Presbyterian
Big South
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.1#316
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#273
Pace64.2#311
Improvement+1.4#40

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#287
First Shot-3.0#264
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#205
Layup/Dunks+2.2#104
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#289
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#117
Freethrows-4.5#337
Improvement+0.5#92

Defense
Total Defense-6.4#332
First Shot-4.7#307
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#265
Layups/Dunks-1.2#209
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#17
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.4#351
Freethrows+2.9#45
Improvement+0.9#68
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.3% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 7.6% 14.0% 4.4%
.500 or above in Conference 19.8% 25.5% 17.0%
Conference Champion 0.4% 1.0% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 19.2% 14.5% 21.5%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
First Round0.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Neutral) - 32.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 49 - 1110 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2019 74   @ Clemson L 45-79 4%     0 - 1 -23.9 -19.0 -5.6
  Nov 11, 2019 320   @ VMI W 80-77 OT 40%     1 - 1 -4.5 +0.8 -5.4
  Nov 14, 2019 210   Morehead St. L 55-77 33%     1 - 2 -27.6 -17.9 -11.4
  Nov 18, 2019 50   @ Notre Dame L 53-63 3%     1 - 3 +2.5 -4.9 +6.0
  Nov 22, 2019 263   Sacred Heart L 72-77 33%    
  Nov 23, 2019 266   @ Quinnipiac L 65-73 24%    
  Nov 24, 2019 195   Albany L 63-71 22%    
  Dec 07, 2019 325   @ South Carolina St. L 70-72 42%    
  Dec 10, 2019 300   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 68-73 33%    
  Dec 18, 2019 274   Jacksonville L 65-66 46%    
  Dec 21, 2019 31   @ Michigan L 53-78 1%    
  Jan 02, 2020 279   UNC Asheville L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 04, 2020 199   @ Gardner-Webb L 62-73 17%    
  Jan 11, 2020 330   High Point W 68-64 66%    
  Jan 16, 2020 254   @ Longwood L 67-75 23%    
  Jan 18, 2020 108   Radford L 61-72 18%    
  Jan 20, 2020 261   Campbell L 67-69 44%    
  Jan 23, 2020 303   @ Charleston Southern L 66-71 35%    
  Jan 25, 2020 145   @ Winthrop L 63-77 11%    
  Jan 30, 2020 344   South Carolina Upstate W 73-66 72%    
  Feb 01, 2020 259   @ Hampton L 70-78 25%    
  Feb 06, 2020 199   Gardner-Webb L 65-70 33%    
  Feb 08, 2020 261   @ Campbell L 64-72 24%    
  Feb 13, 2020 108   @ Radford L 58-75 8%    
  Feb 15, 2020 145   Winthrop L 66-74 24%    
  Feb 20, 2020 330   @ High Point L 65-67 44%    
  Feb 22, 2020 279   @ UNC Asheville L 67-74 27%    
  Feb 27, 2020 254   Longwood L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 29, 2020 303   Charleston Southern W 69-68 55%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.1 2.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.2 2.0 0.4 0.0 6.8 5th
6th 0.2 1.3 4.0 3.2 0.8 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 5.2 4.3 1.0 0.0 12.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.3 6.0 5.0 1.1 0.1 14.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.3 7.0 5.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 17.3 9th
10th 0.2 1.6 4.7 6.5 4.2 0.8 0.1 18.0 10th
11th 0.6 2.2 3.5 3.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 11.7 11th
Total 0.6 2.4 5.2 8.9 11.7 13.9 14.3 12.7 10.5 8.3 5.4 2.9 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 92.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 68.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 31.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 55.6% 55.6% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 17.6% 17.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 14.4% 14.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.7% 9.1% 9.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.7
12-6 2.0% 7.5% 7.5% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.8
11-7 2.9% 3.6% 3.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 2.8
10-8 5.4% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.3
9-9 8.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.2
8-10 10.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.4
7-11 12.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.7
6-12 14.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.3
5-13 13.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.9
4-14 11.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.7
3-15 8.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.9
2-16 5.2% 5.2
1-17 2.4% 2.4
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%