8.2
  Nov 15, 2018 117   Wichita St. W 57-53 59%     3 - 0 +7.9 -9.8 +17.9
  Nov 16, 2018 28   Purdue L 58-79 27%     3 - 1 -8.5 -6.3 -4.0
  Nov 18, 2018 91   Northeastern W 71-59 51%     4 - 1 +17.9 +0.5 +17.8
  Nov 24, 2018 91   Northeastern W 78-69 62%     5 - 1 +11.9 +3.1 +8.8
  Nov 27, 2018 311   Charlotte W 76-56 94%     6 - 1 +8.5 +7.7 +3.1
  Dec 01, 2018 239   @ UNC Wilmington W 91-85 78%     7 - 1 +4.1 +14.7 -10.5
  Dec 04, 2018 184   Winthrop W 99-81 84%     8 - 1 +13.5 +9.6 +1.5
  Dec 15, 2018 78   Temple L 75-77 47%     8 - 2 +4.8 +3.8 +1.0
  Dec 17, 2018 158   @ Wake Forest W 73-70 61%    
  Dec 29, 2018 2   @ North Carolina L 74-90 7%    
  Jan 05, 2019 162   Duquesne W 76-67 79%    
  Jan 09, 2019 170   @ George Mason W 73-69 64%    
  Jan 12, 2019 92   Virginia Commonwealth W 69-66 62%    
  Jan 15, 2019 103   @ Saint Joseph's L 74-76 44%    
  Jan 19, 2019 199   Richmond W 76-65 85%    
  Jan 23, 2019 277   George Washington W 77-61 92%    
  Jan 26, 2019 82   @ Saint Louis L 64-67 38%    
  Feb 01, 2019 154   @ St. Bonaventure W 69-66 59%    
  Feb 06, 2019 112   Rhode Island W 70-65 67%    
  Feb 09, 2019 136   @ Massachusetts W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 12, 2019 240   @ Fordham W 69-61 77%    
  Feb 15, 2019 103   Saint Joseph's W 77-73 65%    
  Feb 19, 2019 76   Dayton W 71-69 58%    
  Feb 22, 2019 112   @ Rhode Island L 67-68 46%    
  Feb 27, 2019 260   @ La Salle W 81-72 78%    
  Mar 02, 2019 240   Fordham W 72-58 90%    
  Mar 06, 2019 154   St. Bonaventure W 72-63 78%    
  Mar 09, 2019 199   @ Richmond W 73-68 69%    
Projected Record 20.7 - 9.3 12.0 - 6.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.4 2.5 6.0 7.3 4.8 2.2 0.4 23.7 1st
2nd 0.3 3.4 7.2 5.7 1.7 0.3 18.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 6.5 4.7 0.9 0.1 14.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.4 4.6 0.9 0.1 11.9 4th
5th 0.3 3.5 4.0 1.0 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 3.8 1.2 0.0 7.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 2.7 1.7 0.1 5.3 7th
8th 0.2 1.4 1.6 0.3 3.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 1.4 0.3 0.0 2.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.3 4.1 7.1 10.5 13.2 15.8 15.4 12.7 9.1 5.0 2.2 0.4 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 2.2    2.2 0.1
16-2 94.2% 4.8    4.1 0.7 0.0
15-3 80.1% 7.3    4.7 2.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 47.5% 6.0    2.5 2.5 0.9 0.1
13-5 16.4% 2.5    0.5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 23.7% 23.7 14.3 6.7 2.1 0.5 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 79.5% 45.5% 34.1% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 62.5%
17-1 2.2% 78.6% 36.6% 42.0% 8.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 66.2%
16-2 5.0% 65.1% 33.7% 31.3% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.8 47.3%
15-3 9.1% 49.8% 27.9% 21.9% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.6 30.4%
14-4 12.7% 35.4% 21.7% 13.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 1.6 0.2 8.2 17.4%
13-5 15.4% 24.0% 18.8% 5.2% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.6 0.6 0.0 11.7 6.4%
12-6 15.8% 15.7% 13.7% 2.0% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 13.3 2.3%
11-7 13.2% 8.6% 8.3% 0.4% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 12.1 0.4%
10-8 10.5% 5.5% 5.3% 0.2% 12.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 9.9 0.2%
9-9 7.1% 3.5% 3.5% 13.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.9
8-10 4.1% 2.9% 2.9% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.0
7-11 2.3% 1.7% 1.7% 14.8 0.0 0.0 2.3
6-12 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 1.3
5-13 0.6% 0.6
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 22.8% 15.2% 7.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.6 3.3 6.4 6.1 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 77.3 8.9%