Gardner-Webb
Big South
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#197
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#254
Pace67.9#231
Improvement-1.4#316

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#214
First Shot-0.2#184
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#221
Layup/Dunks-2.7#270
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#166
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#104
Freethrows+0.0#167
Improvement-0.4#232

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#193
First Shot-0.8#197
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#179
Layups/Dunks-2.8#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#29
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#157
Freethrows-1.5#259
Improvement-1.0#301
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.2% 16.9% 11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.6 15.2
.500 or above 50.9% 73.1% 47.2%
.500 or above in Conference 83.9% 90.7% 82.7%
Conference Champion 14.0% 19.9% 13.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.3% 1.0%
First Four2.3% 1.2% 2.5%
First Round11.1% 16.3% 10.3%
Second Round0.5% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 14.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 42 - 10
Quad 412 - 414 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 65   Furman L 63-70 24%     0 - 1 -1.6 -4.3 +2.4
  Nov 09, 2019 159   @ Western Carolina L 59-71 31%     0 - 2 -9.0 -16.2 +7.7
  Nov 15, 2019 8   @ North Carolina L 61-77 3%     0 - 3 +4.0 -5.4 +10.2
  Nov 19, 2019 54   @ Wichita St. L 52-74 10%     0 - 4 -9.6 -7.0 -5.0
  Nov 22, 2019 80   @ South Carolina L 66-77 14%    
  Nov 26, 2019 289   Tennessee Martin W 79-74 68%    
  Dec 07, 2019 125   @ Wofford L 68-75 25%    
  Dec 13, 2019 330   @ Kennesaw St. W 72-66 71%    
  Dec 15, 2019 57   @ Virginia Tech L 58-72 10%    
  Jan 02, 2020 262   @ Campbell W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 04, 2020 318   Presbyterian W 74-63 84%    
  Jan 08, 2020 108   Radford L 65-68 41%    
  Jan 11, 2020 145   @ Winthrop L 68-74 29%    
  Jan 18, 2020 342   South Carolina Upstate W 77-62 91%    
  Jan 20, 2020 257   Hampton W 78-72 70%    
  Jan 23, 2020 329   @ High Point W 68-62 70%    
  Jan 25, 2020 304   Charleston Southern W 74-64 81%    
  Jan 30, 2020 278   @ UNC Asheville W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 01, 2020 253   Longwood W 74-68 70%    
  Feb 06, 2020 318   @ Presbyterian W 71-66 67%    
  Feb 08, 2020 342   @ South Carolina Upstate W 74-65 77%    
  Feb 10, 2020 329   High Point W 71-59 86%    
  Feb 13, 2020 145   Winthrop L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 20, 2020 257   @ Hampton W 75-74 50%    
  Feb 22, 2020 262   Campbell W 72-66 71%    
  Feb 27, 2020 304   @ Charleston Southern W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 29, 2020 108   @ Radford L 62-71 23%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.2 4.6 3.2 1.5 0.3 14.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 3.4 6.3 5.5 2.3 0.3 18.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 4.6 7.1 4.8 1.1 0.1 18.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.8 6.3 3.2 0.5 0.0 16.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.9 4.9 2.0 0.2 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.8 3.5 1.2 0.1 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.3 0.8 0.1 5.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.8 0.5 0.0 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.6 4.7 6.7 9.4 12.0 13.7 14.0 12.7 9.9 6.9 3.5 1.5 0.3 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.5    1.4 0.0
16-2 91.5% 3.2    2.6 0.6 0.0
15-3 66.2% 4.6    2.7 1.6 0.2
14-4 32.4% 3.2    1.3 1.4 0.5 0.0
13-5 8.6% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.0% 14.0 8.6 4.3 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 43.8% 43.8% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-1 1.5% 38.7% 38.7% 13.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.9
16-2 3.5% 32.9% 32.9% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.0 2.4
15-3 6.9% 29.0% 29.0% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.2 4.9
14-4 9.9% 22.7% 22.7% 15.0 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.6 7.6
13-5 12.7% 16.2% 16.2% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.0 10.6
12-6 14.0% 11.5% 11.5% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 12.3
11-7 13.7% 8.1% 8.1% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.9 12.6
10-8 12.0% 6.2% 6.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 11.3
9-9 9.4% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.1
8-10 6.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 6.6
7-11 4.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.6
6-12 2.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.5
5-13 1.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.3
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 12.2% 12.2% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.2 4.3 4.9 87.8 0.0%