Lehigh
Patriot League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#274
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#298
Pace71.3#126
Improvement-0.4#206

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#218
First Shot-1.0#209
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#218
Layup/Dunks+1.2#120
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#250
Freethrows-1.3#274
Improvement+1.9#75

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#312
First Shot-3.8#301
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#271
Layups/Dunks-1.0#221
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#180
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#249
Freethrows-1.7#279
Improvement-2.4#295
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 3.2% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 25.7% 33.7% 11.9%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 7.8% 2.5% 16.9%
First Four2.5% 2.8% 1.9%
First Round1.6% 1.8% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Away) - 63.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 92 - 14
Quad 47 - 79 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 204   Monmouth L 62-66 47%     0 - 1 -9.6 -12.5 +3.0
  Nov 09, 2019 225   @ Albany W 74-70 30%     1 - 1 +3.2 -5.9 +8.7
  Nov 16, 2019 59   @ Virginia Tech L 53-79 6%     1 - 2 -14.7 -10.6 -5.9
  Nov 21, 2019 155   @ Drake L 58-74 18%     1 - 3 -12.6 -10.1 -3.2
  Nov 23, 2019 37   @ St. Mary's L 66-77 4%     1 - 4 +3.3 +2.9 -0.4
  Nov 30, 2019 244   @ Columbia L 64-68 33%     1 - 5 -5.8 -5.9 -0.2
  Dec 04, 2019 196   @ St. Francis (PA) L 69-77 26%     1 - 6 -7.5 -6.4 -1.0
  Dec 07, 2019 77   Yale L 65-78 16%     1 - 7 -8.7 -3.1 -5.7
  Dec 21, 2019 26   @ Auburn L 51-74 3%     1 - 8 -7.5 -13.3 +5.6
  Dec 29, 2019 177   @ Princeton L 62-71 21%     1 - 9 -6.7 -6.9 -0.5
  Jan 02, 2020 219   @ Navy L 58-64 29%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -6.5 -7.9 +0.7
  Jan 05, 2020 272   Loyola Maryland W 78-71 61%     2 - 10 1 - 1 -2.0 -0.3 -1.7
  Jan 08, 2020 178   @ Boston University L 67-84 21%     2 - 11 1 - 2 -14.7 -8.1 -6.2
  Jan 11, 2020 221   American W 82-73 50%     3 - 11 2 - 2 +2.7 +2.7 -0.3
  Jan 15, 2020 219   Navy L 83-88 50%     3 - 12 2 - 3 -11.2 +10.5 -21.9
  Jan 18, 2020 224   @ Bucknell L 56-72 30%     3 - 13 2 - 4 -16.8 -15.1 -2.2
  Jan 22, 2020 339   @ Holy Cross W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 25, 2020 193   Lafayette L 73-74 45%    
  Jan 27, 2020 221   @ American L 70-76 29%    
  Feb 01, 2020 295   Army W 76-72 66%    
  Feb 05, 2020 128   Colgate L 70-76 29%    
  Feb 08, 2020 193   @ Lafayette L 70-77 25%    
  Feb 12, 2020 339   Holy Cross W 80-70 81%    
  Feb 15, 2020 295   @ Army L 74-75 44%    
  Feb 19, 2020 128   @ Colgate L 67-79 14%    
  Feb 23, 2020 224   Bucknell W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 26, 2020 178   Boston University L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 29, 2020 272   @ Loyola Maryland L 74-77 39%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 1.6 0.4 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 3.5 0.9 0.0 6.4 4th
5th 0.1 2.2 5.6 2.4 0.1 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.1 2.5 8.5 5.0 0.5 16.5 6th
7th 0.4 4.6 11.4 7.6 0.9 0.0 24.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.0 9.0 6.0 0.7 0.0 20.3 8th
9th 0.4 3.2 5.8 3.4 0.5 0.0 13.3 9th
10th 0.2 0.9 1.5 0.6 0.1 3.3 10th
Total 0.2 1.3 5.2 10.8 17.2 20.4 19.1 13.5 7.6 3.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 90.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 48.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 9.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.2% 15.7% 15.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 1.1% 9.9% 9.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.0
11-7 3.2% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 3.0
10-8 7.6% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.4 7.2
9-9 13.5% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.6 12.9
8-10 19.1% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.6 18.5
7-11 20.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.4 20.1
6-12 17.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 17.1
5-13 10.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.7
4-14 5.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.2
3-15 1.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.3
2-16 0.2% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.7 97.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%