Longwood
Big South
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#253
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#247
Pace67.6#245
Improvement-1.1#302

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#170
First Shot+1.2#137
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#220
Layup/Dunks-4.8#306
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#243
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#28
Freethrows+1.0#114
Improvement-1.4#324

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#312
First Shot-5.0#314
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#185
Layups/Dunks-7.8#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#214
Freethrows-0.7#217
Improvement+0.2#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.7% 7.3% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 65.0% 78.0% 55.5%
.500 or above in Conference 69.2% 75.8% 64.3%
Conference Champion 6.1% 8.0% 4.7%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 1.6% 3.5%
First Four2.2% 2.2% 2.2%
First Round4.7% 6.4% 3.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Riverside (Away) - 42.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 32 - 52 - 7
Quad 415 - 717 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 146   @ George Mason L 65-76 20%     0 - 1 -7.0 -1.4 -6.3
  Nov 12, 2019 349   Maryland Eastern Shore W 85-55 91%     1 - 1 +10.0 +18.6 -8.0
  Nov 14, 2019 301   St. Francis Brooklyn W 86-77 73%     2 - 1 -2.2 +8.0 -10.2
  Nov 18, 2019 160   @ Northern Illinois L 48-65 23%     2 - 2 -14.0 -22.5 +8.4
  Nov 26, 2019 272   @ UC Riverside L 64-66 42%    
  Nov 29, 2019 246   @ Pacific L 66-69 37%    
  Dec 04, 2019 327   @ N.C. A&T W 73-70 61%    
  Dec 07, 2019 314   @ Morgan St. W 76-74 56%    
  Dec 15, 2019 337   @ Stetson W 74-70 65%    
  Dec 19, 2019 312   The Citadel W 86-78 76%    
  Dec 28, 2019 256   @ George Washington L 68-71 41%    
  Jan 02, 2020 145   @ Winthrop L 69-78 21%    
  Jan 04, 2020 342   South Carolina Upstate W 79-67 86%    
  Jan 08, 2020 304   @ Charleston Southern W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 11, 2020 257   @ Hampton L 76-79 40%    
  Jan 16, 2020 318   Presbyterian W 75-67 76%    
  Jan 18, 2020 262   @ Campbell L 70-72 42%    
  Jan 20, 2020 278   UNC Asheville W 76-72 65%    
  Jan 25, 2020 329   @ High Point W 69-66 61%    
  Jan 30, 2020 108   Radford L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 01, 2020 197   @ Gardner-Webb L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 06, 2020 304   Charleston Southern W 75-68 73%    
  Feb 08, 2020 145   Winthrop L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 10, 2020 262   Campbell W 73-69 62%    
  Feb 13, 2020 278   @ UNC Asheville L 73-75 45%    
  Feb 15, 2020 257   Hampton W 79-76 61%    
  Feb 20, 2020 342   @ South Carolina Upstate W 76-70 70%    
  Feb 22, 2020 329   High Point W 72-63 79%    
  Feb 27, 2020 318   @ Presbyterian W 72-70 58%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 6.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 2.3 4.2 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 12.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 3.8 5.5 3.3 0.8 0.1 14.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.8 6.2 2.7 0.4 0.0 15.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 4.9 5.7 2.2 0.3 14.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.3 4.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.5 3.9 1.2 0.1 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.9 0.9 0.1 6.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.7 1.9 0.7 0.0 4.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.4 5.4 8.1 10.6 12.4 13.4 12.9 10.9 8.5 5.8 3.3 1.5 0.4 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 98.1% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 81.9% 1.2    0.9 0.3
15-3 58.2% 1.9    1.1 0.8 0.1
14-4 28.3% 1.6    0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0
13-5 7.7% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.1% 6.1 3.2 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 47.6% 47.6% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 38.2% 38.2% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3
16-2 1.5% 26.7% 26.7% 14.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.1
15-3 3.3% 18.2% 18.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.7
14-4 5.8% 15.3% 15.3% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 4.9
13-5 8.5% 10.8% 10.8% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 7.6
12-6 10.9% 8.7% 8.7% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 10.0
11-7 12.9% 5.6% 5.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 12.2
10-8 13.4% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 12.9
9-9 12.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 12.1
8-10 10.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.5
7-11 8.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.0
6-12 5.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.4
5-13 3.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.4
4-14 2.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.0
3-15 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.5 94.3 0.0%