Big South
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
140 Winthrop 100.0%   16   22 - 10 15 - 3 22 - 10 15 - 3 +1.7      +1.7 135 0.0 178 76.7 35 +0.8 156 +1.8 2
186 Radford 0.0%   19 - 11 15 - 3 19 - 11 15 - 3 -1.1      +2.1 115 -3.2 276 61.3 337 +0.3 168 +2.5 1
216 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   14 - 16 11 - 7 14 - 16 11 - 7 -2.9      +0.1 176 -2.9 270 64.8 286 -5.0 245 -4.5 3
271 Campbell 0.0%   13 - 16 6 - 12 13 - 16 6 - 12 -6.2      -4.1 280 -2.1 243 63.8 303 -6.7 278 -11.1 11
301 Hampton 0.0%   12 - 19 8 - 10 12 - 19 8 - 10 -7.9      +1.9 125 -9.8 348 74.3 54 -7.2 282 -7.9 5
308 UNC Asheville 0.0%   13 - 16 8 - 10 13 - 16 8 - 10 -8.2      -2.7 247 -5.5 319 74.1 58 -7.7 289 -9.1 6
314 Charleston Southern 0.0%   12 - 18 7 - 11 12 - 18 7 - 11 -9.1      -4.4 286 -4.8 308 66.6 243 -8.3 302 -10.4 9
315 Longwood 0.0%   12 - 18 9 - 9 12 - 18 9 - 9 -9.2      -7.4 338 -1.7 227 67.9 210 -9.1 313 -7.4 4
323 South Carolina Upstate 0.0%   11 - 20 7 - 11 11 - 20 7 - 11 -10.4      -4.7 297 -5.7 321 70.4 132 -8.6 308 -9.4 8
328 Presbyterian 0.0%   8 - 22 7 - 11 8 - 22 7 - 11 -11.2      -3.3 258 -7.9 338 66.0 256 -11.5 329 -9.2 7
338 High Point 0.0%   7 - 23 6 - 12 7 - 23 6 - 12 -12.4      -5.1 304 -7.3 334 65.4 268 -11.5 328 -10.8 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Winthrop 1.0 100.0
Radford 1.0 100.0
Gardner-Webb 3.0 100.0
Campbell 10.0 100.0
Hampton 5.0 100.0
UNC Asheville 5.0 100.0
Charleston Southern 7.0 100.0
Longwood 4.0 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 7.0 100.0
Presbyterian 7.0 100.0
High Point 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Winthrop 15 - 3 100.0
Radford 15 - 3 100.0
Gardner-Webb 11 - 7 100.0
Campbell 6 - 12 100.0
Hampton 8 - 10 100.0
UNC Asheville 8 - 10 100.0
Charleston Southern 7 - 11 100.0
Longwood 9 - 9 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 7 - 11 100.0
Presbyterian 7 - 11 100.0
High Point 6 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Winthrop 100.0% 100.0
Radford 100.0% 100.0
Gardner-Webb
Campbell
Hampton
UNC Asheville
Charleston Southern
Longwood
South Carolina Upstate
Presbyterian
High Point


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Winthrop 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.2 5.6 50.7 43.5
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Asheville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Longwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Winthrop 100.0% 8.4% 97.0% 6.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 97.0% 1.0 3.0 97.0
2nd Round 6.1% 0.1 93.9 6.1
Sweet Sixteen 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0