Navy
Patriot League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#224
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#202
Pace57.7#351
Improvement-1.0#228

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#262
First Shot-4.4#304
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#78
Layup/Dunks-5.6#342
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#130
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#194
Freethrows+1.2#91
Improvement+1.0#118

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#190
First Shot-2.0#232
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#77
Layups/Dunks+1.1#120
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#307
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#263
Freethrows+0.9#122
Improvement-2.0#287
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.2% 7.6% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 73.5% 77.4% 47.1%
.500 or above in Conference 82.7% 86.3% 58.3%
Conference Champion 2.3% 2.6% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.5%
First Four1.6% 1.5% 2.4%
First Round6.4% 6.9% 3.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Home) - 87.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 44 - 7
Quad 412 - 616 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 154   @ George Mason L 55-68 OT 24%     0 - 1 -9.5 -12.1 +1.7
  Nov 08, 2019 209   East Carolina W 62-57 58%     1 - 1 -0.9 -10.8 +10.2
  Nov 19, 2019 85   @ Liberty L 48-55 11%     1 - 2 +2.4 -7.5 +8.4
  Nov 22, 2019 252   Lipscomb L 61-65 66%     1 - 3 -12.0 -7.5 -5.1
  Nov 26, 2019 285   Cornell W 72-61 72%     2 - 3 +1.2 +4.2 -1.5
  Nov 30, 2019 202   @ Brown W 76-56 35%     3 - 3 +20.3 +8.4 +13.0
  Dec 02, 2019 241   @ Bryant L 45-60 42%     3 - 4 -16.7 -19.8 +0.1
  Dec 07, 2019 334   Marist W 53-51 OT 84%     4 - 4 -12.3 -18.6 +6.6
  Dec 20, 2019 271   Mount St. Mary's W 59-48 69%     5 - 4 +2.1 -3.1 +7.7
  Dec 29, 2019 46   @ Virginia L 56-65 7%     5 - 5 +4.1 +10.4 -8.6
  Jan 02, 2020 300   Lehigh W 64-58 76%     6 - 5 1 - 0 -5.0 -8.6 +4.2
  Jan 05, 2020 340   @ Holy Cross L 61-63 72%     6 - 6 1 - 1 -11.9 -10.8 -1.4
  Jan 08, 2020 215   @ Bucknell W 60-56 37%     7 - 6 2 - 1 +3.7 -10.0 +13.9
  Jan 11, 2020 118   Colgate L 63-70 35%     7 - 7 2 - 2 -6.8 -7.0 -0.4
  Jan 15, 2020 300   @ Lehigh W 88-83 55%     8 - 7 3 - 2 -0.2 +14.1 -14.1
  Jan 18, 2020 199   Lafayette W 68-66 56%     9 - 7 4 - 2 -3.4 -1.9 -1.2
  Jan 22, 2020 176   @ Boston University W 60-58 OT 28%     10 - 7 5 - 2 +4.2 -8.7 +13.0
  Jan 25, 2020 265   Army L 66-73 68%     10 - 8 5 - 3 -15.5 -9.1 -6.7
  Jan 29, 2020 340   Holy Cross W 71-59 87%    
  Feb 01, 2020 281   @ Loyola Maryland L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 05, 2020 211   American W 64-62 59%    
  Feb 08, 2020 118   @ Colgate L 58-68 17%    
  Feb 12, 2020 215   Bucknell W 65-63 59%    
  Feb 15, 2020 176   Boston University L 62-63 50%    
  Feb 19, 2020 211   @ American L 61-65 37%    
  Feb 22, 2020 265   @ Army L 64-65 45%    
  Feb 26, 2020 281   Loyola Maryland W 68-62 71%    
  Feb 29, 2020 199   @ Lafayette L 61-65 35%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.2 2.3 1st
2nd 0.2 4.1 8.1 4.2 0.7 0.1 17.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 4.3 10.3 4.0 0.4 19.1 3rd
4th 0.0 2.4 11.5 5.3 0.2 19.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 8.4 6.8 0.4 16.8 5th
6th 0.9 5.6 7.1 0.9 14.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.9 1.1 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.1 1.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.1 1.0 4.5 11.7 19.0 23.8 20.1 12.7 5.5 1.3 0.2 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 78.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1
14-4 50.7% 0.7    0.3 0.3
13-5 17.6% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.3
12-6 3.6% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 0.7 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.2% 25.0% 25.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 1.3% 21.9% 21.9% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
13-5 5.5% 13.9% 13.9% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 4.8
12-6 12.7% 12.6% 12.6% 15.2 0.1 1.0 0.5 11.1
11-7 20.1% 8.6% 8.6% 15.5 0.1 0.7 1.0 18.4
10-8 23.8% 6.5% 6.5% 15.8 0.4 1.2 22.2
9-9 19.0% 4.3% 4.3% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 18.2
8-10 11.7% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 11.4
7-11 4.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 4.4
6-12 1.0% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.1 0.9
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.2% 7.2% 0.0% 15.4 0.1 0.5 2.8 3.8 92.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 13.6 40.0 60.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 0.0%