Presbyterian
Big South
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.4#327
Expected Predictive Rating-8.8#303
Pace66.7#255
Improvement+4.4#23

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#295
First Shot-2.6#263
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#296
Layup/Dunks+2.8#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#348
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#218
Freethrows+0.5#130
Improvement+2.6#49

Defense
Total Defense-6.1#329
First Shot-6.2#337
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#166
Layups/Dunks-1.8#257
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#29
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#342
Freethrows-1.4#266
Improvement+1.9#76
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.4% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.9% 1.8% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 48.7% 65.6% 36.0%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 0.8% 4.5%
First Four1.1% 1.3% 0.9%
First Round0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Campbell (Home) - 42.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 49 - 1210 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2019 71   @ Clemson L 45-79 4%     0 - 1 -23.7 -18.5 -5.9
  Nov 11, 2019 290   @ VMI W 80-77 OT 29%     1 - 1 -1.8 +0.6 -2.5
  Nov 14, 2019 291   Morehead St. L 55-77 50%     1 - 2 -32.4 -19.1 -15.0
  Nov 18, 2019 55   @ Notre Dame L 53-63 3%     1 - 3 +2.1 -7.1 +7.7
  Nov 22, 2019 208   Sacred Heart L 57-83 24%     1 - 4 -29.0 -23.1 -4.0
  Nov 23, 2019 237   @ Quinnipiac L 64-73 20%     1 - 5 -10.4 -4.0 -7.4
  Nov 24, 2019 225   Albany L 60-65 26%     1 - 6 -8.7 -7.9 -1.3
  Dec 07, 2019 322   @ South Carolina St. L 68-80 37%     1 - 7 -18.9 -13.4 -5.2
  Dec 10, 2019 302   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 63-64 32%     1 - 8 -6.5 -9.8 +3.3
  Dec 18, 2019 254   Jacksonville L 58-81 41%     1 - 9 -31.1 -10.2 -22.7
  Dec 21, 2019 22   @ Michigan L 44-86 2%     1 - 10 -25.9 -17.5 -12.3
  Jan 02, 2020 279   UNC Asheville W 79-77 46%     2 - 10 1 - 0 -7.4 -1.3 -6.2
  Jan 04, 2020 226   @ Gardner-Webb W 68-62 19%     3 - 10 2 - 0 +5.1 -7.3 +12.2
  Jan 11, 2020 343   High Point W 77-62 74%     4 - 10 3 - 0 -1.9 -1.1 -0.2
  Jan 16, 2020 323   @ Longwood W 74-67 37%     5 - 10 4 - 0 +0.0 +0.0 +0.1
  Jan 18, 2020 138   Radford L 64-75 19%     5 - 11 4 - 1 -12.1 -7.0 -5.8
  Jan 20, 2020 260   Campbell L 65-67 43%    
  Jan 23, 2020 286   @ Charleston Southern L 66-72 28%    
  Jan 25, 2020 143   @ Winthrop L 67-82 8%    
  Jan 30, 2020 317   South Carolina Upstate W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 01, 2020 325   @ Hampton L 75-78 38%    
  Feb 06, 2020 226   Gardner-Webb L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 08, 2020 260   @ Campbell L 62-70 23%    
  Feb 13, 2020 138   @ Radford L 60-75 8%    
  Feb 15, 2020 143   Winthrop L 70-79 21%    
  Feb 20, 2020 343   @ High Point W 68-67 52%    
  Feb 22, 2020 279   @ UNC Asheville L 70-77 27%    
  Feb 27, 2020 323   Longwood W 70-68 59%    
  Feb 29, 2020 286   Charleston Southern L 68-69 50%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 4.5 5.8 3.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 15.5 3rd
4th 0.7 6.7 7.5 2.5 0.3 0.0 17.8 4th
5th 0.2 5.3 8.4 2.1 0.1 0.0 16.0 5th
6th 0.0 2.2 9.0 3.0 0.1 14.3 6th
7th 0.7 6.7 4.6 0.3 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 3.6 5.9 0.7 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 1.5 4.3 1.3 0.0 7.1 9th
10th 0.4 2.0 1.3 0.0 3.8 10th
11th 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.8 11th
Total 0.8 4.1 9.9 16.2 20.3 19.4 14.2 8.8 4.1 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 21.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 3.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 4.6% 4.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.6% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.5
12-6 4.1% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.1 4.0
11-7 8.8% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 8.5
10-8 14.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 13.9
9-9 19.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 19.2
8-10 20.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 20.2
7-11 16.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 16.2
6-12 9.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.9
5-13 4.1% 4.1
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.1 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%