Patriot League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
123 Colgate 0.0%   24 - 9 14 - 4 24 - 9 14 - 4 +3.1      +3.1 91 0.0 180 68.8 181 +2.7 129 +2.1 1
170 Boston University 100.0%   16   20 - 13 12 - 6 20 - 13 12 - 6 +0.1      +0.6 166 -0.6 198 65.3 271 -0.5 180 -0.8 3
198 American 0.0%   16 - 14 12 - 6 16 - 14 12 - 6 -1.9      -0.9 205 -1.0 209 69.5 162 -3.2 220 -0.5 2
222 Lafayette 0.0%   18 - 12 10 - 8 18 - 12 10 - 8 -3.6      -1.5 216 -2.1 244 66.3 249 -0.8 185 -3.3 5
242 Bucknell 0.0%   14 - 20 8 - 10 14 - 20 8 - 10 -4.6      -4.6 293 0.0 177 71.7 98 -4.5 237 -6.0 7
253 Navy 0.0%   13 - 16 8 - 10 13 - 16 8 - 10 -5.4      -3.0 254 -2.4 254 57.8 351 -5.0 246 -5.9 6
258 Army 0.0%   14 - 15 10 - 8 14 - 15 10 - 8 -5.8      -2.5 241 -3.3 277 71.4 107 -5.2 248 -3.0 4
266 Loyola Maryland 0.0%   14 - 17 7 - 11 14 - 17 7 - 11 -6.0      -1.3 212 -4.7 306 74.1 56 -6.1 264 -7.3 9
295 Lehigh 0.0%   9 - 21 7 - 11 9 - 21 7 - 11 -7.7      -3.3 257 -4.4 303 69.0 172 -7.4 286 -7.1 8
343 Holy Cross 0.0%   3 - 28 2 - 16 3 - 28 2 - 16 -14.7      -4.9 300 -9.8 347 69.0 174 -15.4 344 -15.6 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Colgate 1.0 100.0
Boston University 2.0 100.0
American 2.0 100.0
Lafayette 4.0 100.0
Bucknell 6.0 100.0
Navy 6.0 100.0
Army 4.0 100.0
Loyola Maryland 8.0 100.0
Lehigh 8.0 100.0
Holy Cross 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Colgate 14 - 4 100.0
Boston University 12 - 6 100.0
American 12 - 6 100.0
Lafayette 10 - 8 100.0
Bucknell 8 - 10 100.0
Navy 8 - 10 100.0
Army 10 - 8 100.0
Loyola Maryland 7 - 11 100.0
Lehigh 7 - 11 100.0
Holy Cross 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Colgate 100.0% 100.0
Boston University
American
Lafayette
Bucknell
Navy
Army
Loyola Maryland
Lehigh
Holy Cross


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Boston University 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.7 19.8 79.4
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 100.0% 40.5% 83.8% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 83.8% 0.8 16.2 83.8
2nd Round 3.5% 0.0 96.5 3.5
Sweet Sixteen 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0