Army
Patriot League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#264
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#252
Pace73.2#79
Improvement+5.3#10

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#247
First Shot+1.9#112
After Offensive Rebound-4.4#352
Layup/Dunks+7.1#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#274
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#140
Freethrows-3.9#350
Improvement+6.1#5

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#264
First Shot-1.4#207
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#315
Layups/Dunks+0.7#145
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#245
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#310
Freethrows+2.2#42
Improvement-0.8#232
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 4.6% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 26.6% 37.4% 14.2%
.500 or above in Conference 59.3% 73.6% 43.1%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.3% 1.4%
First Four2.2% 2.4% 2.0%
First Round2.7% 3.5% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bucknell (Home) - 53.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 33 - 53 - 7
Quad 410 - 914 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 16   @ Villanova L 54-97 3%     0 - 1 -26.1 -18.2 -2.7
  Nov 12, 2019 169   Air Force L 57-69 41%     0 - 2 -15.3 -24.8 +10.2
  Nov 18, 2019 312   Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-65 72%     1 - 2 +4.2 +1.8 +2.9
  Nov 23, 2019 337   @ Binghamton L 73-88 62%     1 - 3 -23.7 -7.7 -16.1
  Nov 30, 2019 336   @ Marist W 66-64 OT 61%     2 - 3 -6.4 -11.4 +4.9
  Dec 04, 2019 257   NJIT W 75-65 60%     3 - 3 +1.8 -6.0 +7.2
  Dec 07, 2019 240   LIU Brooklyn L 72-85 57%     3 - 4 -20.5 -12.0 -7.2
  Dec 11, 2019 254   @ Merrimack L 60-69 38%     3 - 5 -11.4 -6.1 -6.0
  Dec 14, 2019 135   @ Buffalo W 89-76 16%     4 - 5 +17.8 +7.1 +9.2
  Dec 21, 2019 333   @ Wagner L 62-82 60%     4 - 6 -28.2 -14.1 -14.8
  Jan 02, 2020 213   @ Bucknell L 65-67 31%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -2.4 -7.5 +5.1
  Jan 06, 2020 119   Colgate L 65-70 29%     4 - 8 0 - 2 -4.9 -10.3 +5.4
  Jan 08, 2020 220   American L 60-68 54%     4 - 9 0 - 3 -14.6 -13.0 -2.0
  Jan 11, 2020 177   @ Boston University L 59-81 23%     4 - 10 0 - 4 -19.8 -9.4 -11.9
  Jan 16, 2020 340   @ Holy Cross W 79-67 66%     5 - 10 1 - 4 +2.1 +1.5 +1.0
  Jan 18, 2020 282   Loyola Maryland W 81-80 65%     6 - 10 2 - 4 -8.6 +2.3 -10.9
  Jan 22, 2020 198   @ Lafayette W 94-74 28%     7 - 10 3 - 4 +20.5 +22.9 -1.6
  Jan 25, 2020 222   @ Navy W 73-66 32%     8 - 10 4 - 4 +6.2 +3.4 +3.0
  Jan 29, 2020 213   Bucknell W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 01, 2020 294   @ Lehigh L 74-75 45%    
  Feb 05, 2020 177   Boston University L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 08, 2020 220   @ American L 70-75 33%    
  Feb 12, 2020 198   Lafayette L 73-74 50%    
  Feb 15, 2020 294   Lehigh W 77-72 69%    
  Feb 19, 2020 282   @ Loyola Maryland L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 22, 2020 222   Navy W 65-64 54%    
  Feb 26, 2020 340   Holy Cross W 80-70 83%    
  Feb 29, 2020 119   @ Colgate L 67-79 14%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 1st
2nd 0.3 2.8 3.0 0.8 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.5 5.6 1.2 0.0 10.5 3rd
4th 0.1 2.5 9.2 2.9 0.1 14.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.8 9.8 5.8 0.2 17.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.6 8.9 8.5 0.8 19.7 6th
7th 0.0 2.2 9.1 9.3 1.7 22.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.0 2.3 0.3 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 1.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
Total 0.2 1.4 5.8 13.1 20.3 22.7 19.5 11.6 4.4 1.1 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 71.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0
13-5 19.4% 0.2    0.0 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 1.1% 14.8% 14.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9
12-6 4.4% 7.8% 7.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 4.0
11-7 11.6% 6.5% 6.5% 15.8 0.2 0.6 10.9
10-8 19.5% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.1 0.9 18.5
9-9 22.7% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8 21.8
8-10 20.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.5 19.8
7-11 13.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 12.9
6-12 5.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 5.8
5-13 1.4% 1.4
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.6 3.2 96.2 0.0%